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Aluminij vs Koper Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 18:15
Final 0-1
Aluminij
Aluminij
Vs
24%
26%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Aluminij face Koper in a fixture where the model favours an away win, with a 51 % chance for the visitors, 26 % for a draw and 23 % for the hosts. The expected total goals hover at 2.9, but the most likely total is 2 goals, a 24 % probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.2 % chance. Aluminij, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.31 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, while Koper, on the road, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded versus similar teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.4 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.4 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.2 % with a 6 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.2 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.8 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (93.5 % with a 4 % edge) and Under 5.5 (92.8 % with a 4 % edge). Aluminij are on a two-game winning streak, having beaten Brinje-Grosuplje 4-2, while Koper come off a win over Mura 1-0.

Results analysis

Aluminij’s recent run of LWWDL left them still struggling after a 0-1 defeat, while Koper, riding a two-game winning streak, were in fine form. The model’s favourite, an Away win, came through with a 0-1 result, confirming the 50% probability call. The predicted 2-goal total was spot on, and every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 (99.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.6%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.5%), Under 6.5 (97.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (94.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (93.5%) and Under 5.5 (92.8%). The model delivered a clean sweep of accurate selections.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aluminij win✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.24
Edge
-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.44
1xBet
3.40
Unibet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
Dafabet
3.25
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.41
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.61
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Koper win✓ Hit
49.8%
Avg Implied 45.2% · @ 2.01
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.11
Betano
2.10
Superbet
2.10
SBO
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AluminijAluminij

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L01L00D03L00D03L01L11D31W42WA·CEL26/04A·KOP09/05H·PRI16/05A·MAR23/05H·MAR19/07A·DIN30/07A·OLI02/08H·NAF09/08A·RAD16/08H·BRI21/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.731.331.401.002.07
vs Stronger (3)1.002.672.001.000.503.50
vs Similar (27)1.191.631.291.431.081.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W21W20W22D02L11D02L00D10WA·MUR03/05H·ALU09/05A·CEL16/05A·NAF17/07H·RAD26/07H·NSI30/07A·BRI02/08A·MAR09/08H·BRA16/08A·MUR22/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.072.001.001.731.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.741.161.900.901.561.44
vs Weaker (11)2.090.912.201.202.000.67
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.2%
@ 1.20+2.4%
Under 1.5
20.8%
@ 4.00-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.33
Pinnacle
4.15
BetVictor
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.8%
@ 1.68-0.3%
Under 2.5
45.2%
@ 2.06+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.75
SBO
1.74
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Under
Unibet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.11
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.4%
@ 2.70-1.9%
Under 3.5
67.6%
@ 1.41+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.80
Pinnacle
2.78
10Bet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.2%
@ 1.58-1.0%
No
42.8%
@ 2.20+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Betfair
1.60
Betano
1.60
No
Unibet
2.28
Betfair
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.21

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 6.21+5.2%
1-2
9.7%@ 7.74+3.9%
0-1 ✓
8.6%@ 8.12+3.2%
0-2
8.4%@ 9.92+4.0%
0-0
6.8%@ 11.20+2.8%
2-1
6.4%@ 10.29+2.1%
1-3
5.6%@ 13.80+2.3%
2-2
5.5%@ 11.34+1.6%
Aluminij goals ↓
Koper goals →
01234
06.8%8.6%8.4%4.8%2.1%
15.4%12%9.7%5.6%2.4%
23.7%6.4%5.5%3.2%1.4%
31.4%2.5%2.1%1.2%0.5%
40.4%0.7%0.6%0.3%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aluminij goals (down), columns = Koper goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maribor
2.14
Celje
1.83
Koper
1.71
Bravo
1.57
Aluminij
1.14
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.14
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.14
Nafta
1.00
Mura
1.00
Radomlje
0.83
Aluminij is 0.57 points worse than Koper in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maribor
1.86
Nafta
1.71
Celje
1.67
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.57
Radomlje
1.17
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Mura
1.14
Koper
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.43
Aluminij is 0.14 goals better than Koper in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.71
Koper
0.71
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.71
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Celje
1.33
Radomlje
1.67
Nafta
1.71
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.71
Mura
2.00
Aluminij is 0.43 goals worse than Koper in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 0.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AluminijAluminij

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

KoperKoper

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

AluminijAluminij

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (42)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (19)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
Celje
9.4
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Celje
4.9
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Celje
25.0
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.5%
@ 1.89+2.5%
Under 9.5
48.5%
@ 1.81-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.3%
Under 3.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.9%
Under 21.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Aluminij or Draw✗ Miss
50.2%
Avg Implied 54.2% · @ 1.70
Edge
-4.0%
24%
26%
50%
covers Aluminij + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.72
BetVictor
1.70
Aluminij or Koper✓ Hit
74.0%
Avg Implied 73.9% · @ 1.24
Edge
+0.1%
24%
26%
50%
covers Aluminij + Koper
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or Koper✓ Hit
75.8%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.28
Edge
+3.9%
24%
26%
50%
covers Draw + Koper
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Aluminij over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.2%
@ 1.33-1.7%
Under
31.8%
@ 3.08+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.20
BetVictor
3.10
Betano
3.10
10Bet
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Aluminij over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.8%
@ 2.55-4.5%
Under
68.2%
@ 1.45+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.71
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Marathonbet
2.58
10Bet
2.55
Under
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Aluminij over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 5.93-4.6%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.09+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.20
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.09
BetVictor
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Aluminij over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 10.75-5.8%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Koper over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.2%
@ 1.18+3.8%
Under
17.8%
@ 4.28-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Under
BetVictor
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.20
Koper over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
51.5%
@ 1.87+2.1%
Under
48.5%
@ 1.83-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Under
Unibet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
10Bet
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Koper over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.0%
@ 3.81+0.7%
Under
75.0%
@ 1.22-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Pinnacle
3.91
BetVictor
3.90
Betano
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Under
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Koper over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.7%
@ 8.37-1.4%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.05+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Aluminij, so a minus line means Aluminij give that many goals of a start and Koper receive them. At -1, Aluminij must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Aluminij win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Aluminij)Actual: Koper
Aluminij -2
3.0%
@ 17.00-2.5%
Draw -2
6.9%
@ 10.00-2.5%
Koper +2
90.1%
@ 1.10+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
17.00
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
1.10
Handicap -1 (Aluminij)Actual: Koper
Aluminij -1
9.9%
@ 6.93-3.1%
Draw -1
14.3%
@ 5.03-3.6%
Koper +1
75.8%
@ 1.30+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.30
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Draw
Marathonbet
5.35
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.24
Handicap +1 (Aluminij)Actual: Draw
Aluminij +1
50.2%
@ 1.71-1.2%
Draw +1
22.1%
@ 3.73-1.4%
Koper -1
27.7%
@ 3.49+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.20
Away
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.50
Unibet
2.80
Handicap +2 (Aluminij)Actual: Aluminij
Aluminij +2
72.3%
@ 1.26+0.7%
Draw +2
15.6%
@ 5.62-0.5%
Koper -2
12.2%
@ 7.22-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Marathonbet
6.10
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Away
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
6.25

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AluminijAluminij

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D00D01L00D02L00D10W31W12LA·CEL26/04A·KOP09/05H·PRI16/05A·MAR23/05H·MAR19/07A·DIN30/07A·OLI02/08H·NAF09/08A·RAD16/08H·BRI21/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.930.470.870.331.00
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.440.850.500.860.380.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W10W02L01L01L01L00D00DA·MUR03/05H·ALU09/05A·CEL16/05A·NAF17/07H·RAD26/07H·NSI30/07A·BRI02/08A·MAR09/08H·BRA16/08A·MUR22/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.430.930.330.930.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.000.421.100.200.890.67
vs Weaker (11)0.820.450.600.601.000.33
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
72.4%
@ 1.32+2.3%
Under 0.5
27.6%
@ 3.10-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Under
Pinnacle
3.27
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.5%
@ 2.45-2.1%
Under 1.5
64.5%
@ 1.48+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
Betano
2.57
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.47
Under
Unibet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 5.73-2.9%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.10+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.09

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aluminij over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.7%
@ 2.18-3.7%
Under
61.3%
@ 1.60+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.19
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.17
Superbet
2.15
Under
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Aluminij over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 7.33-3.7%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.05+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
8.00
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Aluminij over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 18.62-3.7%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Koper over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
54.6%
@ 1.80+3.1%
Under
45.4%
@ 1.91-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.81
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.99
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Koper over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.1%
@ 5.00-0.4%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.13+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Betano
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Koper over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 11.50-2.8%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.02+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AluminijAluminij

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L00D02L00D01L01L01L00D30WA·CEL26/04A·KOP09/05H·PRI16/05A·MAR23/05H·MAR19/07A·DIN30/07A·OLI02/08H·NAF09/08A·RAD16/08H·BRI21/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.800.870.530.671.07
vs Stronger (3)1.001.002.000.000.501.50
vs Similar (27)0.740.780.790.570.691.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W11D10W20W01L10W01L00D10WA·MUR03/05H·ALU09/05A·CEL16/05A·NAF17/07H·RAD26/07H·NSI30/07A·BRI02/08A·MAR09/08H·BRA16/08A·MUR22/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.631.070.670.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.740.740.800.700.670.78
vs Weaker (11)1.270.451.600.601.000.33
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.6%
@ 1.19+2.9%
Under 0.5
19.4%
@ 4.15-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Betano
4.05
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.1%
@ 1.90-2.5%
Under 1.5
53.9%
@ 1.80+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Under
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.1%
@ 3.82-4.0%
Under 2.5
79.9%
@ 1.21+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.65
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.19

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aluminij over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.9%
@ 1.82-1.9%
Under
51.1%
@ 1.87+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Aluminij over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.0%
@ 5.06-5.2%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.12+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Aluminij over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 12.25-5.2%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Koper over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.6%
@ 1.56+2.4%
Under
38.4%
@ 2.27-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.58
Superbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Under
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Koper over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
27.8%
@ 3.60+2.3%
Under
72.2%
@ 1.23-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.56
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Koper over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 8.83-4.0%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.03+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.50
1xBet
9.30
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.6%1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
---+3.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.5%1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
---+5.2%✓ Hit
Under 6.597.3%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
--+5.4%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.1%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
---+5.8%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals94.7%1.02
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
---+2.8%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals93.5%1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
--+4.0%✓ Hit
Under 5.592.8%1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
+3.0%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals91.1%1.05
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-+3.7%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals90.3%1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.01
--+1.4%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap90.1%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+5.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals89.1%1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.09
BetVictor
1.09
Superbet
1.08
+4.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals87.0%1.12
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-+5.2%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.8%1.10
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.09
+2.9%✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls85.0%--------
Under 4.583.6%1.14
Pinnacle
1.17
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+2.6%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals82.2%1.18
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
+3.8%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals81.9%1.13
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-+0.4%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals80.6%1.19
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
+2.9%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals79.9%1.21
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+4.0%✓ Hit
Over 1.579.2%1.20
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
+2.4%✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards78.1%--------
Under 5.5 cards76.3%--------
Draw or Away75.8%1.28
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+3.9%✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap75.8%1.30
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.24
--+6.7%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals75.0%1.22
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-0.7%✓ Hit
Home or Away74.0%1.24
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+0.1%✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls72.9%--------
Over 0.5 HT goals72.4%1.32
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
+2.3%✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap72.3%1.26
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
--+0.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals72.2%1.23
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
--2.3%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.1%1.25
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
----0.1%-

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
Aluminij's squad is €4m less valuable than Koper's (€4m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
Aluminij's attack is €2m less valuable than Koper's (€2m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Aluminij's midfield is €2m less valuable than Koper's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Aluminij and Koper have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ALU wins
0
Draws
6
KOP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aluminij vs Koper · H/A from ALU
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26AKoper Vs ALU1-0
08/03/26HALU Vs Koper2-4
22/11/25AKoper Vs ALU4-1
29/08/25HALU Vs Koper1-0
11/04/24AKoper Vs ALU2-1
16/02/24HALU Vs Koper1-2
26/11/23HALU Vs Koper3-2
08/10/23AKoper Vs ALU4-1

AluminijAluminij

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HALU Vs Brinje-Grosuplje4-2
16/08/26ARadomlje Vs ALU1-3
09/08/26HALU Vs Nafta1-1
02/08/26AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs ALU1-0
30/07/26ADinamo Tirana Vs ALU3-0
19/07/26HALU Vs Maribor0-0
23/05/26AMaribor Vs ALU3-0
16/05/26HALU Vs Primorje0-0
09/05/26AKoper Vs ALU1-0
26/04/26ACelje Vs ALU5-0

KoperKoper

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26AMura Vs KOP0-1
16/08/26HKOP Vs Bravo0-0
09/08/26AMaribor Vs KOP2-0
02/08/26ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs KOP1-1
30/07/26HKOP Vs NSI Runavik0-2
26/07/26HKOP Vs Radomlje2-2
17/07/26ANafta Vs KOP0-2
16/05/26ACelje Vs KOP1-2
09/05/26HKOP Vs Aluminij1-0
03/05/26AMura Vs KOP0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aluminij
Aluminij
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW1.38
HomeLDDDW1.36
AwayLLLLW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%36%44%
AVG goals3.043.003.08
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %70%68%72%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored1.521.561.48
Conceded1.521.441.60
BTTS62%68%56%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDW1.82
HomeWWDLD2.04
AwayWWDLW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%60%44%
AVG goals3.283.243.32
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %60%64%56%
Over 3.5 %40%36%44%
Scored1.902.041.76
Conceded1.381.201.56
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MariborMaribor715
57%
2.1
135+8
2.6
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.90.7
-
2KoperKoper712
43%
1.7
75+2
1.7
57%
14%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.00.7
-
3CeljeCelje611
50%
1.8
108+2
3.0
83%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7161.71.3
-
4BravoBravo711
43%
1.6
88+0
2.3
86%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.1
-
5AluminijAluminij78
29%
1.1
88+0
2.3
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.11.1
-
6Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje78
29%
1.1
1112-1
3.3
100%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.7
-
7Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana78
29%
1.1
35-2
1.1
29%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6150.40.7
-
8NaftaNafta77
29%
1.0
1212+0
3.4
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.7
-
9MuraMura77
29%
1.0
814-6
3.1
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.12.0
-
10RadomljeRadomlje65
17%
0.8
710-3
2.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.7
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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