This opponent (Reggina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reggina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.23
0.87
1.13
0.67
1.33
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
1.17
1.00
0.60
0.43
1.57
vs Similar (18)
0.83
1.28
0.80
1.40
0.88
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Alessandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.7%
Under 1.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.3%
@ 2.30-6.6%
Under 2.5
65.7%
@ 1.59+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.6%
Under 3.5
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.0%
No
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.9%
0-0 ✓
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
11.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.3%
Alessandria goals ↓
Reggina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
11%
6.3%
2.1%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.8%
2.3%
0.6%
2
7.2%
7.2%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
3
2.6%
2.6%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Alessandria goals (down), columns = Reggina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Alessandria is 0.37 points worse than Reggina in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Alessandria is 0.16 goals better than Reggina in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 0.82).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Alessandria is 0.26 goals worse than Reggina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
A
Alessandria
For 5.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 17.3 · Total 30.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reggina
For 3.2 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.3 · Against 17.8 · Total 36.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
A
Alessandria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (35)
10.5
12.2
8.9
5.5
5.1
5.8
32.3
31.7
32.9
vs Stronger (15)
9.7
11.6
7.6
5.5
5.2
5.7
33.7
35.0
32.3
vs Similar (20)
11.2
12.8
9.8
5.5
5.0
5.8
31.2
28.8
33.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
76%
44%
83%
82%
83%
97%
94%
100%
% under line
40%
24%
56%
17%
18%
17%
3%
6%
0%
This opponent (Reggina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reggina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.5
11.0
5.7
5.8
5.5
34.0
33.9
34.0
vs Stronger (20)
10.8
9.1
12.3
5.6
5.9
5.4
34.5
34.3
34.5
vs Similar (30)
9.8
9.7
9.8
5.7
5.8
5.6
33.6
33.6
33.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
50%
62%
80%
81%
79%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
20%
19%
21%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Alessandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.4
Pisa
11.0
Alessandria
10.5
Benevento
10.5
Crotone
10.5
Frosinone
10.4
Como
10.3
Monza
10.2
Spal
10.2
Reggina
10.2
Vicenza Virtus
10.2
Parma
10.0
Ternana
10.0
Ascoli
10.0
Cremonese
9.7
Pordenone
9.7
Cittadella
9.6
Perugia
9.5
Lecce
9.4
Cosenza
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Pordenone
5.8
Perugia
5.8
Frosinone
5.8
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.7
Pisa
5.6
Vicenza Virtus
5.6
Como
5.5
Alessandria
5.5
Cremonese
5.3
Parma
5.3
Lecce
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Monza
5.1
Crotone
5.1
Ternana
4.9
Benevento
4.6
Brescia
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
34.0
Reggina
34.0
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Alessandria
32.3
Pordenone
32.2
Ascoli
31.7
Monza
31.6
Frosinone
31.5
Spal
31.4
Vicenza Virtus
30.4
Como
30.1
Cremonese
30.0
Ternana
29.6
Lecce
29.6
Parma
29.4
Benevento
28.9
Crotone
28.8
Cosenza
27.4
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
67.5%
Under 9.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
83.3%
Under 3.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
98.2%
Under 21.5
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
A
Alessandria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.40
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
0.67
0.25
0.62
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.67
0.57
0.71
0.91
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reggina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.60
0.47
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.25
0.80
0.00
0.14
0.43
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.70
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Alessandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alessandria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
A
Alessandria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.53
0.40
0.27
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.75
0.62
0.50
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.67
0.43
0.29
0.27
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Reggina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reggina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.73
0.27
0.67
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
0.92
0.20
0.60
0.29
1.14
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.61
0.30
0.70
0.38
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Alessandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alessandria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reggina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Reggina · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alessandro Lombardi25%
Hernani Jr.23%
Giovanni Fabbian19%
Luigi Canotto16%
Jérémy Ménez15%
David Strelec12%
Niccolò Pierozzi11%
Devid Eugene Bouah11%
Gabriele Gori9%
Rigoberto Rivas8%
Riccardo Gagliolo6%
Lorenzo Crisetig3%
Daniele Liotti3%
Žan Majer3%
Thiago Cionek0%
Federico Santander0%
Gianluca Di Chiara0%
Federico Ricci0%
Andrey Gălăbinov0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Simone Colombi0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Michele Camporese0%
Giuseppe Loiacono0%
Emanuele Cicerelli0%
Nikita Contini0%
Warren Bondo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Federico Ravaglia50%
Devid Eugene Bouah44%
Žan Majer34%
Riccardo Gagliolo29%
Jérémy Ménez27%
Niccolò Pierozzi23%
Thiago Cionek22%
Giovanni Fabbian22%
Hernani Jr.19%
Lorenzo Crisetig17%
Michele Camporese15%
Giuseppe Loiacono14%
Gianluca Di Chiara12%
Luigi Canotto11%
Emanuele Terranova10%
Federico Ricci8%
Simone Colombi8%
Emanuele Cicerelli3%
Daniele Liotti3%
Gabriele Gori3%
Rigoberto Rivas3%
Federico Santander0%
Andrey Gălăbinov0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Nikita Contini0%
David Strelec0%
Alessandro Lombardi0%
Warren Bondo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrey Gălăbinov20%
Hernani Jr.13%
Žan Majer9%
Jérémy Ménez9%
Federico Ricci8%
Luigi Canotto8%
David Strelec6%
Gianluca Di Chiara6%
Niccolò Pierozzi6%
Rigoberto Rivas5%
Emanuele Cicerelli3%
Daniele Liotti3%
Thiago Cionek3%
Gabriele Gori3%
Giovanni Fabbian3%
Federico Santander0%
Lorenzo Crisetig0%
Riccardo Gagliolo0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Simone Colombi0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Michele Camporese0%
Giuseppe Loiacono0%
Nikita Contini0%
Devid Eugene Bouah0%
Alessandro Lombardi0%
Warren Bondo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Federico Santander33%
Hernani Jr.16%
Luigi Canotto11%
Federico Ricci8%
Giovanni Fabbian8%
Jérémy Ménez6%
Rigoberto Rivas5%
Riccardo Gagliolo3%
Žan Majer3%
Gianluca Di Chiara3%
Gabriele Gori3%
Niccolò Pierozzi3%
Thiago Cionek0%
Lorenzo Crisetig0%
Daniele Liotti0%
Andrey Gălăbinov0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Simone Colombi0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Emanuele Terranova0%
Michele Camporese0%
Giuseppe Loiacono0%
Emanuele Cicerelli0%
Nikita Contini0%
David Strelec0%
Devid Eugene Bouah0%
Alessandro Lombardi0%
Warren Bondo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Reggina
Lecce
Cremonese
Monza
Pisa
Brescia
Ascoli
Benevento
Frosinone
Perugia
Ternana
Cittadella
Parma
Como
Spal
Cosenza
Vicenza Virtus