Aluminij vs Koper Result & Analysis

Aluminij’s home form has been uneven, with a recent loss to Koper leaving the club on a low note, while Koper arrive on a two-game winning streak. The model therefore favours an away win, giving the visitors a 49% chance of triumph against the 26% home win probability and a 25% chance of a draw. The expected total goals hover at 3.1, yet the most likely total is two, a 23% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.6% chance, reflecting the balanced scoring and conceding figures: Aluminij average 1.58 goals scored and 1.67 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Koper average 1.22 scored and 1.56 conceded away.

Suggested picks from the model include Over 1.5 goals (82.3%), Over 19.5 fouls (85.1%), Over 21.5 fouls (73.1%), Over 2.5 cards (83.3%) and Under 11.5 corners (72.9%). Each of these selections carries its own probability, separate from the match-result odds.

The model’s prediction proved accurate as Koper secured a 1-2 away win, extending their two-game winning run. The pre-match favourite was the away side, given a 49% chance of victory, and the model’s call was correct. The final score matched the predicted outcome, confirming the model’s assessment of the match. Every suggested selection also turned out true: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 85.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 82.3%, Over 21.5 fouls at 73.1%, and Under 11.5 corners at 72.9%. The match’s total goals of two aligned with the most likely scoreline, and the overall performance reflected the teams’ recent form.