This opponent (Vicenza Virtus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vicenza Virtus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.50
1.31
1.25
0.57
1.79
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.36
0.75
1.00
0.71
1.57
vs Similar (19)
1.11
1.58
1.50
1.33
0.43
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Alessandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.8%
Under 1.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.0%
@ 1.91-9.5%
Under 2.5
60.0%
@ 1.87+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
11.5%
0-1 ✓
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.4%
Alessandria goals ↓
Vicenza Virtus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.2%
5.4%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.8%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.0%
8.2%
4.2%
1.5%
0.4%
3
3.3%
3.4%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Alessandria goals (down), columns = Vicenza Virtus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Alessandria and Vicenza Virtus are level in average points per game (both 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Alessandria is 0.03 goals worse than Vicenza Virtus in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Alessandria and Vicenza Virtus are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
A
Alessandria
For 4.3 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 18.1 · Total 31.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vicenza Virtus
For 6.0 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 12.7 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
A
Alessandria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
10.5
12.0
9.2
5.5
5.1
5.9
32.2
31.9
32.5
vs Stronger (16)
9.9
11.6
8.2
5.6
5.2
6.0
33.2
35.0
31.5
vs Similar (21)
11.0
12.3
9.8
5.4
4.9
5.8
31.5
29.5
33.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
72%
47%
84%
83%
84%
97%
94%
100%
% under line
41%
28%
53%
16%
17%
16%
3%
6%
0%
This opponent (Vicenza Virtus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vicenza Virtus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.5
10.2
5.5
5.7
5.3
29.9
29.9
29.9
vs Stronger (18)
11.7
10.8
12.8
5.4
5.9
4.9
30.1
31.3
28.5
vs Similar (32)
9.6
10.3
8.9
5.5
5.6
5.5
29.8
29.0
30.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
62%
54%
78%
81%
75%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
42%
38%
46%
22%
19%
25%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Alessandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.1
Benevento
10.7
Alessandria
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.4
Crotone
10.4
Vicenza Virtus
10.4
Spal
10.2
Reggina
10.2
Parma
10.2
Monza
10.0
Ternana
10.0
Ascoli
10.0
Pordenone
9.7
Cremonese
9.6
Lecce
9.6
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.4
Cosenza
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pordenone
5.8
Ascoli
5.8
Pisa
5.7
Frosinone
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Vicenza Virtus
5.5
Alessandria
5.5
Parma
5.5
Lecce
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Cremonese
5.2
Monza
5.1
Spal
5.1
Crotone
5.0
Ternana
4.9
Brescia
4.7
Benevento
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.9
Cittadella
33.8
Perugia
33.1
Pisa
33.0
Alessandria
32.2
Pordenone
31.8
Ascoli
31.7
Monza
31.4
Frosinone
31.3
Spal
31.1
Lecce
30.1
Como
29.9
Vicenza Virtus
29.9
Parma
29.5
Cremonese
29.4
Ternana
29.2
Benevento
28.8
Crotone
28.5
Cosenza
27.5
Brescia
26.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
64.9%
Under 9.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.4%
Under 3.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.7%
Under 21.5
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
A
Alessandria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.40
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.69
0.25
0.62
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.65
0.57
0.71
0.90
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Vicenza Virtus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vicenza Virtus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.90
0.69
0.81
0.21
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
0.82
0.00
0.75
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.95
0.92
0.83
0.00
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Alessandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Alessandria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
A
Alessandria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.73
0.47
0.40
0.33
1.07
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
0.77
0.62
0.50
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (17)
0.29
0.71
0.29
0.29
0.30
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Vicenza Virtus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vicenza Virtus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.62
0.44
0.36
0.79
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.55
0.75
0.25
0.29
0.71
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.63
0.58
0.50
0.43
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Alessandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Alessandria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vicenza Virtus
Lecce
Cremonese
Monza
Pisa
Brescia
Ascoli
Benevento
Frosinone
Perugia
Ternana
Cittadella
Parma
Reggina
Como
Spal
Cosenza