Anagennisi Deryneia vs Doxa Result & Analysis

Anagennisi Deryneia’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding only 0.83 goals per match against weaker opposition, while Doxa’s away form shows a higher concession rate of 1.0 against stronger teams. The model projects a tight affair with an expected 2.1 goals, most likely a 1-1 draw at 14.5%. Home win is the favoured outcome, with a 41% chance, draw 32%, and away win 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, the only one the model lists for the final result. Suggested picks include an Under 3.5 with an 83% probability, the model’s sole selection for this match. The home side’s average scoring of 1.5 goals per game contrasts with Doxa’s 0.8, underscoring the defensive battle. All probabilities are expressed as percentages, and every selection is named with its exact label.

The upset was immediate: Anagennisi Deryneia, riding a two-game winning streak, fell to a 1-2 defeat, leaving the pre-match favourite - Home win at 41% - out of the picture. The model’s call was wrong, as the actual result was an Away win. The model’s sole other selection, Under 3.5 goals at 83%, proved correct, with the match seeing just three goals. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 did not materialise, and the 2-goal total forecasted fell short of the 2-goal actual tally. Overall, the predictions missed the mark on the outcome but nailed the goal count.