Aliağa FAŞ’s recent 1-3 loss to Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Gençlerbirliği’s three-game winning streak set the stage for a high-scoring encounter, with the model predicting an away win and an average of 4.1 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favour of Gençlerbirliği, carrying an 8.4% probability. Home form shows Aliağa scoring and conceding three goals on average against similar opposition, while Gençlerbirliği averages 0.9 goals scored and conceded away. The match result probabilities are 23% home win, 20% draw, and 57% away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 94.5%, Home under 3.5 goals at 92.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 92.0%, Away over 0.5 goals at 91.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 90.6%, Away +2 handicap at 89.5%, Under 6.5 goals at 88.3%, and Over 19.5 fouls at 85.9%.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as Gençlerbirliği S.K. secured a 1-3 away win, extending their three-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite was the away win, with a 57% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The final score matched the predicted 1-3 outcome, confirming the favoured result. Every suggested selection hit: Under 7.5 goals at 94.5%, Home under 3.5 goals at 92.6%, Over 1.5 at 92.0%, Away over 0.5 goals at 91.8%, Away +2 handicap at 89.5%, and Under 6.5 at 88.3%. The match delivered on the model’s high-confidence picks, underscoring its reliability in this fixture.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Aliağa FAŞ win✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. win✓ Hit
57.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Aliağa FAŞ
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.2
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.62
2.62
2.50
3.25
2.75
2.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
6.00
2.00
6.00
-
-
vs Similar (5)
2.20
2.80
3.00
3.00
1.67
2.67
vs Weaker (2)
4.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
6.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
12% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.27
1.67
1.33
1.33
1.20
vs Stronger (8)
1.75
2.12
2.00
2.00
1.50
2.25
vs Similar (21)
1.24
1.00
1.55
1.09
0.90
0.90
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Aliağa FAŞ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.0%
Under 1.5
8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
77.1%
Under 2.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.9%
Under 3.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
73.2%
No
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.4%
1-1
7.4%
1-3 ✓
7.0%
2-2
6.6%
2-3
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.5%
Aliağa FAŞ goals ↓
Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.4%
3.6%
5.4%
4.5%
2.8%
1
2.0%
7.4%
8.4%
7.0%
4.4%
2
2.1%
5.3%
6.6%
5.5%
3.4%
3
1.1%
2.7%
3.4%
2.9%
1.8%
4
0.4%
1.1%
1.3%
1.1%
0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aliağa FAŞ goals (down), columns = Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
İstanbulspor
2.50
Bursaspor
2.50
Göztepe
2.50
Etimesgut SK
2.40
Konyaspor
2.38
Bayburt İÖİ
2.33
Galatasaray
2.33
Muş Sport Klübü
2.33
Fenerbahçe
2.25
Beşiktaş
2.25
Kocaelispor
2.25
Çorluspor 1947
2.25
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
2.25
Trabzonspor
2.17
Hatayspor
2.00
Fatih Karagümrük
2.00
Bodrum FK
2.00
Yeni Orduspor
2.00
Alanyaspor
2.00
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
2.00
Tire 2021 FK
2.00
Karaman FK
2.00
Karacabey Belediyespor
2.00
Kilis Belediyespor
2.00
Osmaniyespor
2.00
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
2.00
Düzcespor
2.00
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
2.00
Kırklarelispor
1.86
Ankaragücü
1.83
İskenderunspor
1.83
Gaziantep FK
1.80
Rizespor
1.80
Eyüpspor
1.75
Başakşehir
1.67
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.50
Keçiörengücü
1.50
Serik Spor
1.50
Ümraniyespor
1.50
Adana Demirspor
1.50
Pazarspor
1.50
İnegölspor
1.50
Şırnak İdmanyurdu
1.50
Sebat Gençlikspor
1.50
Talasgücü Belediyespor
1.50
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
1.50
Amed
1.50
Çorum FK
1.50
Mardin 1969
1.50
Esenler Erokspor
1.50
Niğde Belediyesispor
1.50
Nilüfer Belediye
1.50
Silivrispor
1.50
Amasyaspor 1968
1.50
Uşak Spor
1.50
Fatsa Belediyespor
1.50
Güzide Gebzespor
1.50
Kütahyaspor
1.50
1461 Trabzon FK
1.50
Ağrı 1970
1.50
Ayvalikgucu
1.50
Alanya 1221 FK
1.50
Menemen FK
1.50
Adana 01 FK
1.50
Batman Petrolspor
1.50
Zonguldak Kömürspor
1.50
Kahramanmaraşspor
1.50
Karaköprü Belediyespor
1.50
Isparta 32 Spor
1.50
Elazığspor
1.50
Anadolu Üniversitesi
1.50
Somaspor
1.50
Bucaspor 1928
1.50
24 Erzincanspor
1.50
Kastamonuspor
1.50
Antalyaspor
1.40
Sarıyer
1.33
Fethiyespor
1.33
Ankara Demirspor
1.33
Erzurumspor FK
1.20
Eskisehirspor
1.01
Kestel Çilek
1.01
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
1.01
Kahta 02 Spor
1.01
1926 Bulancak
1.01
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
1.01
Galata
1.01
İnkılapspor
1.01
Şiran
1.01
Kapadokyaspor
1.01
Bilecik Sogut
1.01
Denizli İYG
1.01
Ezinespor
1.01
Muğlaspor
1.00
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1.00
Sivasspor
0.75
Boluspor
0.75
Kasımpaşa
0.75
Samsunspor
0.50
Vanspor FK
0.50
Bucak Oğuzhanspor
0.50
Kepezspor
0.50
Karsiyaka
0.50
Adanaspor
0.00
Kayserispor
0.00
Sakaryaspor
0.00
Pendikspor
0.00
Bandırmaspor
0.00
Manisa F.K.
0.00
Beykoz Anadolu
0.00
Giresunspor
0.00
Altay
0.00
Silifke Belediyespor
0.00
Balıkesirspor
0.00
Çankaya FK
0.00
Erbaaspor
0.00
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
0.00
Orduspor 1967
0.00
Kartal Bulvarspor
0.00
Afjet Afyonspor
0.00
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
0.00
Bursa Yıldırımspor
0.00
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0.00
Iğdır FK
0.00
Altınordu
0.00
Şanlıurfaspor
0.00
Beykoz İshaklıspor
0.00
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
0.00
Edirnespor
0.00
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
0.00
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.00
Kurtalanspor
0.00
Kırşehir Belediyespor
0.00
Karabük İdman Yurdu
0.00
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
0.00
Ankaraspor
0.00
İzmir Çoruhlu FK
0.00
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0.00
Dersimspor
0.00
Bornova 1877
0.00
12 Bingölspor
0.00
Aliağa FAŞ
0.00
Kars 36
0.00
Söke 1970
0.00
Serhat Ardahanspor
0.00
Türk Metal 1963
0.00
1074 Çankırıspor
0.00
Sinopspor
0.00
Nazilli Spor
0.00
Artvin Hopaspor
0.00
Diyarbekirspor
0.00
Bartınspor
0.00
1926 Polatlı Belediye
0.00
Çayelispor
0.00
Hakkari Zapspor
0.00
Aliağa FAŞ is 1.50 points worse than Gençlerbirliği S.K. in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
3.67
24 Erzincanspor
3.50
Fenerbahçe
3.25
Bodrum FK
3.20
Hatayspor
3.00
Sebat Gençlikspor
3.00
Mardin 1969
3.00
Altınordu
3.00
Nilüfer Belediye
3.00
Silivrispor
3.00
Konyaspor
2.75
Çorluspor 1947
2.75
Galatasaray
2.67
Rizespor
2.60
İstanbulspor
2.50
Keçiörengücü
2.50
Şırnak İdmanyurdu
2.50
Trabzonspor
2.50
Kocaelispor
2.50
Menemen FK
2.50
Somaspor
2.50
Alanyaspor
2.40
Göztepe
2.33
Osmaniyespor
2.33
Çorum FK
2.25
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
2.25
Kırklarelispor
2.14
Kayserispor
2.00
Bandırmaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Ümraniyespor
2.00
Başakşehir
2.00
Adana Demirspor
2.00
Muğlaspor
2.00
Antalyaspor
2.00
Erbaaspor
2.00
Iğdır FK
2.00
Beykoz İshaklıspor
2.00
Karacabey Belediyespor
2.00
Amasyaspor 1968
2.00
Uşak Spor
2.00
Muş Sport Klübü
2.00
Ağrı 1970
2.00
Ayvalikgucu
2.00
Aliağa FAŞ
2.00
Zonguldak Kömürspor
2.00
Düzcespor
2.00
Anadolu Üniversitesi
2.00
Kastamonuspor
2.00
1926 Polatlı Belediye
2.00
Ankaragücü
1.83
Bursaspor
1.75
Yeni Orduspor
1.67
Tire 2021 FK
1.67
Kilis Belediyespor
1.67
İskenderunspor
1.67
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
1.67
Fethiyespor
1.67
Ankara Demirspor
1.67
Gaziantep FK
1.60
Etimesgut SK
1.60
Boluspor
1.50
Eyüpspor
1.50
Beşiktaş
1.50
Fatih Karagümrük
1.50
Pazarspor
1.50
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
1.50
Amed
1.50
Esenler Erokspor
1.50
Fatsa Belediyespor
1.50
Güzide Gebzespor
1.50
1461 Trabzon FK
1.50
Alanya 1221 FK
1.50
Isparta 32 Spor
1.50
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
1.50
Bayburt İÖİ
1.33
Eskisehirspor
1.29
Kestel Çilek
1.29
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
1.29
Kahta 02 Spor
1.29
1926 Bulancak
1.29
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
1.29
Galata
1.29
İnkılapspor
1.29
Şiran
1.29
Kapadokyaspor
1.29
Bilecik Sogut
1.29
Denizli İYG
1.29
Ezinespor
1.29
Sarıyer
1.00
Adanaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
Pendikspor
1.00
Erzurumspor FK
1.00
Silifke Belediyespor
1.00
Orduspor 1967
1.00
İnegölspor
1.00
Talasgücü Belediyespor
1.00
Samsunspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
1.00
Karaman FK
1.00
Kurtalanspor
1.00
Ankaraspor
1.00
Adana 01 FK
1.00
Kars 36
1.00
Karaköprü Belediyespor
1.00
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1.00
Elazığspor
1.00
Söke 1970
1.00
Bucaspor 1928
1.00
Türk Metal 1963
1.00
1074 Çankırıspor
1.00
Nazilli Spor
1.00
Artvin Hopaspor
1.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.50
Serik Spor
0.50
Niğde Belediyesispor
0.50
Kütahyaspor
0.50
Karsiyaka
0.50
Batman Petrolspor
0.50
Kahramanmaraşspor
0.50
Kasımpaşa
0.25
Sakaryaspor
0.00
Beykoz Anadolu
0.00
Giresunspor
0.00
Altay
0.00
Balıkesirspor
0.00
Çankaya FK
0.00
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
0.00
Kartal Bulvarspor
0.00
Afjet Afyonspor
0.00
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
0.00
Bursa Yıldırımspor
0.00
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0.00
Şanlıurfaspor
0.00
Bucak Oğuzhanspor
0.00
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
0.00
Edirnespor
0.00
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
0.00
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.00
Kırşehir Belediyespor
0.00
Karabük İdman Yurdu
0.00
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
0.00
İzmir Çoruhlu FK
0.00
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0.00
Kepezspor
0.00
Dersimspor
0.00
Bornova 1877
0.00
12 Bingölspor
0.00
Serhat Ardahanspor
0.00
Sinopspor
0.00
Diyarbekirspor
0.00
Bartınspor
0.00
Çayelispor
0.00
Hakkari Zapspor
0.00
Aliağa FAŞ is 1.50 goals better than Gençlerbirliği S.K. in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bayburt İÖİ
0.00
Hatayspor
0.33
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.50
Göztepe
0.50
Niğde Belediyesispor
0.50
Uşak Spor
0.50
Kütahyaspor
0.50
Ağrı 1970
0.50
Batman Petrolspor
0.50
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
0.50
Fenerbahçe
0.75
Bursaspor
0.75
Konyaspor
0.75
Galatasaray
0.83
Eyüpspor
1.00
Beşiktaş
1.00
Başakşehir
1.00
Gaziantep FK
1.00
Giresunspor
1.00
Altay
1.00
Pazarspor
1.00
Çankaya FK
1.00
Kartal Bulvarspor
1.00
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
1.00
İnegölspor
1.00
Şanlıurfaspor
1.00
Esenler Erokspor
1.00
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1.00
Karaman FK
1.00
Karacabey Belediyespor
1.00
Edirnespor
1.00
Kırşehir Belediyespor
1.00
Güzide Gebzespor
1.00
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
1.00
Karsiyaka
1.00
Adana 01 FK
1.00
Düzcespor
1.00
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1.00
Somaspor
1.00
Diyarbekirspor
1.00
Fatih Karagümrük
1.17
Etimesgut SK
1.20
Kırklarelispor
1.29
İstanbulspor
1.33
Yeni Orduspor
1.33
Tire 2021 FK
1.33
Kilis Belediyespor
1.33
Muş Sport Klübü
1.33
İskenderunspor
1.33
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
1.33
Ankara Demirspor
1.33
Sivasspor
1.50
Ankaragücü
1.50
Şırnak İdmanyurdu
1.50
Trabzonspor
1.50
Amed
1.50
Kocaelispor
1.50
Çorluspor 1947
1.50
Nilüfer Belediye
1.50
Amasyaspor 1968
1.50
Fatsa Belediyespor
1.50
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
1.50
Menemen FK
1.50
Kahramanmaraşspor
1.50
Isparta 32 Spor
1.50
Elazığspor
1.50
Antalyaspor
1.60
Alanyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.67
Osmaniyespor
1.67
Boluspor
1.75
Bodrum FK
1.80
Rizespor
1.80
Eskisehirspor
1.90
Kestel Çilek
1.90
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
1.90
Kahta 02 Spor
1.90
1926 Bulancak
1.90
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
1.90
Galata
1.90
İnkılapspor
1.90
Şiran
1.90
Kapadokyaspor
1.90
Bilecik Sogut
1.90
Denizli İYG
1.90
Ezinespor
1.90
Adanaspor
2.00
Sakaryaspor
2.00
Pendikspor
2.00
Ümraniyespor
2.00
Muğlaspor
2.00
Silifke Belediyespor
2.00
Balıkesirspor
2.00
Orduspor 1967
2.00
Bursa Yıldırımspor
2.00
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2.00
Sebat Gençlikspor
2.00
Talasgücü Belediyespor
2.00
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
2.00
Samsunspor
2.00
Mardin 1969
2.00
Bucak Oğuzhanspor
2.00
Yeni Malatyaspor
2.00
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
2.00
Ankaraspor
2.00
İzmir Çoruhlu FK
2.00
Ayvalikgucu
2.00
Bornova 1877
2.00
12 Bingölspor
2.00
Fethiyespor
2.00
Zonguldak Kömürspor
2.00
Karaköprü Belediyespor
2.00
Söke 1970
2.00
Anadolu Üniversitesi
2.00
Serhat Ardahanspor
2.00
1074 Çankırıspor
2.00
Sinopspor
2.00
Bartınspor
2.00
Çayelispor
2.00
Hakkari Zapspor
2.00
Erzurumspor FK
2.20
Kasımpaşa
2.50
Adana Demirspor
2.50
Çorum FK
2.50
Silivrispor
2.50
1461 Trabzon FK
2.50
Alanya 1221 FK
2.50
Bucaspor 1928
2.50
Bandırmaspor
3.00
Keçiörengücü
3.00
Serik Spor
3.00
Beykoz Anadolu
3.00
Erbaaspor
3.00
Iğdır FK
3.00
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
3.00
Aliağa FAŞ
3.00
Kars 36
3.00
24 Erzincanspor
3.00
Türk Metal 1963
3.00
Artvin Hopaspor
3.00
1926 Polatlı Belediye
3.00
Kastamonuspor
3.50
Kayserispor
4.00
Manisa F.K.
4.00
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
4.00
Vanspor FK
4.00
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
4.00
Kurtalanspor
4.00
Karabük İdman Yurdu
4.00
Kepezspor
4.50
Afjet Afyonspor
5.00
Nazilli Spor
5.00
Beykoz İshaklıspor
6.00
Altınordu
7.00
Dersimspor
7.00
Aliağa FAŞ is 2.50 goals worse than Gençlerbirliği S.K. in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Trabzonspor
61%
Galatasaray
54%
Beşiktaş
52%
Fenerbahçe
51%
Göztepe
44%
Konyaspor
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aliağa FAŞ
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
For 4.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 13.2 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aliağa FAŞ
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.7
9.4
4.1
4.2
4.0
25.6
25.3
26.0
vs Stronger (8)
9.6
10.2
9.0
3.8
2.8
4.8
24.1
24.0
24.2
vs Similar (36)
9.5
10.1
8.8
4.4
4.5
4.2
26.9
26.1
27.9
vs Weaker (6)
10.0
7.0
13.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
20.7
23.0
18.3
% over line
50%
54%
45%
60%
62%
58%
72%
71%
73%
% under line
50%
46%
55%
40%
38%
42%
28%
29%
27%
This opponent (Aliağa FAŞ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
10.3
Kayserispor
10.3
Konyaspor
9.8
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.8
Kasımpaşa
9.7
Beşiktaş
9.7
Adanaspor
9.6
Gaziantep FK
9.6
Eyüpspor
9.6
Giresunspor
9.6
Adana Demirspor
9.6
Göztepe
9.5
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.5
Trabzonspor
9.5
Rizespor
9.5
Bandırmaspor
9.5
Başakşehir
9.4
Hatayspor
9.4
Iğdır FK
9.4
Antalyaspor
9.4
Galatasaray
9.3
Samsunspor
9.2
Sivasspor
9.2
Bodrum FK
9.2
Bursaspor
9.1
Fatih Karagümrük
9.1
Çorum FK
9.0
Ümraniyespor
8.9
Beykoz Anadolu
8.8
İstanbulspor
8.8
Serik Spor
8.8
Esenler Erokspor
8.7
Manisa F.K.
8.7
Pendikspor
8.6
Ankaragücü
8.6
Altınordu
8.6
Altay
8.6
Keçiörengücü
8.6
Sakaryaspor
8.5
Alanyaspor
8.4
Şanlıurfaspor
8.4
Erzurumspor FK
8.3
Sarıyer
8.3
Amed
8.3
Kocaelispor
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.0
Boluspor
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
6.2
Fenerbahçe
5.7
Başakşehir
5.4
Konyaspor
5.4
Alanyaspor
5.4
Vanspor FK
5.4
Sakaryaspor
5.4
Boluspor
5.4
Sarıyer
5.4
Sivasspor
5.4
Erzurumspor FK
5.3
Pendikspor
5.3
Çorum FK
5.2
Amed
5.2
Keçiörengücü
5.2
Bandırmaspor
5.2
Fatih Karagümrük
5.2
Hatayspor
5.2
Adanaspor
5.1
Kasımpaşa
5.1
Rizespor
5.1
Eyüpspor
5.0
Kayserispor
4.9
Esenler Erokspor
4.9
Beşiktaş
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.9
Beykoz Anadolu
4.8
Altay
4.8
Iğdır FK
4.8
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.7
Manisa F.K.
4.7
Bursaspor
4.7
Göztepe
4.7
Ümraniyespor
4.6
Galatasaray
4.6
İstanbulspor
4.6
Antalyaspor
4.6
Trabzonspor
4.5
Ankaragücü
4.5
Samsunspor
4.4
Serik Spor
4.4
Şanlıurfaspor
4.3
Adana Demirspor
4.3
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.3
Altınordu
4.2
Bodrum FK
4.1
Giresunspor
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bursaspor
30.1
Fatih Karagümrük
28.9
Vanspor FK
28.6
Gaziantep FK
28.3
Altay
27.8
Başakşehir
27.6
Kasımpaşa
27.4
Altınordu
27.1
Alanyaspor
26.9
Antalyaspor
26.7
Boluspor
26.6
Pendikspor
26.5
Rizespor
26.3
Sakaryaspor
26.3
Beykoz Anadolu
26.2
Trabzonspor
26.2
Kocaelispor
26.2
Göztepe
25.9
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.7
Konyaspor
25.6
Erzurumspor FK
25.6
Eyüpspor
25.5
Yeni Malatyaspor
25.3
Fenerbahçe
25.2
Beşiktaş
25.1
Adanaspor
24.9
Kayserispor
24.7
Bandırmaspor
24.6
Ümraniyespor
24.4
Samsunspor
24.4
Iğdır FK
24.4
Sivasspor
24.3
Manisa F.K.
24.2
Galatasaray
24.1
Bodrum FK
23.9
Şanlıurfaspor
23.8
Keçiörengücü
23.8
Çorum FK
23.6
Ankaragücü
23.5
Sarıyer
23.4
Esenler Erokspor
23.3
Serik Spor
23.1
İstanbulspor
23.1
Hatayspor
23.0
Giresunspor
22.8
Amed
22.7
Adana Demirspor
21.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
64.2%
Under 9.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
78.8%
Under 3.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.2%
Under 21.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Aliağa FAŞ or Draw✗ Miss
42.5%
Avg Implied -
23%
20%
57%
covers Aliağa FAŞ + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aliağa FAŞ or Gençlerbirliği S.K.✓ Hit
80.0%
Avg Implied -
23%
20%
57%
covers Aliağa FAŞ + Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Gençlerbirliği S.K.✓ Hit
77.5%
Avg Implied -
23%
20%
57%
covers Draw + Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Aliağa FAŞ over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.0%
Under
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aliağa FAŞ over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.3%
Under
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aliağa FAŞ over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.7%
Under
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aliağa FAŞ over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.8%
Under
8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
71.3%
Under
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
45.6%
Under
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
24.2%
Under
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Aliağa FAŞ, so a minus line means Aliağa FAŞ give that many goals of a start and Gençlerbirliği S.K. receive them. At -1, Aliağa FAŞ must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Aliağa FAŞ win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.12
0.75
1.25
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.43
0.82
0.45
0.30
0.40
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Aliağa FAŞ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aliağa FAŞ over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aliağa FAŞ over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aliağa FAŞ over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aliağa FAŞ
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.25
1.38
1.25
1.75
1.25
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.40
1.60
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
12% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
0.87
0.67
0.93
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
1.00
1.25
0.75
1.25
1.25
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.57
0.73
0.64
0.60
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Aliağa FAŞ) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aliağa FAŞ over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aliağa FAŞ over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aliağa FAŞ over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Turkey: Süper Lig 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
Trabzonspor
Beşiktaş
Başakşehir
Göztepe
Samsunspor
Rizespor
Konyaspor
Alanyaspor
Kocaelispor
Gaziantep FK
Kasımpaşa
Eyüpspor
Antalyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Kayserispor