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Akzhayik vs Arys Result & Analysis

Date: 14/05/2023
Time: 11:00
Final 0-1
Akzhayik
Akzhayik
Vs
53%
20%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arys
Arys
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Akzhayik win✗ Miss
52.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arys win✓ Hit
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1000D22D00D13L11D31W31W12L102W30WH·TAR14/10H·KYZ23/10A·KAS29/10H·FK 06/11H·YEL06/04A·EKI13/04H·KHA22/04A·ZHE27/04H·KYR04/05A·AKA10/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.171.811.060.791.29
vs Stronger (9)0.781.561.001.000.332.67
vs Similar (21)1.571.002.301.100.910.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArysArys

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L23L03L32W13L10W20W52W10WA·SHA09/10H·FK 14/10A·AKT24/10H·MAQ30/10A·TAR06/11H·KHA07/04A·ZHE14/04H·KYR21/04A·AKA27/04H·SPO10/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.330.801.201.531.47
vs Stronger (14)1.291.431.001.251.671.67
vs Similar (16)1.061.250.571.141.441.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Akzhayik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%2%04%112%217%319%417%528%6+
The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
94.1%
Under 1.5
5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
81.8%
Under 2.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
64.5%
Under 3.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
78.6%
No
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
1-1
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
3-2
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
4.3%
4-1
4.0%
Akzhayik goals ↓
Arys goals →
01234
01.8%1.7%2.1%1.3%0.6%
12.5%6.3%5.4%3.3%1.6%
23.9%7.3%6.8%4.3%2.0%
33.3%6.2%5.8%3.6%1.7%
42.1%4.0%3.7%2.3%1.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Akzhayik goals (down), columns = Arys goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Turan Turkistan
2.46
Zhenys
2.07
Akzhayik
1.93
Kyran
1.79
Sport Academy Kairat
1.25
Khan Tengri
1.25
Arys
1.18
Yassy Turkistan
1.14
Ekibastuz
1.14
Jas Qyran
1.14
Taraz
1.11
Aktobe Jas
0.82
Akademiya Ontustik
0.75
Astana II
0.68
Akzhayik is 0.75 points better than Arys in terms of average points per game (1.93 vs 1.18).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turan Turkistan
3.07
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Zhenys
2.21
Akzhayik
2.21
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Kyran
1.96
Jas Qyran
1.79
Yassy Turkistan
1.68
Taraz
1.68
Ekibastuz
1.68
Akademiya Ontustik
1.64
Arys
1.46
Khan Tengri
1.39
Aktobe Jas
1.32
Astana II
1.14
Akzhayik is 0.75 goals better than Arys in terms of goals scored per game (2.21 vs 1.46).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Yelimay Semey
0.61
Turan Turkistan
1.00
Akzhayik
1.04
Zhenys
1.21
Khan Tengri
1.36
Jas Qyran
1.86
Sport Academy Kairat
1.89
Taraz
2.04
Kyran
2.04
Yassy Turkistan
2.07
Ekibastuz
2.21
Arys
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.68
Aktobe Jas
2.75
Astana II
3.04
Akzhayik is 1.21 goals better than Arys in terms of goals conceded per game (1.04 vs 2.25).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W00D01L00D11D11D01L32W20WH·TAR14/10H·KYZ23/10A·KAS29/10H·FK 06/11H·YEL06/04A·EKI13/04H·KHA22/04A·ZHE27/04H·KYR04/05A·AKA10/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.750.500.360.57
vs Stronger (9)0.330.330.330.170.330.67
vs Similar (21)0.670.621.000.700.360.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArysArys

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D12L02L10W12L10W00D32W00DA·SHA09/10H·FK 14/10A·AKT24/10H·MAQ30/10A·TAR06/11H·KHA07/04A·ZHE14/04H·KYR21/04A·AKA27/04H·SPO10/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.200.531.070.53
vs Stronger (14)0.640.570.000.501.500.67
vs Similar (16)0.620.500.430.570.780.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Akzhayik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Akzhayik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-700D01L00D12L11D20W20W11D70W10WH·TAR14/10H·KYZ23/10A·KAS29/10H·FK 06/11H·YEL06/04A·EKI13/04H·KHA22/04A·ZHE27/04H·KYR04/05A·AKA10/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.631.060.560.430.71
vs Stronger (9)0.441.220.670.830.002.00
vs Similar (21)0.900.381.300.400.550.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArysArys

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L11D01L22D01L00D20W20W10WA·SHA09/10H·FK 14/10A·AKT24/10H·MAQ30/10A·TAR06/11H·KHA07/04A·ZHE14/04H·KYR21/04A·AKA27/04H·SPO10/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.600.670.470.93
vs Stronger (14)0.640.861.000.750.171.00
vs Similar (16)0.440.750.140.570.670.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Akzhayik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Akzhayik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.594.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.581.8%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes78.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (23)
€8m
ZHE (18)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (11)
€4m
ZHE (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (10)
€3m
ZHE (9)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
AKZ wins
2
Draws
0
ARY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Akzhayik vs Arys · H/A from AKZ
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/22HAKZ Vs Arys1-1
19/06/22AArys Vs AKZ1-1

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/23AAkademiya Ontustik Vs AKZ0-3
04/05/23HAKZ Vs Kyran10-2
27/04/23AZhenys Vs AKZ2-1
22/04/23HAKZ Vs Khan Tengri3-1
13/04/23AEkibastuz Vs AKZ1-3
06/04/23HAKZ Vs Yelimay Semey1-1
06/11/22HAKZ Vs FK Tobol Kostanay1-3
29/10/22AKaspiy Vs AKZ0-0
23/10/22HAKZ Vs Kyzyl-Zhar2-2
14/10/22HAKZ Vs Taraz0-0

ArysArys

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/23HARY Vs Sport Academy Kairat1-0
27/04/23AAkademiya Ontustik Vs ARY2-5
21/04/23HARY Vs Kyran2-0
14/04/23AZhenys Vs ARY0-1
07/04/23HARY Vs Khan Tengri1-3
06/11/22ATaraz Vs ARY2-3
30/10/22HARY Vs Maqtaaral0-3
24/10/22AAktobe Vs ARY3-2
14/10/22HARY Vs FK Aksu0-1
09/10/22AShakhter Karagandy Vs ARY0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Akzhayik
Akzhayik
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.19
HomeDLDWW1.50
AwayLDWLW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%38%25%
AVG goals2.442.882.00
Over 1.5 %62%62%62%
Over 2.5 %38%44%31%
Over 3.5 %25%38%12%
Scored1.251.810.69
Conceded1.191.061.31
BTTS41%56%25%
Clean Sheet28%31%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Arys
Arys
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.29
HomeLLLWW1.00
AwayDLWWW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%19%47%
AVG goals2.421.883.00
Over 1.5 %68%56%80%
Over 2.5 %39%31%47%
Over 3.5 %29%25%33%
Scored1.130.751.53
Conceded1.291.121.47
BTTS39%31%47%
Clean Sheet39%44%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2876
86%
2.7
7617+59
3.3
86%
68%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4032.70.6
-
2Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan2869
79%
2.5
8628+58
4.1
79%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.11.0
-
3ZhenysZhenys2858
64%
2.1
6234+28
3.4
93%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2022.21.2
-
4AkzhayikAkzhayik2854
61%
1.9
6229+33
3.2
82%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5KyranKyran2850
57%
1.8
5557-2
4.0
89%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2835
36%
1.2
5853+5
4.0
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.9
-
7Khan TengriKhan Tengri2835
36%
1.2
3938+1
2.8
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8ArysArys2833
36%
1.2
4163-22
3.7
86%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
9Jas QyranJas Qyran2832
32%
1.1
5052-2
3.6
86%
61%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.9
-
10Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2832
32%
1.1
4758-11
3.8
71%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
11EkibastuzEkibastuz2832
29%
1.1
4762-15
3.9
96%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12TarazTaraz2831
32%
1.1
4757-10
3.7
89%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2823
25%
0.8
3777-40
4.1
89%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.8
-
14Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2821
18%
0.8
4675-29
4.3
93%
86%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.7
-
15Astana IIAstana II2819
21%
0.7
3285-53
4.2
100%
89%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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