Anagennisi Deryneia face Ethnikos Achna, with the model favouring an away win. The match is expected to see three goals on average, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.3% chance. Anagennisi, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 2.11 goals scored and 1.22 conceded, while Ethnikos, on the road against a similar side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.55 conceded. The probabilities for the match outcome are 29% for a home win, 26% for a draw, and 45% for an away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Under 6.5 (96.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.7%), Under 5.5 (92.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (91.2%), Away +2 handicap (87.2%), Home under 2.5 goals (85.8%), and Under 4.5 (82.2%). Anagennisi are on a two-game winning streak, having beaten Spartakos Kitiou 4-3, while Ethnikos come off a defeat, losing 1-2 to Omonia Aradippou. The overall shape suggests a tightly contested game with a slight edge to the visitors.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Anagennisi Deryneia win
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna win
45.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Anagennisi Deryneia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.73
2.00
1.33
1.27
2.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.65
1.75
2.11
1.22
1.27
2.18
vs Weaker (10)
1.60
1.70
1.83
1.50
1.25
2.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ethnikos Achna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.67
1.21
1.14
0.81
2.12
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
2.78
1.25
2.00
0.40
3.40
vs Similar (21)
1.10
1.19
1.20
0.80
1.00
1.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.8%
Under 2.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
60.0%
No
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.6%
Anagennisi Deryneia goals ↓
Ethnikos Achna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
7.5%
7.2%
4.0%
1.7%
1
5.6%
12%
9.3%
5.2%
2.2%
2
4.3%
7.2%
6.0%
3.3%
1.4%
3
1.9%
3.1%
2.6%
1.4%
0.6%
4
0.6%
1.0%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anagennisi Deryneia goals (down), columns = Ethnikos Achna goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
Digenis Morphou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Anagennisi Deryneia is 1.29 points worse than Ethnikos Achna in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 2.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Anagennisi Deryneia is 1.27 goals worse than Ethnikos Achna in terms of goals scored per game (1.35 vs 2.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
Anagennisi Deryneia is 0.65 goals worse than Ethnikos Achna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 0.70).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Anagennisi Deryneia or Draw
54.9%
Avg Implied -
29%
26%
45%
covers Anagennisi Deryneia + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia or Ethnikos Achna
73.7%
Avg Implied -
29%
26%
45%
covers Anagennisi Deryneia + Ethnikos Achna
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ethnikos Achna
71.3%
Avg Implied -
29%
26%
45%
covers Draw + Ethnikos Achna
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5
Over
72.6%
Under
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5
Over
37.1%
Under
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5
Over
14.2%
Under
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 3.5
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 0.5
Over
81.1%
Under
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 1.5
Over
49.6%
Under
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 2.5
Over
23.4%
Under
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 3.5
Over
8.8%
Under
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Anagennisi Deryneia, so a minus line means Anagennisi Deryneia give that many goals of a start and Ethnikos Achna receive them. At -1, Anagennisi Deryneia must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Anagennisi Deryneia win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Anagennisi Deryneia)
Anagennisi Deryneia -2
4.3%
Draw -2
8.4%
Ethnikos Achna +2
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Anagennisi Deryneia)
Anagennisi Deryneia -1
12.8%
Draw -1
15.9%
Ethnikos Achna +1
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Anagennisi Deryneia)
Anagennisi Deryneia +1
54.9%
Draw +1
20.8%
Ethnikos Achna -1
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Anagennisi Deryneia)
Anagennisi Deryneia +2
75.8%
Draw +2
14.0%
Ethnikos Achna -2
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Anagennisi Deryneia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.87
0.40
0.27
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.70
1.00
0.22
0.27
1.09
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ethnikos Achna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.64
0.43
0.25
0.69
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.78
0.75
0.75
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.48
0.60
0.30
0.27
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Anagennisi Deryneia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.00
1.13
0.93
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.05
1.05
1.11
1.00
1.00
1.09
vs Weaker (10)
1.10
0.90
1.17
0.83
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ethnikos Achna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.10
0.57
0.71
0.56
1.44
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
2.00
0.50
1.25
0.20
2.60
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.71
0.60
0.50
0.73
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ethnikos Achna · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christos Giousis60%
Nicolas Andereggen25%
Pablo Gonzalez Juarez17%
Emmanuel Lomotey14%
Rafael Camacho0%
Ioakeim Toumpas0%
Juan Bautista Cejas0%
Carlos Rentería0%
Giorgos Papageorgiou0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Alois Confais0%
Patrick Bahanack0%
Luís Machado0%
Richard Ofori0%
Mamadou Kané0%
Martim Maia0%
Javier Siverio0%
Luís Felipe Hungria Martins0%
Rodriguinho0%
Lucas Flores0%
Georgios Angelopoulos0%
Marios Dimitriou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Richard Ofori75%
Mamadou Kané50%
Nicolas Andereggen38%
Pablo Gonzalez Juarez33%
Emmanuel Lomotey29%
Georgios Angelopoulos29%
Carlos Rentería25%
Javier Siverio25%
Christos Giousis20%
Luís Machado14%
Alois Confais12%
Giorgos Papageorgiou11%
Rafael Camacho0%
Ioakeim Toumpas0%
Juan Bautista Cejas0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Patrick Bahanack0%
Martim Maia0%
Luís Felipe Hungria Martins0%
Rodriguinho0%
Lucas Flores0%
Marios Dimitriou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Giorgos Papageorgiou33%
Martim Maia33%
Christos Giousis20%
Juan Bautista Cejas14%
Nicolas Andereggen12%
Rafael Camacho0%
Ioakeim Toumpas0%
Carlos Rentería0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Alois Confais0%
Patrick Bahanack0%
Luís Machado0%
Pablo Gonzalez Juarez0%
Richard Ofori0%
Mamadou Kané0%
Emmanuel Lomotey0%
Javier Siverio0%
Luís Felipe Hungria Martins0%
Rodriguinho0%
Lucas Flores0%
Georgios Angelopoulos0%
Marios Dimitriou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nicolas Andereggen25%
Christos Giousis20%
Pablo Gonzalez Juarez17%
Rafael Camacho0%
Ioakeim Toumpas0%
Juan Bautista Cejas0%
Carlos Rentería0%
Giorgos Papageorgiou0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Alois Confais0%
Patrick Bahanack0%
Luís Machado0%
Richard Ofori0%
Mamadou Kané0%
Emmanuel Lomotey0%
Martim Maia0%
Javier Siverio0%
Luís Felipe Hungria Martins0%
Rodriguinho0%
Lucas Flores0%
Georgios Angelopoulos0%
Marios Dimitriou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →