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Aluminij vs Brinje-Grosuplje Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 4-2
Aluminij
Aluminij
Vs
41%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brinje-Grosuplje
Brinje-Grosuplje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

This match is expected to be a closely contested affair, with Aluminij coming off a draw against Nafta. The model predicts a home win for Aluminij, with a 43% chance of a home victory, 28% chance of a draw, and 29% chance of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 2.6, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring 13.5% of the time.

Aluminij has struggled to score at home, averaging 1.22 goals per match against similar opponents, while conceding 1.44 goals. Brinje-Grosuplje, meanwhile, has averaged 0.5 goals scored away against similar opponents, but has conceded 2.25 goals.

The model's selections include Over 1.5 with a 75% chance, Under 3.5 with a 73% chance, and Over 21.5 fouls with a 72.3% chance. Aluminij has a 43% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 29% chance of losing.

Results analysis

Aluminij’s 4-2 win over Brinje-Grosuplje extended a two-game winning run, confirming the model’s pick of a home victory with a 41 % probability. The final score far exceeded the expected 2.6 goals, and the total of six goals was well above the model’s most likely 2-goal outcome. The model’s favourite was correct, and the match finished in the predicted direction. Every suggested selection was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.4 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.6 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3 %, Under 6.5 hit at 98.2 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.7 %, Under 5.5 missed at 94.9 %, Home under 3.5 goals missed at 94.3 %, and Under 2.5 HT goals missed at 91.0 %.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aluminij win✓ Hit
41.3%
Avg Implied 39.6% · @ 2.30
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.41
Dafabet
2.37
Betano
2.37
Superbet
2.35
10Bet
2.34
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.17
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.29
10Bet
3.25
Dafabet
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Brinje-Grosuplje win✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied 31.7% · @ 2.87
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.02
Dafabet
2.95
1xBet
2.91
Bet365
2.90
William Hil
2.88

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AluminijAluminij

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L05L01L00D03L00D03L01L11D31WH·BRA19/04A·CEL26/04A·KOP09/05H·PRI16/05A·MAR23/05H·MAR19/07A·DIN30/07A·OLI02/08H·NAF09/08A·RAD16/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.701.201.331.002.07
vs Stronger (3)1.002.672.001.000.503.50
vs Similar (27)1.111.591.141.361.081.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Brinje-Grosuplje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D21W40W21W10W20W03L11D11D12LA·DEK29/04H·TAB06/05A·BIS09/05H·NAF17/05A·BIL22/05A·RAD18/07A·MAR25/07H·KOP02/08A·BRA09/08H·MUR16/08← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.972.270.731.731.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.401.071.430.711.381.38
vs Weaker (15)2.600.873.000.752.141.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
@ 1.28+2.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
@ 3.29-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
888Sport
1.30
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Unibet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.7%
@ 1.93+0.5%
Under 2.5
51.3%
@ 1.79-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
SBO
2.00
Bet365
1.95
888Sport
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Under
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.9%
@ 3.27-1.4%
Under 3.5
73.1%
@ 1.29+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.50
Betfair
3.40
888Sport
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.2%
@ 1.70-0.0%
No
45.8%
@ 2.01+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.73
BetVictor
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
1xBet
1.71
No
888Sport
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Betfair
2.05
Betano
2.02
BetVictor
2.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%@ 5.77+6.0%
1-0
9.2%@ 7.43+3.3%
2-1
8.9%@ 8.42+3.7%
0-0
8.5%@ 8.65+3.4%
2-0
7.4%@ 10.84+3.4%
0-1
7.4%@ 8.32+2.2%
1-2
7.4%@ 9.66+2.8%
2-2
5.3%@ 12.22+1.7%
Aluminij goals ↓
Brinje-Grosuplje goals →
01234
08.5%7.4%5.2%2.0%0.6%
19.2%14%7.4%2.9%0.9%
27.4%8.9%5.3%2.1%0.6%
33.5%4.2%2.5%1.0%0.3%
41.3%1.5%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aluminij goals (down), columns = Brinje-Grosuplje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maribor
2.14
Koper
1.71
Celje
1.60
Bravo
1.57
Aluminij
1.33
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.14
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.14
Nafta
1.00
Mura
1.00
Radomlje
0.83
Aluminij is 0.19 points better than Brinje-Grosuplje in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maribor
1.86
Nafta
1.71
Celje
1.60
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.57
Aluminij
1.33
Radomlje
1.17
Bravo
1.14
Mura
1.14
Koper
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.43
Aluminij is 0.24 goals worse than Brinje-Grosuplje in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.71
Koper
0.71
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.71
Aluminij
1.00
Bravo
1.14
Celje
1.60
Radomlje
1.67
Nafta
1.71
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.71
Mura
2.00
Aluminij is 0.71 goals better than Brinje-Grosuplje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AluminijAluminij

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

AluminijAluminij

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (41)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (5)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Brinje-Grosuplje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (26)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
Celje
9.2
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Celje
4.8
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Celje
25.0
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.6%
@ 2.31+11.7%
Under 9.5
48.4%
@ 1.54-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
2.35
1xBet
2.31
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.22
Under
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.47
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.4%
Under 3.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.3%
Under 21.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Aluminij or Draw✓ Hit
69.9%
Avg Implied 68.0% · @ 1.35
Edge
+1.9%
41%
29%
30%
covers Aluminij + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Betfair
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Aluminij or Brinje-Grosuplje✓ Hit
71.5%
Avg Implied 71.6% · @ 1.28
Edge
-0.1%
41%
29%
30%
covers Aluminij + Brinje-Grosuplje
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Draw or Brinje-Grosuplje✗ Miss
58.7%
Avg Implied 60.4% · @ 1.52
Edge
-1.8%
41%
29%
30%
covers Draw + Brinje-Grosuplje
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.53
Betfair
1.53
888Sport
1.53

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Aluminij over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.1%
@ 1.25+2.3%
Under
23.9%
@ 3.53-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.64
BetVictor
3.60
888Sport
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Aluminij over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.9%
@ 2.25+0.8%
Under
58.1%
@ 1.57-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
888Sport
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Under
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Aluminij over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
17.4%
@ 4.89-1.5%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.14+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
888Sport
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
888Sport
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Aluminij over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
5.7%
@ 11.08-2.8%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.04+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
15.00
Betano
9.25
Bet365
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.6%
@ 1.34+0.4%
Under
30.4%
@ 3.00-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.14
Betano
3.05
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
33.4%
@ 2.61-2.0%
Under
66.6%
@ 1.43+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.80
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.61
Marathonbet
2.61
Under
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 6.03-3.4%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.08+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.05
Bet365
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 10.88-5.3%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Aluminij, so a minus line means Aluminij give that many goals of a start and Brinje-Grosuplje receive them. At -1, Aluminij must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Aluminij win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Aluminij)Actual: Draw
Aluminij -2
7.7%
@ 9.00-2.1%
Draw -2
12.7%
@ 6.50-0.9%
Brinje-Grosuplje +2
79.6%
@ 1.16+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
9.00
Draw
Marathonbet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Away
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Handicap -1 (Aluminij)Actual: Aluminij
Aluminij -1
20.4%
@ 4.29+0.3%
Draw -1
20.9%
@ 3.82-1.7%
Brinje-Grosuplje +1
58.7%
@ 1.51+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
3.70
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.88
Unibet
3.30
Away
10Bet
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Unibet
1.47
Handicap +1 (Aluminij)Actual: Aluminij
Aluminij +1
69.9%
@ 1.34+5.5%
Draw +1
17.2%
@ 4.28-2.9%
Brinje-Grosuplje -1
12.9%
@ 5.56-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Unibet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
3.65
Away
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
4.70
Handicap +2 (Aluminij)Actual: Aluminij
Aluminij +2
87.1%
@ 1.09+4.6%
Draw +2
8.8%
@ 8.50-1.8%
Brinje-Grosuplje -2
4.2%
@ 13.00-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.09
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Away
Bet365
13.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AluminijAluminij

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L00D00D01L00D02L00D10W31WH·BRA19/04A·CEL26/04A·KOP09/05H·PRI16/05A·MAR23/05H·MAR19/07A·DIN30/07A·OLI02/08H·NAF09/08A·RAD16/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.870.470.730.331.00
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.440.780.500.710.380.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Brinje-Grosuplje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W20W20W00D10W01L10W10W01LA·DEK29/04H·TAB06/05A·BIS09/05H·NAF17/05A·BIL22/05A·RAD18/07A·MAR25/07H·KOP02/08A·BRA09/08H·MUR16/08← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.471.200.330.670.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.800.400.860.140.750.62
vs Weaker (15)1.070.531.500.500.570.57
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.7%
@ 1.38+2.0%
Under 0.5
31.3%
@ 2.77-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.03
William Hil
2.90
10Bet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
31.0%
@ 2.74-2.6%
Under 1.5
69.0%
@ 1.39+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.88
Betano
2.85
Marathonbet
2.78
1xBet
2.78
Under
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.39
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
9.0%
@ 6.68-4.8%
Under 2.5
91.0%
@ 1.07+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
7.50
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.10
Superbet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aluminij over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.1%
@ 2.00-3.2%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.73+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Aluminij over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 5.99-2.8%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.09+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Aluminij over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 14.88-4.7%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.3%
@ 2.20-1.7%
Under
59.7%
@ 1.59+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
Betano
2.22
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.19
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
9.9%
@ 7.05-3.1%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.06+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 18.62-3.8%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
11.25
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AluminijAluminij

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L01L00D02L00D01L01L01L00DH·BRA19/04A·CEL26/04A·KOP09/05H·PRI16/05A·MAR23/05H·MAR19/07A·DIN30/07A·OLI02/08H·NAF09/08A·RAD16/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.830.730.600.671.07
vs Stronger (3)1.001.002.000.000.501.50
vs Similar (27)0.670.810.640.640.691.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brinje-Grosuplje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L20W01L10W10W02L01L01L11DA·DEK29/04H·TAB06/05A·BIS09/05H·NAF17/05A·BIL22/05A·RAD18/07A·MAR25/07H·KOP02/08A·BRA09/08H·MUR16/08← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.501.070.401.070.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.600.670.570.570.620.75
vs Weaker (15)1.530.331.500.251.570.43
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aluminij over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.6%1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
---+3.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.3%1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
---+4.7%✓ Hit
Under 6.598.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
--+5.1%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.7%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
---+5.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.594.9%1.03
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.01
+2.9%✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals94.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
--+2.8%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals91.0%1.07
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+4.8%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.1%1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-+3.1%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals88.2%1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Superbet
1.07
+3.4%✓ Hit
Under 4.587.4%1.09
Bet365
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
888Sport
1.10
+2.5%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.4%1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-+2.8%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap87.1%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+4.6%✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls84.6%--------
Home under 2.5 goals82.6%1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
888Sport
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.13
+1.5%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap79.6%1.16
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
---+3.0%✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards78.2%--------
Under 5.5 cards76.3%--------
Home over 0.5 goals76.1%1.25
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+2.3%✓ Hit
Over 1.574.9%1.28
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
888Sport
1.30
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+2.9%✓ Hit
Under 3.573.1%1.29
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+1.4%✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls72.3%--------
Under 11.5 corners72.0%1.11
1xBet
1.11
-----8.6%-
Home or Away71.5%1.28
William Hil
1.35
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
-0.1%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
Aluminij and Brinje-Grosuplje have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
Aluminij and Brinje-Grosuplje have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Aluminij and Brinje-Grosuplje have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Aluminij and Brinje-Grosuplje have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
ALU wins
0
Draws
1
BRI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aluminij vs Brinje-Grosuplje · H/A from ALU
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/25HALU Vs Brinje-Grosuplje4-2
03/11/24ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs ALU1-0
11/03/23ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs ALU0-2
26/08/22HALU Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-0

AluminijAluminij

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26ARadomlje Vs ALU1-3
09/08/26HALU Vs Nafta1-1
02/08/26AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs ALU1-0
30/07/26ADinamo Tirana Vs ALU3-0
19/07/26HALU Vs Maribor0-0
23/05/26AMaribor Vs ALU3-0
16/05/26HALU Vs Primorje0-0
09/05/26AKoper Vs ALU1-0
26/04/26ACelje Vs ALU5-0
19/04/26HALU Vs Bravo0-1

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26HBRI Vs Mura1-2
09/08/26ABravo Vs BRI1-1
02/08/26HBRI Vs Koper1-1
25/07/26AMaribor Vs BRI3-0
18/07/26ARadomlje Vs BRI0-2
22/05/26ABilje Vs BRI0-1
17/05/26HBRI Vs Nafta2-1
09/05/26ABistrica Vs BRI0-4
06/05/26HBRI Vs Tabor Sežana2-1
29/04/26ADekani Vs BRI1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aluminij
Aluminij
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDW1.32
HomeWLDDD1.29
AwayLLLLW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%33%42%
AVG goals2.962.883.04
Over 1.5 %82%75%88%
Over 2.5 %68%67%69%
Over 3.5 %30%33%27%
Scored1.441.461.42
Conceded1.521.421.62
BTTS60%67%54%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Brinje-Grosuplje
Brinje-Grosuplje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDL2.18
HomeWWWDL2.54
AwayWWWLD1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%81%50%
AVG goals3.143.083.21
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %34%31%38%
Scored2.162.461.83
Conceded0.980.621.38
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet40%50%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MariborMaribor715
57%
2.1
135+8
2.6
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.90.7
-
2KoperKoper712
43%
1.7
75+2
1.7
57%
14%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.00.7
-
3BravoBravo711
43%
1.6
88+0
2.3
86%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.1
-
4AluminijAluminij68
33%
1.3
86+2
2.3
50%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.0
-
5CeljeCelje58
40%
1.6
88+0
3.2
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7161.61.6
-
6Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje78
29%
1.1
1112-1
3.3
100%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.7
-
7Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana78
29%
1.1
35-2
1.1
29%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6150.40.7
-
8NaftaNafta77
29%
1.0
1212+0
3.4
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.7
-
9MuraMura77
29%
1.0
814-6
3.1
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.12.0
-
10RadomljeRadomlje65
17%
0.8
710-3
2.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.7
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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