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Anagennisi Deryneia vs Ayia Napa Result & Analysis

Date: 29/03/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 3-1
Anagennisi Deryneia
Anagennisi Deryneia
Vs
54%
24%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Anagennisi Deryneia win✓ Hit
54.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa win✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L13L33D01L01L31W24L31W00D10WA·OLY11/01A·MEA18/01H·HAL25/01A·AYI01/02A·PEY08/02H·OTH15/02A·DOX23/02H·SPA01/03H·MEA08/03A·HAL15/03
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.831.881.441.142.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.531.952.001.441.102.40
vs Weaker (11)1.551.641.711.431.252.00
Clean sheet %13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D31W21W10W12L11D14L21W12L22DH·ASI11/01A·HAL18/01A·PEY24/01H·ANA01/02A·OTH08/02H·DOX15/02A·SPA22/02H·MEA01/03H·HAL08/03H·PEY15/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.770.871.731.071.80
vs Stronger (25)0.841.920.751.830.922.00
vs Similar (5)1.601.001.331.332.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.8%
Under 2.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.5%
Under 3.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
3-1 ✓
6.4%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
Anagennisi Deryneia goals ↓
Ayia Napa goals →
01234
05.3%4.1%3.1%1.2%0.4%
17.4%11%6.0%2.4%0.7%
28.2%9.8%5.8%2.3%0.7%
35.3%6.4%3.8%1.5%0.4%
42.6%3.1%1.8%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anagennisi Deryneia goals (down), columns = Ayia Napa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.14
Olympiakos
1.97
Akritas
1.86
AE Zakakiou
1.72
Digenis Morphou
1.69
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Doxa
1.38
Spartakos Kitiou
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.31
Halkanoras
1.28
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.24
PAEEK
1.21
Othellos
1.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.00
Peyia
0.86
Anagennisi Deryneia is 0.07 points worse than Ayia Napa in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.31).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Digenis Morphou
1.76
Halkanoras
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Akritas
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.59
Olympiakos
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.59
Doxa
1.55
AE Zakakiou
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.24
PAEEK
1.24
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Othellos
1.14
Ayia Napa
0.97
Peyia
0.72
Anagennisi Deryneia is 0.62 goals better than Ayia Napa in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Krasava Ypsonas
0.59
Olympiakos
0.66
Akritas
1.00
AE Zakakiou
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Doxa
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.34
PAEEK
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.41
Othellos
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.72
Halkanoras
1.76
Peyia
2.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.07
Anagennisi Deryneia is 0.31 goals worse than Ayia Napa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L11D00D00D10W03L30W00D00DA·OLY11/01A·MEA18/01H·HAL25/01A·AYI01/02A·PEY08/02H·OTH15/02A·DOX23/02H·SPA01/03H·MEA08/03A·HAL15/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.880.440.291.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.630.741.000.220.301.20
vs Weaker (11)0.550.820.710.710.251.00
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W10W00D00D00D12L10W11D01LH·ASI11/01A·HAL18/01A·PEY24/01H·ANA01/02A·OTH08/02H·DOX15/02A·SPA22/02H·MEA01/03H·HAL08/03H·PEY15/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.900.311.000.430.79
vs Stronger (25)0.321.000.311.080.330.92
vs Similar (5)0.600.400.330.671.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W22D01L01L21W21W01L00D10WA·OLY11/01A·MEA18/01H·HAL25/01A·AYI01/02A·PEY08/02H·OTH15/02A·DOX23/02H·SPA01/03H·MEA08/03A·HAL15/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.071.001.000.861.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.891.211.001.220.801.20
vs Weaker (11)1.000.821.000.711.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W11D10W12L11D02L11D01L21WH·ASI11/01A·HAL18/01A·PEY24/01H·ANA01/02A·OTH08/02H·DOX15/02A·SPA22/02H·MEA01/03H·HAL08/03H·PEY15/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.970.560.810.501.14
vs Stronger (25)0.441.040.460.850.421.25
vs Similar (5)1.000.601.000.671.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
AD wins
1
Draws
2
AN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Anagennisi Deryneia vs Ayia Napa · H/A from AD
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/25AAyia Napa Vs AD1-0
28/09/24HAD Vs Ayia Napa1-1
18/03/23HAD Vs Ayia Napa2-0
28/01/23AAyia Napa Vs AD0-1
15/10/22HAD Vs Ayia Napa0-3

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/25AHalkanoras Vs AD0-1
08/03/25HAD Vs MEAP Nisou0-0
01/03/25HAD Vs Spartakos Kitiou3-1
23/02/25ADoxa Vs AD4-2
15/02/25HAD Vs Othellos3-1
08/02/25APeyia Vs AD1-0
01/02/25AAyia Napa Vs AD1-0
25/01/25HAD Vs Halkanoras3-3
18/01/25AMEAP Nisou Vs AD3-1
11/01/25AOlympiakos Vs AD4-0

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/25HAN Vs Peyia2-2
08/03/25HAN Vs Halkanoras1-2
01/03/25HAN Vs MEAP Nisou2-1
22/02/25ASpartakos Kitiou Vs AN4-1
15/02/25HAN Vs Doxa1-1
08/02/25AOthellos Vs AN2-1
01/02/25HAN Vs Anagennisi Deryneia1-0
24/01/25APeyia Vs AN1-2
18/01/25AHalkanoras Vs AN1-3
11/01/25HAN Vs ASIL Lysi1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Anagennisi Deryneia
Anagennisi Deryneia
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.06
HomeLDWWD1.32
AwayLLLLW0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals3.182.763.60
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %64%56%72%
Over 3.5 %46%32%60%
Scored1.361.361.36
Conceded1.821.402.24
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.10
HomeWDWLD1.12
AwayLWWLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%28%32%
AVG goals2.702.882.52
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %22%28%16%
Scored1.061.160.96
Conceded1.641.721.56
BTTS46%52%40%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2962
66%
2.1
4617+29
2.2
59%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.60.6
-
2OlympiakosOlympiakos2957
59%
2.0
4619+27
2.2
72%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.60.7
-
3AkritasAkritas2954
59%
1.9
4829+19
2.7
69%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.0
-
4AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2950
52%
1.7
3831+7
2.4
72%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2949
52%
1.7
5145+6
3.3
83%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
6ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
45%
1.5
3639-3
2.6
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
7DoxaDoxa2940
41%
1.4
4538+7
2.9
72%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
8Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2938
41%
1.3
4848+0
3.3
72%
66%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
9Ayia NapaAyia Napa2938
38%
1.3
2841-13
2.4
66%
48%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
10HalkanorasHalkanoras2937
38%
1.3
5051-1
3.5
86%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2936
34%
1.2
3535+0
2.4
72%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
12Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia2936
34%
1.2
4650-4
3.3
76%
69%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
13PAEEKPAEEK2935
31%
1.2
3639-3
2.6
76%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
14OthellosOthellos2931
31%
1.1
3341-8
2.6
66%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2929
31%
1.0
3660-24
3.3
79%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
16PeyiaPeyia2925
24%
0.9
2160-39
2.8
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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