Aluminij vs Radomlje Result & Analysis

Aluminij are tipped to win this encounter, with a 42% chance of triumph, a 27% chance of a draw and a 30% chance of Radomlje taking the victory. The model expects a modest 2.8-goal affair, most likely settling on a 1-1 scoreline with a 12.9% probability. Aluminij, playing at home against a side of similar strength, averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded, while Radomlje on the road averages 1.43 goals scored and 0.71 conceded against comparable opposition. The suggested selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 87.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 82.1%, Over 1.5 (hit) at 78.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 76.2% and Under 5.5 cards at 71.1%. Aluminij have just returned from a defeat to Koper, whereas Radomlje come off a draw with Olimpija Ljubljana. The model’s pick remains a home win, with the total expected goals hovering near three.

Aluminij’s recent run of LWWDL left them coming off a defeat, while Radomlje’s DLWLD streak saw them finish a draw. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 42% probability, but the model was wrong as the match ended 0-2 in favour of Radomlje. The model’s selection of Over 1.5, with a 78.5% chance, hit as the game produced two goals. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 at 12.9% did not materialise, nor did the 2-1 or 1-0 options. The final result was an away win, confirming the upset.