Defensive solidity will shape this encounter, with Anagennisi Karditsas averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded at home against similarly matched opponents, while Panionios, on the road, has kept just 0.69 goals against and scored 1.31. The model favours an away win, assigning a 35% probability to Panionios triumphing, 32% to a draw and 32% to a home victory. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.8% chance. Recent form offers a narrative: Anagennisi’s last five games read LLDLL after two straight defeats, while Panionios’ streak of DWLLL follows a goalless draw. The model’s selections lean heavily on low scoring: Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.8%), Under 5.5 (97.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3%), Under 4.5 (93.1%), Home under 2.5 goals (91.0%) and Away under 2.5 goals (89.8%). These picks reflect the tight, low-scoring nature projected for the match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Anagennisi Karditsas win
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Panionios win
35.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Anagennisi Karditsas
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.87
1.38
1.12
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.95
1.00
1.27
1.27
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (6)
1.83
0.17
2.33
0.33
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panionios
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.53
1.53
0.47
1.33
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.37
0.56
1.43
0.43
1.31
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
0.50
3.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Karditsas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
65.0%
Under 1.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
36.8%
Under 2.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
17.4%
Under 3.5
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
45.1%
No
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.4%
Anagennisi Karditsas goals ↓
Panionios goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
11%
7.1%
2.6%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
6.4%
7.1%
3.9%
1.5%
0.4%
3
2.2%
2.5%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anagennisi Karditsas goals (down), columns = Panionios goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Larisa
1.80
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Pyrgos 1968
1.41
Zakynthos
1.41
Panthrakikos
1.41
Panserraikos
1.36
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Apollon Pontou
1.18
Anagennisi Karditsas is 0.38 points worse than Panionios in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 2.08).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niki Volos
1.92
PAOK II
1.57
Larisa
1.48
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.16
Zakynthos
1.16
Panthrakikos
1.16
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Panserraikos
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Apollon Pontou
0.97
Anagennisi Karditsas is 0.29 goals worse than Panionios in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.46).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Larisa
0.89
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Pyrgos 1968
1.13
Zakynthos
1.13
Panthrakikos
1.13
Panserraikos
1.17
Apollon Pontou
1.35
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Anagennisi Karditsas is 0.21 goals worse than Panionios in terms of goals conceded per game (0.75 vs 0.54).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Anagennisi Karditsas or Draw
64.6%
Avg Implied -
32%
32%
35%
covers Anagennisi Karditsas + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas or Panionios
67.9%
Avg Implied -
32%
32%
35%
covers Anagennisi Karditsas + Panionios
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Panionios
67.5%
Avg Implied -
32%
32%
35%
covers Draw + Panionios
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 0.5
Over
65.1%
Under
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 1.5
Over
28.4%
Under
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 2.5
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 3.5
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 0.5
Over
67.1%
Under
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 1.5
Over
30.5%
Under
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 2.5
Over
10.2%
Under
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 3.5
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Anagennisi Karditsas, so a minus line means Anagennisi Karditsas give that many goals of a start and Panionios receive them. At -1, Anagennisi Karditsas must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Anagennisi Karditsas win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Anagennisi Karditsas)
Anagennisi Karditsas -2
3.9%
Draw -2
9.2%
Panionios +2
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Anagennisi Karditsas)
Anagennisi Karditsas -1
13.1%
Draw -1
19.3%
Panionios +1
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Anagennisi Karditsas)
Anagennisi Karditsas +1
64.6%
Draw +1
20.5%
Panionios -1
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Anagennisi Karditsas)
Anagennisi Karditsas +2
85.1%
Draw +2
10.3%
Panionios -2
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Anagennisi Karditsas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.69
0.62
0.50
0.14
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.50
0.73
0.82
0.27
0.18
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.17
0.67
0.33
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panionios
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.27
0.67
0.27
0.47
0.27
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.26
0.64
0.21
0.46
0.31
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Karditsas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Anagennisi Karditsas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.47
0.69
0.50
0.29
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.45
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.00
1.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panionios
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.27
0.87
0.20
0.87
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.30
0.79
0.21
0.85
0.38
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Karditsas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Anagennisi Karditsas's squad is €1m less valuable than Panionios's (€4m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Anagennisi Karditsas's attack is €2m less valuable than Panionios's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Anagennisi Karditsas and Panionios have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ATI (10)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Anagennisi Karditsas and Panionios have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panserraikos
Ellas Syros
Niki Volos
Zakynthos
PAOK II
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Marko
Apollon Pontou
Kallithea
Asteras Tripolis II
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Larisa
Pyrgos 1968
Panthrakikos