This opponent (Zhetisay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zhetisay
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.30
2.29
1.14
1.25
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.47
1.37
1.89
1.00
1.10
1.70
vs Weaker (11)
2.18
1.18
3.00
1.40
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay (Kazakhstan)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.0%
Under 1.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.4%
Under 2.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.9%
Under 3.5
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.0%
No
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
11.1%
0-0 â
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
Altay (Kazakhstan) goals ↓
Zhetisay goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
6.7%
3.3%
0.9%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
4.9%
1.4%
0.3%
2
11%
9.1%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
3
5.6%
4.6%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.1%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Altay (Kazakhstan) goals (down), columns = Zhetisay goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Taraz
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.25
SD Family
2.25
Yelimay Semey
2.25
FK Tobol Kostanay
2.25
Jas Qyran
2.00
Aktobe
2.00
Ordabasy
2.00
Atyrau
1.80
Irtysh
1.75
AKAS
1.67
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.50
FC Astana
1.50
Ulytau
1.50
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50
Kairat Almaty
1.50
Zhetisay
1.33
Talas Karatau
1.17
Arys
1.17
Okzhetpes
0.67
Ekibastuz
0.50
Yassy Turkistan
0.50
Kaspiy
0.50
Khan Tengri
0.33
Turan Turkistan
0.33
Maqtaaral
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Zhenys
0.00
Shakhter Karagandy
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Altay (Kazakhstan) is 0.17 points better than Zhetisay in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.33).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Atyrau
2.80
Kairat Almaty
2.00
Jas Qyran
1.67
Zhetisay
1.67
Taraz
1.50
SD Family
1.50
AKAS
1.33
Akademiya Ontustik
1.25
Yelimay Semey
1.25
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.25
Aktobe
1.20
Talas Karatau
1.01
Arys
1.01
Ekibastuz
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.00
Ordabasy
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.00
Kaspiy
1.00
Irtysh
0.75
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.50
Yassy Turkistan
0.50
FC Astana
0.50
Ulytau
0.50
Maqtaaral
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Turan Turkistan
0.00
Zhenys
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Altay (Kazakhstan) is 1.17 goals worse than Zhetisay in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.67).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.00
Akademiya Ontustik
0.50
FC Astana
0.50
Irtysh
0.50
Aktobe
0.60
Taraz
0.75
Atyrau
0.80
Jas Qyran
1.00
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.00
AKAS
1.00
Zhetisay
1.00
Zhenys
1.00
Yelimay Semey
1.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.00
Ulytau
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.00
Zhetysu
1.00
Talas Karatau
1.28
Arys
1.28
Turan Turkistan
1.33
Okzhetpes
1.33
Maqtaaral
1.50
Ekibastuz
1.50
Kairat Almaty
1.50
Khan Tengri
1.67
SD Family
1.75
Yassy Turkistan
2.00
Shakhter Karagandy
2.00
Kaspiy
2.00
Kaisar
3.00
Altay (Kazakhstan) and Zhetisay are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Altay (Kazakhstan) or Drawâ Hit
80.8%
Avg Implied -
52%
28%
19%
covers Altay (Kazakhstan) + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) or Zhetisayâ Miss
71.6%
Avg Implied -
52%
28%
19%
covers Altay (Kazakhstan) + Zhetisay
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Zhetisayâ Hit
47.6%
Avg Implied -
52%
28%
19%
covers Draw + Zhetisay
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.0%
Under
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.8%
Under
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.5%
Under
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.8%
Under
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
56.1%
Under
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.9%
Under
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âïļ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Altay (Kazakhstan), so a minus line means Altay (Kazakhstan) give that many goals of a start and Zhetisay receive them. At -1, Altay (Kazakhstan) must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Altay (Kazakhstan) win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Zhetisay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zhetisay
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
1.14
0.29
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.58
1.11
0.22
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.36
1.20
0.40
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay (Kazakhstan)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Altay (Kazakhstan)
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.73
0.73
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.71
0.57
0.71
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
3.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhetisay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zhetisay
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
1.14
0.86
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.79
0.78
0.78
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.82
1.80
1.00
0.83
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay (Kazakhstan)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 4.5
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home or Draw
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home +1 handicap
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Away +2 handicap
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home or Away
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →