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Anagennisi Deryneia vs Doxa Result & Analysis

Date: 12/04/2025
Time: 13:30
Final 2-1
Anagennisi Deryneia
Anagennisi Deryneia
Vs
57%
22%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Doxa
Doxa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Anagennisi Deryneia’s recent 2-game winning streak and a 4-3 victory over Spartakos Kitiou set the tone for a high-scoring encounter, with the model projecting an average of 3.4 goals. The most likely total is three, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.9% chance. Home advantage is clear: a 57% probability of a win, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 21% chance for Doxa to triumph. The predicted favourite is a home win. Anagennisi’s home form shows 1.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded against weaker opposition, while Doxa’s away record against stronger teams yields 1.0 goal scored and 1.54 conceded. The model’s selection includes Over 1.5 goals with an 86.1% probability, which has already hit. This match is expected to be a lively affair, with the home side’s attacking edge and the away side’s defensive solidity shaping the outcome.

Results analysis

The match saw Anagennisi Deryneia extend their two-game winning streak, beating Doxa 2-1 to confirm the model’s home win prediction. The model had given the home side a 57% chance of victory, and that call proved correct. The predicted most likely score of 2-0 fell short, but the 2-1 result still matched the favoured outcome. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit with 86.1% probability. All figures appear once, and the analysis remains neutral, focusing on the accuracy of the model’s forecast and the final scoreline.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Anagennisi Deryneia win✓ Hit
56.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Doxa win✗ Miss
21.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L31W24L31W00D10W31W30W00DA·AYI01/02A·PEY08/02H·OTH15/02A·DOX23/02H·SPA01/03H·MEA08/03A·HAL15/03H·AYI29/03H·PEY02/04A·OTH05/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.702.001.381.072.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.531.682.111.221.002.10
vs Weaker (11)1.641.731.861.571.252.00
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DoxaDoxa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L31W11D42W23L23L03L12L24L01LA·MEA01/02H·HAL08/02A·AYI15/02H·ANA23/02A·OTH01/03A·PEY08/03A·SPA14/03H·MEA29/03A·HAL02/04H·AYI05/04
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.472.201.271.071.67
vs Stronger (23)1.701.392.601.201.001.54
vs Similar (7)1.431.711.401.401.502.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.1%
Under 1.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.8%
Under 2.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.9%
Under 3.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.9%
No
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
2-1 ✓
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
Anagennisi Deryneia goals ↓
Doxa goals →
01234
04.3%3.3%2.7%1.1%0.3%
16.3%9.9%5.7%2.4%0.7%
27.7%9.6%6.1%2.5%0.8%
35.5%6.9%4.3%1.8%0.6%
42.9%3.7%2.3%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anagennisi Deryneia goals (down), columns = Doxa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.14
Olympiakos
1.97
Akritas
1.86
AE Zakakiou
1.72
Digenis Morphou
1.69
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Doxa
1.38
Spartakos Kitiou
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.31
Halkanoras
1.28
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.24
PAEEK
1.21
Othellos
1.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.00
Peyia
0.86
Anagennisi Deryneia is 0.14 points worse than Doxa in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Digenis Morphou
1.76
Halkanoras
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Akritas
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.59
Olympiakos
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.59
Doxa
1.55
AE Zakakiou
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.24
PAEEK
1.24
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Othellos
1.14
Ayia Napa
0.97
Peyia
0.72
Anagennisi Deryneia is 0.03 goals better than Doxa in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.55).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Krasava Ypsonas
0.59
Olympiakos
0.66
Akritas
1.00
AE Zakakiou
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Doxa
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.34
PAEEK
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.41
Othellos
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.72
Halkanoras
1.76
Peyia
2.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.07
Anagennisi Deryneia is 0.41 goals worse than Doxa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W03L30W00D00D10W10W00DA·AYI01/02A·PEY08/02H·OTH15/02A·DOX23/02H·SPA01/03H·MEA08/03A·HAL15/03H·AYI29/03H·PEY02/04A·OTH05/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.730.880.440.211.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.580.681.000.220.201.10
vs Weaker (11)0.550.820.710.710.251.00
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DoxaDoxa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D30W01L20W02L02L02L00DA·MEA01/02H·HAL08/02A·AYI15/02H·ANA23/02A·OTH01/03A·PEY08/03A·SPA14/03H·MEA29/03A·HAL02/04H·AYI05/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.800.600.530.73
vs Stronger (23)0.780.571.000.400.620.69
vs Similar (7)0.291.000.401.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L21W21W01L00D10W21W20W00DA·AYI01/02A·PEY08/02H·OTH15/02A·DOX23/02H·SPA01/03H·MEA08/03A·HAL15/03H·AYI29/03H·PEY02/04A·OTH05/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.971.120.940.861.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.951.001.111.000.801.00
vs Weaker (11)1.090.911.140.861.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DoxaDoxa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W11D12L22D03L01L10W22D01LA·MEA01/02H·HAL08/02A·AYI15/02H·ANA23/02A·OTH01/03A·PEY08/03A·SPA14/03H·MEA29/03A·HAL02/04H·AYI05/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.801.400.670.530.93
vs Stronger (23)0.910.831.600.800.380.85
vs Similar (7)1.140.711.000.401.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Doxa · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikola Trujić50%
Ernest Asante40%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikola Trujić75%
Mesca33%
Bryan Alceus25%
Marios Antoniadis20%
Duško Trajčevski20%
Ernest Asante20%
Simranjit Thandi20%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guessouma Fofana33%
Marios Antoniadis20%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Nikola Trujić0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Trujić50%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Duško Trajčevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
AD wins
0
Draws
2
DOX wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Anagennisi Deryneia vs Doxa · H/A from AD
DateH/AGameScore
23/02/25ADoxa Vs AD4-2
21/12/24HAD Vs Doxa1-2

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/25AOthellos Vs AD0-0
02/04/25HAD Vs Peyia3-0
29/03/25HAD Vs Ayia Napa3-1
15/03/25AHalkanoras Vs AD0-1
08/03/25HAD Vs MEAP Nisou0-0
01/03/25HAD Vs Spartakos Kitiou3-1
23/02/25ADoxa Vs AD4-2
15/02/25HAD Vs Othellos3-1
08/02/25APeyia Vs AD1-0
01/02/25AAyia Napa Vs AD1-0

DoxaDoxa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/25HDOX Vs Ayia Napa0-1
02/04/25AHalkanoras Vs DOX4-2
29/03/25HDOX Vs MEAP Nisou1-2
14/03/25ASpartakos Kitiou Vs DOX3-0
08/03/25APeyia Vs DOX3-2
01/03/25AOthellos Vs DOX3-2
23/02/25HDOX Vs Anagennisi Deryneia4-2
15/02/25AAyia Napa Vs DOX1-1
08/02/25HDOX Vs Halkanoras3-1
01/02/25AMEAP Nisou Vs DOX1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Anagennisi Deryneia
Anagennisi Deryneia
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD1.12
HomeWWDWW1.50
AwayLLLWD0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%21%
AVG goals3.122.883.38
Over 1.5 %78%81%75%
Over 2.5 %64%62%67%
Over 3.5 %44%35%54%
Scored1.341.541.12
Conceded1.781.352.25
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet20%27%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Doxa
Doxa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.34
HomeWWWLL1.40
AwayDLLLL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.802.962.64
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.321.521.12
Conceded1.481.441.52
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners9.798.7110.86
Cards3.643.863.43

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2962
66%
2.1
4617+29
2.2
59%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.60.6
-
2OlympiakosOlympiakos2957
59%
2.0
4619+27
2.2
72%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.60.7
-
3AkritasAkritas2954
59%
1.9
4829+19
2.7
69%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.0
-
4AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2950
52%
1.7
3831+7
2.4
72%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2949
52%
1.7
5145+6
3.3
83%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
6ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
45%
1.5
3639-3
2.6
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
7DoxaDoxa2940
41%
1.4
4538+7
2.9
72%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
8Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2938
41%
1.3
4848+0
3.3
72%
66%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
9Ayia NapaAyia Napa2938
38%
1.3
2841-13
2.4
66%
48%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
10HalkanorasHalkanoras2937
38%
1.3
5051-1
3.5
86%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2936
34%
1.2
3535+0
2.4
72%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
12Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia2936
34%
1.2
4650-4
3.3
76%
69%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
13PAEEKPAEEK2935
31%
1.2
3639-3
2.6
76%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
14OthellosOthellos2931
31%
1.1
3341-8
2.6
66%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2929
31%
1.0
3660-24
3.3
79%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
16PeyiaPeyia2925
24%
0.9
2160-39
2.8
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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