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Akzhayik vs Ekibastuz Result & Analysis

Date: 20/07/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 4-1
Akzhayik
Akzhayik
Vs
74%
15%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Akzhayik win✓ Hit
74.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
15.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz win✗ Miss
10.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-10102W30W01L40W30W04L40W13L10W10WH·KYR04/05A·AKA10/05H·ARY14/05A·SPO20/05H·AST01/06A·JAS08/06H·TAR23/06A·TUR29/06H·YAS06/07A·AKT13/07
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.272.251.061.001.50
vs Stronger (6)0.832.001.251.500.003.00
vs Similar (23)1.911.132.580.921.181.36
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-721W11D34L30W07L23L12L12L11D30WA·TAR05/05H·TUR10/05A·YAS15/05H·AKT19/05A·YEL26/05H·KHA09/06A·ZHE23/06H·KYR30/06A·AKA06/07H·ARY13/07
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.732.201.881.691.572.79
vs Stronger (1)0.007.00--0.007.00
vs Similar (24)1.712.211.771.921.642.55
vs Weaker (5)2.201.202.330.672.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Akzhayik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%2%06%114%219%320%416%523%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.2%
Under 1.5
7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
77.8%
Under 2.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.8%
Under 3.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.0%
No
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
1-1
6.1%
4-1 ✓
6.1%
4-0
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
Akzhayik goals ↓
Ekibastuz goals →
01234
02.2%1.3%1.1%0.4%0.1%
14.3%6.1%3.2%1.2%0.3%
27.3%8.3%4.7%1.8%0.5%
37.2%8.2%4.7%1.8%0.5%
45.4%6.1%3.5%1.3%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Akzhayik goals (down), columns = Ekibastuz goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Turan Turkistan
2.46
Zhenys
2.07
Akzhayik
1.93
Kyran
1.79
Sport Academy Kairat
1.25
Khan Tengri
1.25
Arys
1.18
Yassy Turkistan
1.14
Ekibastuz
1.14
Jas Qyran
1.14
Taraz
1.11
Aktobe Jas
0.82
Akademiya Ontustik
0.75
Astana II
0.68
Akzhayik is 0.79 points better than Ekibastuz in terms of average points per game (1.93 vs 1.14).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turan Turkistan
3.07
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Zhenys
2.21
Akzhayik
2.21
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Kyran
1.96
Jas Qyran
1.79
Yassy Turkistan
1.68
Taraz
1.68
Ekibastuz
1.68
Akademiya Ontustik
1.64
Arys
1.46
Khan Tengri
1.39
Aktobe Jas
1.32
Astana II
1.14
Akzhayik is 0.54 goals better than Ekibastuz in terms of goals scored per game (2.21 vs 1.68).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Yelimay Semey
0.61
Turan Turkistan
1.00
Akzhayik
1.04
Zhenys
1.21
Khan Tengri
1.36
Jas Qyran
1.86
Sport Academy Kairat
1.89
Taraz
2.04
Kyran
2.04
Yassy Turkistan
2.07
Ekibastuz
2.21
Arys
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.68
Aktobe Jas
2.75
Astana II
3.04
Akzhayik is 1.18 goals better than Ekibastuz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.04 vs 2.21).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W20W00D20W10W02L10W02L00D10WH·KYR04/05A·AKA10/05H·ARY14/05A·SPO20/05H·AST01/06A·JAS08/06H·TAR23/06A·TUR29/06H·YAS06/07A·AKT13/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.810.500.430.79
vs Stronger (6)0.170.500.250.250.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.740.701.000.580.450.82
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D22D20W04L21W01L01L01L20WA·TAR05/05H·TUR10/05A·YAS15/05H·AKT19/05A·YEL26/05H·KHA09/06A·ZHE23/06H·KYR30/06A·AKA06/07H·ARY13/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.071.060.690.571.50
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (24)0.921.121.080.850.731.45
vs Weaker (5)0.600.201.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Akzhayik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Akzhayik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-770W10W01L20W20W02L30W11D10W00DH·KYR04/05A·AKA10/05H·ARY14/05A·SPO20/05H·AST01/06A·JAS08/06H·TAR23/06A·TUR29/06H·YAS06/07A·AKT13/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.631.440.560.570.71
vs Stronger (6)0.671.501.001.250.002.00
vs Similar (23)1.170.431.580.330.730.55
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D12L10W03L02L11D11D10W10WA·TAR05/05H·TUR10/05A·YAS15/05H·AKT19/05A·YEL26/05H·KHA09/06A·ZHE23/06H·KYR30/06A·AKA06/07H·ARY13/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.200.811.001.141.43
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (24)0.881.170.691.081.091.27
vs Weaker (5)1.601.001.330.672.001.50
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Akzhayik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Akzhayik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akzhayik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.577.8%-------✓ Hit
Home win74.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (23)
€8m
ZHE (18)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (11)
€4m
ZHE (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (10)
€3m
ZHE (9)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
AKZ wins
0
Draws
0
EKI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Akzhayik vs Ekibastuz · H/A from AKZ
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/23AEkibastuz Vs AKZ1-3

AkzhayikAkzhayik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/07/23AAktobe Jas Vs AKZ0-1
06/07/23HAKZ Vs Yassy Turkistan1-0
29/06/23ATuran Turkistan Vs AKZ3-1
23/06/23HAKZ Vs Taraz4-0
08/06/23AJas Qyran Vs AKZ4-0
01/06/23HAKZ Vs Astana II3-0
20/05/23ASport Academy Kairat Vs AKZ0-4
14/05/23HAKZ Vs Arys0-1
10/05/23AAkademiya Ontustik Vs AKZ0-3
04/05/23HAKZ Vs Kyran10-2

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/07/23HEKI Vs Arys3-0
06/07/23AAkademiya Ontustik Vs EKI1-1
30/06/23HEKI Vs Kyran1-2
23/06/23AZhenys Vs EKI2-1
09/06/23HEKI Vs Khan Tengri2-3
26/05/23AYelimay Semey Vs EKI7-0
19/05/23HEKI Vs Aktobe Jas3-0
15/05/23AYassy Turkistan Vs EKI4-3
10/05/23HEKI Vs Turan Turkistan1-1
05/05/23ATaraz Vs EKI1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Akzhayik
Akzhayik
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.32
HomeWLWWW1.65
AwayWWLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%45%30%
AVG goals2.502.752.25
Over 1.5 %62%60%65%
Over 2.5 %42%45%40%
Over 3.5 %30%35%25%
Scored1.351.850.85
Conceded1.150.901.40
BTTS35%45%25%
Clean Sheet35%40%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.30
HomeDWLLW1.30
AwayWLLLD1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%30%35%
AVG goals3.673.304.05
Over 1.5 %90%85%95%
Over 2.5 %75%70%80%
Over 3.5 %48%45%50%
Scored1.731.801.65
Conceded1.951.502.40
BTTS62%55%70%
Clean Sheet18%30%5%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2876
86%
2.7
7617+59
3.3
86%
68%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4032.70.6
-
2Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan2869
79%
2.5
8628+58
4.1
79%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.11.0
-
3ZhenysZhenys2858
64%
2.1
6234+28
3.4
93%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2022.21.2
-
4AkzhayikAkzhayik2854
61%
1.9
6229+33
3.2
82%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5KyranKyran2850
57%
1.8
5557-2
4.0
89%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2835
36%
1.2
5853+5
4.0
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.9
-
7Khan TengriKhan Tengri2835
36%
1.2
3938+1
2.8
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8ArysArys2833
36%
1.2
4163-22
3.7
86%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
9Jas QyranJas Qyran2832
32%
1.1
5052-2
3.6
86%
61%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.9
-
10Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2832
32%
1.1
4758-11
3.8
71%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
11EkibastuzEkibastuz2832
29%
1.1
4762-15
3.9
96%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12TarazTaraz2831
32%
1.1
4757-10
3.7
89%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2823
25%
0.8
3777-40
4.1
89%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.8
-
14Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2821
18%
0.8
4675-29
4.3
93%
86%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.7
-
15Astana IIAstana II2819
21%
0.7
3285-53
4.2
100%
89%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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