Alaves vs Malaga Prediction & Stats

Alaves are favoured to win, with a 57% chance of taking the points, a 25% draw probability and a 18% chance of Malaga triumphing. The model expects 2.7 goals in total, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%. Alaves, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.56 goals scored and 1.11 conceded, while Malaga, on the road, averages 2.07 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.5%, Under 6.5 at 97.8%, Under 5.5 at 93.9%, Home +2 handicap at 93.8%, Away under 2.5 goals at 93.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 88.8% and Home under 3.5 goals at 88.8%. Alaves are coming off a win, while Malaga are recovering from a defeat.