This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.73
0.47
1.27
0.73
2.20
vs Stronger (18)
0.72
2.11
0.60
1.60
0.88
2.75
vs Similar (11)
0.36
1.27
0.20
0.60
0.50
1.83
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.3%
Under 1.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.4%
@ 1.50-0.6%
Under 2.5
38.6%
@ 2.45+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.1%
Under 3.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.4%
2-1 ✓
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.1%
0-0
5.0%
Almeria goals ↓
FC Cartagena goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
2.7%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.9%
9.1%
3.5%
1.0%
0.2%
2
11%
9.6%
4.1%
1.1%
0.2%
3
8.8%
7.4%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
4
5.1%
4.3%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Almeria goals (down), columns = FC Cartagena goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levante
1.88
Elche
1.83
Oviedo
1.78
Mirandes
1.78
Racing Santander
1.64
Almeria
1.59
Granada CF
1.55
Huesca
1.52
Eibar
1.38
Albacete
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Cordoba
1.31
Cadiz
1.31
Malaga
1.26
Castellón
1.26
Deportivo La Coruna
1.26
Zaragoza
1.21
Eldense
1.07
Tenerife
0.86
Racing Ferrol
0.71
FC Cartagena
0.55
Almeria is 1.04 points better than FC Cartagena in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 0.55).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.68
Levante
1.64
Racing Santander
1.57
Castellón
1.55
Granada CF
1.55
Mirandes
1.48
Elche
1.40
Cordoba
1.40
Huesca
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.36
Albacete
1.36
Zaragoza
1.33
Deportivo La Coruna
1.33
Oviedo
1.33
Cadiz
1.31
Eibar
1.05
Eldense
1.05
Malaga
1.00
Burgos
0.98
Tenerife
0.83
FC Cartagena
0.79
Racing Ferrol
0.52
Almeria is 0.90 goals better than FC Cartagena in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 0.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Elche
0.81
Eibar
0.98
Levante
1.00
Oviedo
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Malaga
1.10
Burgos
1.14
Huesca
1.17
Cadiz
1.26
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Deportivo La Coruna
1.29
Granada CF
1.29
Tenerife
1.31
Racing Santander
1.32
Almeria
1.32
Albacete
1.36
Castellón
1.50
Zaragoza
1.50
Eldense
1.50
Cordoba
1.50
Racing Ferrol
1.52
FC Cartagena
1.86
Almeria is 0.54 goals better than FC Cartagena in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.86).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Elche
62%
Castellón
57%
Cordoba
56%
Deportivo La Coruna
54%
Almeria
53%
Malaga
52%
Racing Santander
52%
Oviedo
52%
Granada CF
51%
Zaragoza
51%
Eibar
50%
Sporting Gijon
50%
Levante
49%
Burgos
49%
Tenerife
48%
Cadiz
48%
Racing Ferrol
48%
Eldense
46%
Mirandes
45%
Huesca
44%
Albacete
43%
FC Cartagena
40%
Almeria is 13.5 percentage points better than FC Cartagena in terms of average possession (53% vs 40%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Almeria
For 5.5 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.3 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Cartagena
For 4.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Almeria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.0
9.4
4.7
4.7
4.8
26.3
26.2
26.5
vs Stronger (4)
8.0
9.0
7.0
4.0
4.5
3.5
22.5
23.5
21.5
vs Similar (35)
9.5
9.1
9.9
5.2
4.9
5.5
26.3
26.0
26.7
vs Weaker (11)
8.7
8.7
8.7
3.5
3.3
3.6
28.1
29.3
27.5
% over line
46%
45%
46%
68%
62%
73%
74%
73%
75%
% under line
54%
55%
54%
32%
38%
27%
26%
27%
25%
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.0
8.2
3.9
3.9
3.9
23.7
24.1
23.3
vs Stronger (31)
8.6
9.4
7.8
4.3
4.3
4.2
24.3
25.6
23.1
vs Similar (18)
8.7
8.5
9.0
3.5
3.4
3.6
22.7
22.1
23.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
38%
38%
39%
56%
48%
64%
68%
67%
70%
% under line
62%
62%
61%
44%
52%
36%
32%
33%
30%
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Deportivo La Coruna
10.7
Racing Santander
10.0
Granada CF
9.8
Albacete
9.7
Levante
9.7
Tenerife
9.6
Zaragoza
9.6
Cordoba
9.5
Huesca
9.4
Sporting Gijon
9.4
Almeria
9.3
Eldense
9.3
Eibar
9.3
Malaga
9.2
Castellón
9.1
Burgos
9.1
Oviedo
9.1
Mirandes
9.0
Racing Ferrol
8.9
Elche
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.8
Cadiz
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.5
Zaragoza
6.1
Malaga
5.6
Cadiz
5.4
Burgos
5.4
Mirandes
5.4
Cordoba
5.3
Sporting Gijon
5.3
Elche
5.2
Almeria
5.2
Granada CF
5.2
Tenerife
5.0
Oviedo
4.9
Eibar
4.8
Huesca
4.8
Albacete
4.8
Eldense
4.5
Levante
4.3
Racing Ferrol
4.3
FC Cartagena
4.2
Castellón
4.2
Deportivo La Coruna
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cadiz
29.3
Racing Santander
28.9
Cordoba
28.8
Malaga
28.7
Elche
28.5
Zaragoza
28.0
Oviedo
27.4
Tenerife
27.2
Almeria
26.7
Mirandes
26.5
Granada CF
26.3
Racing Ferrol
26.1
Castellón
25.3
Eldense
25.2
Levante
24.5
Sporting Gijon
24.2
Burgos
24.1
Eibar
23.9
FC Cartagena
23.7
Huesca
23.4
Deportivo La Coruna
23.4
Albacete
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.4%
Under 9.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
69.8%
Under 3.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
77.2%
Under 21.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Almeria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.64
0.57
0.69
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.90
0.73
0.64
0.56
1.22
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.60
0.33
0.33
0.86
0.71
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.80
0.33
0.60
0.20
1.00
vs Stronger (18)
0.33
1.06
0.40
0.80
0.25
1.38
vs Similar (11)
0.18
0.45
0.20
0.20
0.17
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Almeria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Almeria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.47
1.36
0.36
1.00
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.55
1.18
0.45
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (10)
1.60
0.30
2.00
0.00
1.43
0.43
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.93
0.13
0.67
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (18)
0.39
1.06
0.20
0.80
0.62
1.38
vs Similar (11)
0.18
0.82
0.00
0.40
0.33
1.17
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Almeria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Almeria
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luis Javier Suárez53%
Léo Baptistão20%
Nicolás Melamed19%
Sergio Arribas18%
Gonzalo Melero14%
Gui8%
Arnau Puigmal7%
Alejandro Pozo6%
Lázaro6%
Rachad Fettal6%
Marko Milovanović5%
Álex Centelles5%
Edgar González5%
Lucas Robertone4%
Marc Pubill3%
Dion Lopy2%
Chumi0%
Luís Maximiano0%
Aleksandar Radovanović0%
Iddrisu Baba0%
Fernando Martínez0%
Bruno Langa0%
Kaiky0%
Ruben Quintanilla0%
Marko Perović0%
Selvi Clúa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dion Lopy50%
Ruben Quintanilla33%
Chumi28%
Gonzalo Melero22%
Luis Javier Suárez21%
Iddrisu Baba20%
Edgar González18%
Fernando Martínez18%
Lucas Robertone17%
Lázaro17%
Selvi Clúa17%
Marc Pubill16%
Gui15%
Marko Milovanović15%
Álex Centelles15%
Marko Perović12%
Nicolás Melamed12%
Bruno Langa12%
Alejandro Pozo11%
Kaiky11%
Aleksandar Radovanović10%
Arnau Puigmal7%
Sergio Arribas7%
Rachad Fettal6%
Léo Baptistão5%
Luís Maximiano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ruben Quintanilla33%
Lucas Robertone17%
Luis Javier Suárez16%
Nicolás Melamed12%
Arnau Puigmal12%
Gonzalo Melero11%
Marc Pubill11%
Álex Centelles10%
Sergio Arribas9%
Léo Baptistão8%
Dion Lopy8%
Lázaro6%
Rachad Fettal6%
Marko Milovanović5%
Kaiky4%
Alejandro Pozo3%
Chumi0%
Luís Maximiano0%
Edgar González0%
Aleksandar Radovanović0%
Iddrisu Baba0%
Fernando Martínez0%
Bruno Langa0%
Gui0%
Marko Perović0%
Selvi Clúa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luis Javier Suárez65%
Léo Baptistão40%
Sergio Arribas25%
Nicolás Melamed19%
Lázaro17%
Lucas Robertone8%
Dion Lopy5%
Gonzalo Melero3%
Marc Pubill3%
Álex Centelles2%
Arnau Puigmal2%
Edgar González2%
Chumi0%
Luís Maximiano0%
Aleksandar Radovanović0%
Alejandro Pozo0%
Iddrisu Baba0%
Fernando Martínez0%
Bruno Langa0%
Kaiky0%
Gui0%
Marko Milovanović0%
Ruben Quintanilla0%
Marko Perović0%
Rachad Fettal0%
Selvi Clúa0%
FC Cartagena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Millán32%
Luis Muñoz18%
Daniel Luna18%
Nacho Martínez14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Gaston Valles11%
Pocho Román10%
Cedric Teguia9%
Andy Rodríguez8%
José Machín8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Jairo Izquierdo5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Alfredo Ortuño3%
Sergio Guerrero3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Julián Delmás0%
Dani Escriche0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Jesús Hernández0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Hernández60%
Damián Musto50%
Nacho Martínez36%
Sergio Guerrero32%
José Machín31%
Martín Aguirregabiria28%
Andrija Vukčević26%
Dani Escriche22%
Jorge Moreno20%
Pocho Román19%
Pedro Alcalá19%
Luis Muñoz18%
Assane Ndiaye Dione12%
Salim El Jebari12%
Daniel Luna12%
Andy Rodríguez11%
Kiko Olivas10%
Nikola Šipčić9%
Jairo Izquierdo9%
Julián Delmás7%
Alfredo Ortuño5%
Pablo Cuñat5%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Gaston Valles4%
Hugo González0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Álex Millán0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Martínez21%
Jairo Izquierdo14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Luis Muñoz9%
Dani Escriche8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Daniel Luna6%
Óscar Clemente6%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Andy Rodríguez3%
José Machín0%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Álex Millán0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Pocho Román0%
Gaston Valles0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cedric Teguia14%
Gaston Valles11%
Álex Millán11%
Luis Muñoz9%
José Machín8%
Dani Escriche5%
Hugo González5%
Andy Rodríguez3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Martín Aguirregabiria0%
Nacho Martínez0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Daniel Luna0%
Salim El Jebari0%
Pocho Román0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →