Anagennisi Karditsas vs Aris Thessalonikis Result & Analysis

Aris Thessalonikis is the clear favourite, with a 57% chance of victory, while a draw sits at 27% and Anagennisi Karditsas a 16% chance of winning. The model expects a modest 2.3 goals in total, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 0-1 for the away side, a 14.6% chance. Anagennisi, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded; Aris, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.0 goal scored and only 0.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 99.8%, Under 7.5 at 99.7% (hit), Over 21.5 fouls at 99.4%, Home under 3.5 goals at 99.3% (hit), Under 6.5 at 99.1% (hit), Over 23.5 fouls at 98.4%, Under 5.5 at 97.0% (hit) and Under 11.5 corners at 96.3%. Anagennisi’s recent form shows five games with two consecutive losses, while Aris is on a five-game winning streak.

The Cup clash saw Aris Thessalonikis continue their five-game winning streak, while Anagennisi Karditsas returned to the bottom of their recent five-match run after two straight defeats. The model’s favourite, an away win, was correct as Aris secured a 0-2 victory. The pre-match probability for the favourite stood at 57%. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.7%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 99.3%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.1% and Under 5.5 hit at 97%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s outcome was reported once, confirming the model’s strong performance.