PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Altay (Kazakhstan) vs Kaspiy Result & Analysis

Date: 10/10/2024
Time: 09:00
Final 0-3
Altay (Kazakhstan)
Altay (Kazakhstan)
Vs
27%
28%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kaspiy
Kaspiy
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Altay (Kazakhstan) win✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy win✓ Hit
45.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W22D21W04L00D21W02L10W13L12LA·AKT26/07H·SD 01/08H·TAR15/08H·ULY22/08A·ZHE29/08H·AKZ05/09A·KAI13/09H·OKZ19/09H·YAS26/09A·KHA04/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.041.301.171.250.931.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.881.360.911.270.861.43
vs Weaker (2)3.000.504.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaspiyKaspiy

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D22D21W20W30W61W21W42W23L30WA·ULY26/07A·YAS08/08A·SD 16/08H·ZHE22/08A·KAI30/08H·AKT05/09A·TAR12/09H·SPO19/09A·EKI26/09H·AKZ03/10
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.102.601.271.400.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.781.132.331.421.180.82
vs Weaker (7)2.711.003.670.672.001.25
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay (Kazakhstan)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.5%
Under 2.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.7%
Under 3.5
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
Altay (Kazakhstan) goals ↓
Kaspiy goals →
01234
08.5%9.8%8.3%4.2%1.6%
16.9%13%9.2%4.6%1.7%
24.5%6.8%5.1%2.6%1.0%
31.7%2.5%1.9%0.9%0.4%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Altay (Kazakhstan) goals (down), columns = Kaspiy goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.28
Ulytau
2.17
Kaspiy
2.10
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.82
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.46
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.36
SD Family
1.11
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.79
Yassy Turkistan
0.76
Arys
0.68
Kyran
0.43
Aktobe Jas
0.41
Altay (Kazakhstan) is 0.75 points worse than Kaspiy in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 2.10).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sport Academy Kairat
2.66
Ulytau
2.41
Kaspiy
2.28
Okzhetpes
2.14
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.93
SD Family
1.89
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.32
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.11
Arys
1.00
Yassy Turkistan
0.97
Aktobe Jas
0.86
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.82
Kyran
0.57
Altay (Kazakhstan) is 1.17 goals worse than Kaspiy in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 2.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.55
Ulytau
1.00
Kaspiy
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.07
Taraz
1.21
Zhetisay
1.28
Ekibastuz
1.29
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.32
Sport Academy Kairat
1.52
Akzhayik
1.71
Kaisar II
2.00
Arys
2.29
SD Family
2.29
Yassy Turkistan
2.45
Kyran
2.57
Aktobe Jas
2.59
Altay (Kazakhstan) is 0.32 goals worse than Kaspiy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D11D00D00D11D01L10W01L10WA·AKT26/07H·SD 01/08H·TAR15/08H·ULY22/08A·ZHE29/08H·AKZ05/09A·KAI13/09H·OKZ19/09H·YAS26/09A·KHA04/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.410.560.420.420.400.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.320.600.360.450.290.71
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %56% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaspiyKaspiy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D10W10W00D40W10W22D11D20WA·ULY26/07A·YAS08/08A·SD 16/08H·ZHE22/08A·KAI30/08H·AKT05/09A·TAR12/09H·SPO19/09A·EKI26/09H·AKZ03/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.471.330.730.330.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.780.571.170.920.360.18
vs Weaker (7)1.000.142.000.000.250.25
Clean sheet %70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay (Kazakhstan)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D22D10W04L00D10W01L00D12L02LA·AKT26/07H·SD 01/08H·TAR15/08H·ULY22/08A·ZHE29/08H·AKZ05/09A·KAI13/09H·OKZ19/09H·YAS26/09A·KHA04/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.740.750.830.530.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.560.760.550.820.570.71
vs Weaker (2)1.500.503.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %56% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaspiyKaspiy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D11D10W30W21W11D20W12L10WA·ULY26/07A·YAS08/08A·SD 16/08H·ZHE22/08A·KAI30/08H·AKT05/09A·TAR12/09H·SPO19/09A·EKI26/09H·AKZ03/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.631.270.531.070.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.000.571.170.500.820.64
vs Weaker (7)1.710.861.670.671.751.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay (Kazakhstan)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
Altay (Kazakhstan) and Kaspiy have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
Altay (Kazakhstan) and Kaspiy have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
Altay (Kazakhstan)'s midfield is €1m less valuable than Kaspiy's (€1m vs €2m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
Altay (Kazakhstan) and Kaspiy have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
A( wins
0
Draws
1
KAS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Altay (Kazakhstan) vs Kaspiy · H/A from A(
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/24AKaspiy Vs A(4-1

Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/24AKhan Tengri Vs A(2-1
26/09/24HA( Vs Yassy Turkistan1-3
19/09/24HA( Vs Okzhetpes1-0
13/09/24AKaisar II Vs A(2-0
05/09/24HA( Vs Akzhayik2-1
29/08/24AZhetisay Vs A(0-0
22/08/24HA( Vs Ulytau0-4
15/08/24HA( Vs Taraz2-1
01/08/24HA( Vs SD Family2-2
26/07/24AAktobe Jas Vs A(0-2

KaspiyKaspiy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/24HKAS Vs Akzhayik3-0
26/09/24AEkibastuz Vs KAS3-2
19/09/24HKAS Vs Sport Academy Kairat4-2
12/09/24ATaraz Vs KAS1-2
05/09/24HKAS Vs Aktobe Jas6-1
30/08/24AKaisar II Vs KAS0-3
22/08/24HKAS Vs Zhetisay2-0
16/08/24ASD Family Vs KAS1-2
08/08/24AYassy Turkistan Vs KAS2-2
26/07/24AUlytau Vs KAS0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Altay (Kazakhstan)
Altay (Kazakhstan)
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.30
HomeWLWWL1.50
AwayWWDLL1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%42%33%
AVG goals2.332.422.27
Over 1.5 %67%58%73%
Over 2.5 %48%50%47%
Over 3.5 %22%33%13%
Scored1.041.170.93
Conceded1.301.251.33
BTTS48%50%47%
Clean Sheet30%25%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Kaspiy
Kaspiy
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.46
HomeLWWWW1.72
AwayDWWWL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%52%28%
AVG goals2.983.442.52
Over 1.5 %80%92%68%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.662.081.24
Conceded1.321.361.28
BTTS62%68%56%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2966
72%
2.3
6216+46
2.7
69%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.10.6
-
2UlytauUlytau2963
69%
2.2
7029+41
3.4
90%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
3KaspiyKaspiy2961
66%
2.1
6629+37
3.3
83%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.31.0
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2960
66%
2.1
7744+33
4.2
83%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.5
-
5Khan TengriKhan Tengri2855
61%
2.0
5530+25
3.0
68%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2851
57%
1.8
5436+18
3.2
89%
82%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
7ZhetisayZhetisay2951
52%
1.8
5137+14
3.0
76%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
8TarazTaraz2841
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.5
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
9Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2838
39%
1.4
3137-6
2.4
71%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
10SD FamilySD Family2831
32%
1.1
5364-11
4.2
96%
89%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.3
-
11AkzhayikAkzhayik2824
25%
0.9
2448-24
2.6
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
12Kaisar IIKaisar II2822
18%
0.8
2356-33
2.8
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
13Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2922
17%
0.8
2871-43
3.4
97%
66%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
14ArysArys2819
18%
0.7
2864-36
3.3
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.3
-
15Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2912
10%
0.4
2575-50
3.4
90%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
16KyranKyran73
14%
0.4
418-14
3.1
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches