This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Monaco
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
1.17
2.33
0.93
2.00
1.40
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
1.00
3.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
1.27
1.73
1.60
1.40
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (17)
2.71
0.82
2.67
0.56
2.75
1.12
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Angers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.2%
@ 1.81+6.7%
Under 2.5
40.8%
@ 2.00-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.8%
Under 3.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.9%
0-1 ✓
8.6%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.8%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
Angers goals ↓
Monaco goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
8.6%
9.9%
6.8%
3.5%
1
3.7%
11%
10.0%
6.8%
3.5%
2
2.4%
4.9%
5.0%
3.4%
1.8%
3
0.8%
1.6%
1.7%
1.2%
0.6%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Angers goals (down), columns = Monaco goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lille
2.18
Paris Saint Germain
2.16
Monaco
2.05
Lyon
2.00
Marseille
1.58
Rennes
1.53
Lens
1.50
Montpellier
1.42
Nice
1.37
Metz
1.24
Saint Etienne
1.21
Bordeaux
1.18
Angers
1.16
Reims
1.11
Strasbourg
1.11
Lorient
1.11
Stade Brestois 29
1.08
Nantes
1.05
Nimes
0.92
Dijon
0.55
Angers is 0.89 points worse than Monaco in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 2.05).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.26
Lyon
2.13
Monaco
2.00
Lille
1.68
Montpellier
1.58
Lens
1.45
Marseille
1.42
Rennes
1.37
Nice
1.32
Stade Brestois 29
1.32
Lorient
1.32
Strasbourg
1.29
Nantes
1.24
Metz
1.16
Reims
1.11
Saint Etienne
1.11
Bordeaux
1.11
Nimes
1.05
Angers
1.05
Dijon
0.66
Angers is 0.95 goals worse than Monaco in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lille
0.61
Paris Saint Germain
0.74
Rennes
1.05
Monaco
1.11
Lyon
1.13
Marseille
1.24
Metz
1.26
Reims
1.32
Nice
1.39
Lens
1.42
Saint Etienne
1.42
Nantes
1.45
Bordeaux
1.47
Angers
1.53
Strasbourg
1.53
Montpellier
1.63
Stade Brestois 29
1.74
Lorient
1.79
Nimes
1.87
Dijon
1.92
Angers is 0.42 goals worse than Monaco in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Angers
For 4.9 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 15.4 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Monaco
For 5.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Angers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.4
9.5
3.8
4.1
3.5
25.2
26.1
24.3
vs Stronger (20)
9.3
10.0
8.7
3.2
3.6
2.9
25.1
25.7
24.5
vs Similar (23)
9.5
8.8
10.2
4.3
4.6
4.0
25.6
27.5
23.5
vs Weaker (7)
9.7
9.7
9.8
3.6
3.7
3.5
24.1
21.7
26.0
% over line
40%
48%
32%
50%
52%
48%
72%
80%
64%
% under line
60%
52%
68%
50%
48%
52%
28%
20%
36%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Monaco
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.0
9.7
4.6
4.3
4.9
25.3
24.8
25.8
vs Stronger (4)
7.5
5.5
9.5
4.8
5.5
4.0
22.8
27.0
18.5
vs Similar (14)
9.1
8.6
9.6
5.1
5.6
4.6
25.9
26.6
25.1
vs Weaker (32)
9.7
9.6
9.8
4.4
3.6
5.1
25.3
23.7
26.9
% over line
42%
36%
48%
66%
68%
64%
80%
72%
88%
% under line
58%
64%
52%
34%
32%
36%
20%
28%
12%
This opponent (Angers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bordeaux
10.8
Nice
10.4
Metz
10.3
Lyon
10.0
Dijon
10.0
Paris Saint Germain
9.8
Montpellier
9.7
Stade Brestois 29
9.7
Lorient
9.6
Nantes
9.6
Lens
9.5
Angers
9.5
Strasbourg
9.3
Marseille
9.3
Monaco
9.3
Nimes
9.3
Saint Etienne
9.1
Lille
9.0
Reims
9.0
Rennes
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lens
5.0
Marseille
4.9
Nimes
4.6
Monaco
4.6
Nantes
4.3
Montpellier
4.3
Saint Etienne
4.3
Lyon
4.3
Bordeaux
4.3
Lille
4.2
Paris Saint Germain
4.2
Metz
4.2
Rennes
4.1
Nice
4.1
Lorient
4.0
Reims
3.9
Stade Brestois 29
3.8
Angers
3.8
Dijon
3.7
Strasbourg
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lens
28.5
Rennes
27.3
Nantes
27.1
Montpellier
27.1
Saint Etienne
27.0
Nimes
26.8
Lille
26.4
Dijon
26.0
Marseille
25.9
Metz
25.9
Lorient
25.6
Bordeaux
25.5
Monaco
25.3
Angers
25.2
Lyon
25.0
Stade Brestois 29
24.8
Strasbourg
24.7
Reims
24.6
Nice
24.5
Paris Saint Germain
24.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.7%
Under 9.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.3%
Under 3.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.4%
Under 21.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Angers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.71
0.71
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
0.77
0.67
0.33
0.57
1.14
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.79
0.57
1.00
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Monaco
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.60
0.60
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.91
0.60
0.80
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
0.88
0.41
0.67
0.33
1.12
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Angers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Angers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Angers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Angers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Angers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.36
0.86
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.15
0.00
1.33
0.57
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.57
0.57
0.57
0.00
0.57
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Monaco
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.53
1.73
0.33
1.20
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.82
1.00
0.60
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
1.82
0.41
2.00
0.22
1.62
0.62
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Angers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Angers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Angers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Angers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Angers · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sidiki Cherif20%
Jim Allevinah17%
Prosper Peter16%
Himad Abdelli15%
Goduine Koyalipou15%
Amine Sbai15%
Djibirin Harouna13%
Yassin Belkhdim7%
Lilian Raolisoa6%
Louis Mouton6%
Lanroy Machine4%
Ousmane Camara3%
Abdoulaye Bamba0%
Haris Belkebla0%
Carlens Arcus0%
Pierrick Capelle0%
Jordan Lefort0%
Hervé Koffi0%
Branco Van den Boomen0%
Florent Hanin0%
Melvin Zinga0%
Jacques Ekomié0%
Emmanuel Biumla0%
Oumar Pona0%
Justin-Noel Kalumba0%
Dan Sinaté0%
Marius Courcoul0%
Marius Louer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oumar Pona25%
Haris Belkebla24%
Carlens Arcus21%
Yassin Belkhdim21%
Pierrick Capelle17%
Sidiki Cherif15%
Abdoulaye Bamba14%
Branco Van den Boomen13%
Djibirin Harouna13%
Jacques Ekomié12%
Marius Louer11%
Lilian Raolisoa9%
Himad Abdelli8%
Amine Sbai7%
Ousmane Camara6%
Louis Mouton6%
Lanroy Machine4%
Hervé Koffi3%
Jordan Lefort3%
Goduine Koyalipou0%
Jim Allevinah0%
Florent Hanin0%
Melvin Zinga0%
Emmanuel Biumla0%
Justin-Noel Kalumba0%
Dan Sinaté0%
Marius Courcoul0%
Prosper Peter0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lilian Raolisoa12%
Carlens Arcus11%
Goduine Koyalipou8%
Yassin Belkhdim7%
Branco Van den Boomen7%
Djibirin Harouna7%
Pierrick Capelle6%
Jordan Lefort6%
Amine Sbai4%
Louis Mouton3%
Abdoulaye Bamba0%
Haris Belkebla0%
Himad Abdelli0%
Jim Allevinah0%
Hervé Koffi0%
Florent Hanin0%
Melvin Zinga0%
Ousmane Camara0%
Jacques Ekomié0%
Emmanuel Biumla0%
Oumar Pona0%
Lanroy Machine0%
Justin-Noel Kalumba0%
Dan Sinaté0%
Sidiki Cherif0%
Marius Courcoul0%
Marius Louer0%
Prosper Peter0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Goduine Koyalipou15%
Yassin Belkhdim11%
Himad Abdelli8%
Branco Van den Boomen7%
Prosper Peter6%
Louis Mouton6%
Sidiki Cherif5%
Lanroy Machine4%
Amine Sbai4%
Ousmane Camara3%
Abdoulaye Bamba0%
Haris Belkebla0%
Carlens Arcus0%
Pierrick Capelle0%
Jordan Lefort0%
Jim Allevinah0%
Hervé Koffi0%
Florent Hanin0%
Lilian Raolisoa0%
Melvin Zinga0%
Jacques Ekomié0%
Emmanuel Biumla0%
Oumar Pona0%
Justin-Noel Kalumba0%
Dan Sinaté0%
Marius Courcoul0%
Marius Louer0%
Djibirin Harouna0%
Monaco · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Paris Brunner75%
Mika Biereth50%
Aleksandr Golovin33%
Mamadou Coulibaly33%
Eric Dier25%
Lamine Camara25%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Vanderson0%
Nazinho0%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Mathys Detourbet0%
Anis Soubeir0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandr Golovin33%
Mathys Detourbet33%
Lukáš Hrádecký25%
Denis Zakaria25%
Vanderson25%
Nazinho25%
Lamine Camara25%
Anis Soubeir25%
Eric Dier0%
Mika Biereth0%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo0%
Paris Brunner0%
Mamadou Coulibaly0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nazinho50%
Aleksandr Golovin33%
Mamadou Coulibaly33%
Mathys Detourbet33%
Eric Dier25%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo25%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Mika Biereth0%
Vanderson0%
Lamine Camara0%
Paris Brunner0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Anis Soubeir0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paris Brunner50%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo25%
Aleksandr Golovin0%
Eric Dier0%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Mika Biereth0%
Vanderson0%
Nazinho0%
Lamine Camara0%
Mamadou Coulibaly0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Mathys Detourbet0%
Anis Soubeir0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
NIC (28)
€152m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
REI (30)
€72m
SB2 (20)
€64m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
DIJ (20)
€5m
Angers's squad is €253m less valuable than Monaco's (€73m vs €326m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
DIJ (7)
€1m
Angers's attack is €118m less valuable than Monaco's (€30m vs €148m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
REN (5)
€44m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
LEN (5)
€24m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
DIJ (6)
€2m
Angers's midfield is €73m less valuable than Monaco's (€11m vs €84m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
NIC (11)
€60m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
SB2 (8)
€19m
MON (10)
€12m
MET (10)
€8m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Angers's defence is €61m less valuable than Monaco's (€32m vs €93m).
France: Ligue 1 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →
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Lille
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Marseille
Rennes
Lens
Montpellier
Nice
Metz
Saint Etienne
Bordeaux
Reims
Strasbourg
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
Nimes
Dijon