This opponent (Lusitânia Lourosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lusitânia Lourosa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.47
1.19
1.19
1.50
1.79
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
1.17
1.33
0.33
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.33
1.54
1.15
1.38
1.55
1.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Amarante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.42
888Sport
1.40
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Unibet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.89
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
Marathonbet
2.21
1xBet
2.21
888Sport
2.20
Betano
2.20
Under
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.30
BetVictor
4.20
888Sport
4.20
Betfair
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Under
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.87
Betfair
1.87
No
Unibet
1.91
Betfair
1.87
10Bet
1.85
888Sport
1.85
William Hil
1.85
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Torreense
1.74
AVS
1.51
Vizela
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
Leixoes
1.47
União de Leiria
1.47
Feirense
1.35
Chaves
1.32
Benfica B
1.29
Felgueiras 1932
1.29
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.26
Tondela
1.26
Sporting CP B
1.24
Farense
1.22
Penafiel
1.21
Portimonense
1.18
Academica
0.97
Amarante
0.81
Amarante is 0.45 points worse than Lusitânia Lourosa in terms of average points per game (0.81 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
União de Leiria
1.53
Leixoes
1.35
Torreense
1.35
AVS
1.31
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.29
Benfica B
1.26
Chaves
1.24
Sporting CP B
1.21
FC Porto B
1.21
Vizela
1.15
Portimonense
1.15
Tondela
1.09
Feirense
1.09
Penafiel
1.09
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Farense
0.89
Academica
0.84
Amarante
0.70
Amarante is 0.59 goals worse than Lusitânia Lourosa in terms of goals scored per game (0.70 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Torreense
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.00
Farense
1.03
AVS
1.04
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
Chaves
1.18
Feirense
1.18
Vizela
1.18
FC Porto B
1.24
Tondela
1.25
Benfica B
1.29
União de Leiria
1.35
Portimonense
1.44
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.53
Leixoes
1.62
Academica
1.63
Amarante
1.94
Amarante is 0.41 goals worse than Lusitânia Lourosa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.94 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chaves
55%
Sporting CP B
54%
Benfica B
54%
Vizela
54%
Felgueiras 1932
54%
União de Leiria
51%
Leixoes
50%
Farense
49%
Penafiel
49%
Portimonense
48%
Lusitânia Lourosa
48%
FC Porto B
47%
Torreense
46%
Feirense
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Amarante
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Lusitânia Lourosa
For 5.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 16.1 · Total 30.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amarante
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Lusitânia Lourosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lusitânia Lourosa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (43)
10.4
9.4
11.5
5.1
4.7
5.5
30.1
31.6
28.3
vs Stronger (7)
10.0
-
10.0
8.4
7.2
10.0
37.0
-
37.0
vs Similar (35)
10.4
9.4
11.8
4.5
4.2
4.9
29.5
31.6
26.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
54%
43%
67%
74%
70%
80%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
46%
57%
33%
26%
30%
20%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Amarante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.5
Portimonense
11.2
Torreense
11.0
Farense
10.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.4
FC Porto B
10.3
Felgueiras 1932
10.1
Vizela
9.9
União de Leiria
9.8
Benfica B
9.6
Tondela
9.6
AVS
9.5
Feirense
9.0
Leixoes
8.9
Chaves
8.8
Sporting CP B
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Benfica B
6.7
Feirense
6.6
Vizela
6.3
FC Porto B
6.0
Leixoes
6.0
Chaves
5.9
Sporting CP B
5.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Felgueiras 1932
5.8
União de Leiria
5.6
Farense
5.6
Portimonense
5.4
Penafiel
5.3
Tondela
5.2
Torreense
5.2
AVS
5.1
Academica
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Farense
31.3
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.1
Leixoes
26.4
AVS
25.9
Sporting CP B
25.0
Tondela
24.6
União de Leiria
23.1
Felgueiras 1932
22.4
Penafiel
21.8
Benfica B
21.2
Torreense
21.1
FC Porto B
21.1
Chaves
20.9
Portimonense
20.8
Vizela
20.8
Feirense
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.4%
@ 1.84+3.2%
Under 9.5
46.6%
@ 1.86-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
83.1%
Under 3.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
81.3%
Under 21.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Amarante
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.33
1.67
0.33
1.00
2.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
-
-
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (4)
1.50
0.75
1.67
0.33
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Lusitânia Lourosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lusitânia Lourosa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.38
0.44
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.62
0.31
0.54
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Amarante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Amarante over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amarante over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amarante over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitânia Lourosa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitânia Lourosa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitânia Lourosa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Amarante
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
1.33
0.33
0.00
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.25
1.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Lusitânia Lourosa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lusitânia Lourosa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.90
0.81
0.75
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.83
0.67
0.33
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.92
0.85
0.85
0.82
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Amarante) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Amarante over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amarante over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amarante over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitânia Lourosa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitânia Lourosa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lusitânia Lourosa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
70.4%
1.29
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
-0.8%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lusitânia Lourosa · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Silva27%
João Vasco25%
Tiago Dias23%
Arsénio Nunes20%
Fabinho18%
Miguel Pereira17%
Luís Rocha0%
Higor Platiny0%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi0%
Tiago Mesquita0%
Rodrigo Martins0%
Silvério Junio0%
Josué Sá0%
Daniel0%
Tiago Cerveira0%
Dylan Collard0%
Alan Do Marcolino0%
Jose Campelo Doria0%
Vitor Hugo0%
Gonçalo Braga0%
Bruno Faria0%
Aly Palacios0%
Miguel Teixeira0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel43%
Bruno Faria43%
Jose Campelo Doria36%
Rodrigo Martins33%
Silvério Junio27%
Tiago Dias23%
Arsénio Nunes20%
Luís Rocha18%
Tiago Cerveira18%
Vitor Hugo15%
Dylan Collard14%
João Silva9%
João Vasco8%
Miguel Pereira8%
Miguel Teixeira8%
Higor Platiny0%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi0%
Tiago Mesquita0%
Fabinho0%
Josué Sá0%
Alan Do Marcolino0%
Gonçalo Braga0%
Aly Palacios0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arsénio Nunes20%
Rodrigo Martins17%
Miguel Pereira17%
Tiago Dias15%
Fabinho9%
Tiago Cerveira9%
Luís Rocha0%
Higor Platiny0%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi0%
Tiago Mesquita0%
João Silva0%
Silvério Junio0%
Josué Sá0%
Daniel0%
João Vasco0%
Dylan Collard0%
Alan Do Marcolino0%
Jose Campelo Doria0%
Vitor Hugo0%
Gonçalo Braga0%
Bruno Faria0%
Aly Palacios0%
Miguel Teixeira0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Silva27%
Miguel Pereira17%
Tiago Dias8%
Luís Rocha0%
Arsénio Nunes0%
Higor Platiny0%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi0%
Tiago Mesquita0%
Fabinho0%
Rodrigo Martins0%
Silvério Junio0%
Josué Sá0%
Daniel0%
João Vasco0%
Tiago Cerveira0%
Dylan Collard0%
Alan Do Marcolino0%
Jose Campelo Doria0%
Vitor Hugo0%
Gonçalo Braga0%
Bruno Faria0%
Aly Palacios0%
Miguel Teixeira0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
SCB (23)
€17m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
AMA (6)
€1m
Amarante's squad is €4m less valuable than Lusitânia Lourosa's (€1m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
TOR (12)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
SCB (9)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
Amarante and Lusitânia Lourosa have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
SCB (5)
€5m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
Amarante and Lusitânia Lourosa have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
SCB (9)
€7m
TON (9)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
ACA (4)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
Amarante's defence is €3m less valuable than Lusitânia Lourosa's (€0m vs €3m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
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Academica
Sporting CP B
Penafiel
Farense
Vizela
Benfica B
Portimonense
União de Leiria
Felgueiras 1932
Leixoes
AVS
Tondela
FC Porto B
Torreense
Feirense
Chaves