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Annagh United vs Ards Result & Analysis

Date: 29/11/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Annagh United
Annagh United
Vs
51%
29%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ards
Ards
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Annagh United win✓ Hit
51.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ards win✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W20W10W20W01L32W02L01L20WH·LOU16/09A·WAR20/09H·INS27/09A·QUE04/10H·H&W11/10A·LIM18/10A·LOU01/11H·QUE08/11A·INS15/11H·ARM22/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.031.711.072.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.620.851.330.831.860.86
vs Weaker (17)2.061.182.001.252.111.11
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ards) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArdsArds

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W11D30W14L01L03L01L01L14L01LH·ARM20/09A·LOU27/09A·NEW04/10H·LIM11/10A·QUE18/10H·INS25/10A·BAL31/10A·ARM08/11H·H&W15/11A·LIM22/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.471.431.860.941.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.201.301.201.501.201.10
vs Weaker (10)1.101.802.002.750.501.17
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Annagh United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.7%
Under 1.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.8%
Under 2.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.8%
Under 3.5
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.1%
No
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
Annagh United goals ↓
Ards goals →
01234
012%7.2%3.4%0.9%0.2%
114%13%4.9%1.3%0.3%
211%8.8%3.5%0.9%0.2%
35.4%4.3%1.7%0.4%0.1%
41.9%1.5%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annagh United goals (down), columns = Ards goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Limavady United
2.13
Annagh United
1.89
H&W Welders
1.74
Newington Youth
1.58
Institute
1.55
Queen's University
1.50
Loughgall
1.47
Ards
1.37
Warrenpoint Town
1.08
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Dundela
0.74
Armagh City
0.50
Annagh United is 0.53 points better than Ards in terms of average points per game (1.89 vs 1.37).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
H&W Welders
2.29
Newington Youth
2.03
Limavady United
1.82
Institute
1.55
Ards
1.47
Annagh United
1.45
Queen's University
1.34
Loughgall
1.32
Warrenpoint Town
1.18
Ballinamallard United
1.16
Dundela
1.13
Armagh City
0.79
Annagh United is 0.03 goals worse than Ards in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.47).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Limavady United
0.89
Loughgall
1.00
Annagh United
1.03
Queen's University
1.21
Institute
1.21
H&W Welders
1.26
Ards
1.34
Warrenpoint Town
1.39
Ballinamallard United
1.58
Newington Youth
1.63
Dundela
2.03
Armagh City
2.95
Annagh United is 0.32 goals better than Ards in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.34).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W10W20W00D10W00D01L20WH·LOU16/09A·WAR20/09H·INS27/09A·QUE04/10H·H&W11/10A·LIM18/10A·LOU01/11H·QUE08/11A·INS15/11H·ARM22/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.470.710.361.120.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.000.380.500.001.430.71
vs Weaker (17)0.880.530.880.620.890.44
Clean sheet %70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Ards) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArdsArds

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D10W01L00D01L00D01L01L00DH·ARM20/09A·LOU27/09A·NEW04/10H·LIM11/10A·QUE18/10H·INS25/10A·BAL31/10A·ARM08/11H·H&W15/11A·LIM22/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.570.500.710.380.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.450.500.400.500.500.50
vs Weaker (10)0.400.700.751.250.170.33
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Annagh United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Annagh United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ards over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ards over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ards over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W00D00D01L22D02L00D00DH·LOU16/09A·WAR20/09H·INS27/09A·QUE04/10H·H&W11/10A·LIM18/10A·LOU01/11H·QUE08/11A·INS15/11H·ARM22/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.571.000.710.880.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.460.830.830.430.14
vs Weaker (17)1.180.651.120.621.220.67
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ards) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArdsArds

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D20W13L01L02L01L00D13L01LH·ARM20/09A·LOU27/09A·NEW04/10H·LIM11/10A·QUE18/10H·INS25/10A·BAL31/10A·ARM08/11H·H&W15/11A·LIM22/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.900.931.140.560.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.750.800.801.000.700.60
vs Weaker (10)0.701.101.251.500.330.83
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Annagh United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Annagh United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ards over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ards over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ards over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AC (2)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HW (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
AU wins
2
Draws
2
ARD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Annagh United vs Ards · H/A from AU
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25AArds Vs AU1-2
26/04/25HAU Vs Ards1-0
08/03/25AArds Vs AU2-0
21/12/24HAU Vs Ards0-1
12/10/24AArds Vs AU1-1
19/01/24HAU Vs Ards2-0
21/10/23AArds Vs AU2-3
19/08/23HAU Vs Ards0-0

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25HAU Vs Armagh City2-0
15/11/25AInstitute Vs AU1-0
08/11/25HAU Vs Queen's University0-2
01/11/25ALoughgall Vs AU2-3
18/10/25ALimavady United Vs AU1-0
11/10/25HAU Vs H&W Welders2-0
04/10/25AQueen's University Vs AU0-1
27/09/25HAU Vs Institute2-0
20/09/25AWarrenpoint Town Vs AU0-1
16/09/25HAU Vs Loughgall1-1

ArdsArds

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25ALimavady United Vs ARD1-0
15/11/25HARD Vs H&W Welders1-4
08/11/25AArmagh City Vs ARD1-0
31/10/25ABallinamallard United Vs ARD1-0
25/10/25HARD Vs Institute0-3
18/10/25AQueen's University Vs ARD1-0
11/10/25HARD Vs Limavady United1-4
04/10/25ANewington Youth Vs ARD0-3
27/09/25ALoughgall Vs ARD1-1
20/09/25HARD Vs Armagh City2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Annagh United
Annagh United
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.94
HomeDWWLW2.17
AwayWWLWL1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%67%54%
AVG goals2.742.672.81
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %44%33%54%
Over 3.5 %24%25%23%
Scored1.761.831.69
Conceded0.980.831.12
BTTS38%33%42%
Clean Sheet48%58%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Ards
Ards
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.24
HomeLWLLL1.28
AwayWLLLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.763.002.52
Over 1.5 %66%76%56%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %40%44%36%
Scored1.301.401.20
Conceded1.461.601.32
BTTS52%64%40%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Limavady UnitedLimavady United3881
63%
2.1
6934+35
2.7
68%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
2Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3872
58%
1.9
5539+16
2.5
71%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
3H&W WeldersH&W Welders3866
50%
1.7
8748+39
3.6
92%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
4Newington YouthNewington Youth3860
47%
1.6
7762+15
3.7
87%
74%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
5InstituteInstitute3859
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
71%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
6QueenQueen's University3857
39%
1.5
5146+5
2.6
76%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LoughgallLoughgall3856
37%
1.5
5038+12
2.3
74%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
8ArdsArds3852
39%
1.4
5651+5
2.8
74%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town3841
29%
1.1
4553-8
2.6
58%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
10Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3838
24%
1.0
4460-16
2.7
68%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
11DundelaDundela3828
13%
0.7
4377-34
3.2
89%
68%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12Armagh CityArmagh City3819
11%
0.5
30112-82
3.7
87%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.9
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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