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Annagh United vs Limavady United Result & Analysis

Date: 18/04/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 0-2
Annagh United
Annagh United
Vs
29%
28%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Limavady United
Limavady United
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Annagh United a 29% win probability against Limavady United in the Northern-Ireland: Championship on 2026-04-18, with 28% for the draw and 43% for Limavady United. The model estimates around 2.7 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (26%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.4%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (76%), Under 3.5 (72%).

Results analysis

Annagh United finished 0-2 against Limavady United (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 29% home win, 28% draw and 43% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (76%), Under 3.5 (72%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Annagh United win✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Limavady United win✓ Hit
42.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W00D21W10W32W10W11D01L11D04LH·INS17/02A·BAL21/02H·H&W28/02H·WAR03/03H·ARD07/03A·WAR14/03H·DUN21/03A·NEW27/03H·LOU04/04H·QUE11/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.971.711.061.080.85
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.251.750.003.000.500.50
vs Weaker (26)1.620.851.930.801.180.91
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Limavady United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W00D11D02L20W41W41W10W00D51WA·INS14/02H·LOU21/02A·DUN27/02A·ARD03/03A·QUE11/03A·NEW14/03A·H&W21/03A·LOU28/03H·H&W03/04A·NEW11/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.971.861.002.120.94
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.001.50--
vs Similar (13)2.310.922.000.502.441.11
vs Weaker (15)1.870.932.001.121.710.71
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Annagh United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.1%
Under 1.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.3%
Under 2.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.3%
Under 3.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.0%
0-2 ✓
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.4%
Annagh United goals ↓
Limavady United goals →
01234
08.0%8.9%7.5%3.7%1.4%
17.0%13%9.0%4.5%1.7%
24.9%7.3%5.4%2.7%1.0%
32.0%2.9%2.2%1.1%0.4%
40.6%0.9%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annagh United goals (down), columns = Limavady United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Limavady United
2.13
Annagh United
1.89
H&W Welders
1.74
Newington Youth
1.58
Institute
1.55
Queen's University
1.50
Loughgall
1.47
Ards
1.37
Warrenpoint Town
1.08
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Dundela
0.74
Armagh City
0.50
Annagh United is 0.24 points worse than Limavady United in terms of average points per game (1.89 vs 2.13).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
H&W Welders
2.29
Newington Youth
2.03
Limavady United
1.82
Institute
1.55
Ards
1.47
Annagh United
1.45
Queen's University
1.34
Loughgall
1.32
Warrenpoint Town
1.18
Ballinamallard United
1.16
Dundela
1.13
Armagh City
0.79
Annagh United is 0.37 goals worse than Limavady United in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.82).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Limavady United
0.89
Loughgall
1.00
Annagh United
1.03
Queen's University
1.21
Institute
1.21
H&W Welders
1.26
Ards
1.34
Warrenpoint Town
1.39
Ballinamallard United
1.58
Newington Youth
1.63
Dundela
2.03
Armagh City
2.95
Annagh United is 0.13 goals worse than Limavady United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 0.89).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸ”Ē 6. Odd / Even

ðŸĨ… 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 8. Handicap

ðŸ”Ĩ 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€0m
LOU (33)
€0m
HW (38)
€0m
AC (62)
€0m
WT (32)
€0m
BU (38)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (0)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (0)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (0)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Annagh United vs Limavady United · H/A from AU
DateH/AGameScore
31/12/25ALimavady United Vs AU1-3
18/10/25ALimavady United Vs AU1-0
09/08/25HAU Vs Limavady United2-0
19/04/25ALimavady United Vs AU0-2
22/02/25HAU Vs Limavady United2-2
16/11/24ALimavady United Vs AU2-1
28/09/24HAU Vs Limavady United1-1

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HAU Vs Queen's University0-4
04/04/26HAU Vs Loughgall1-1
27/03/26ANewington Youth Vs AU1-0
21/03/26HAU Vs Dundela1-1
14/03/26AWarrenpoint Town Vs AU0-1
07/03/26HAU Vs Ards3-2
03/03/26HAU Vs Warrenpoint Town1-0
28/02/26HAU Vs H&W Welders2-1
21/02/26ABallinamallard United Vs AU0-0
17/02/26HAU Vs Institute3-1

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26ANewington Youth Vs LU1-5
03/04/26HLU Vs H&W Welders0-0
28/03/26ALoughgall Vs LU0-1
21/03/26AH&W Welders Vs LU1-4
14/03/26ANewington Youth Vs LU1-4
11/03/26AQueen's University Vs LU0-2
03/03/26AArds Vs LU2-0
27/02/26ADundela Vs LU1-1
21/02/26HLU Vs Loughgall0-0
14/02/26AInstitute Vs LU1-2

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Annagh United
Annagh United
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL2.00
HomeWWDDL2.12
AwayLLDWL1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%65%58%
AVG goals2.802.922.67
Over 1.5 %72%85%58%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.741.771.71
Conceded1.061.150.96
BTTS46%54%38%
Clean Sheet36%35%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Limavady United
Limavady United
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW2.04
HomeWLWDD2.00
AwayWWWWW2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%58%58%
AVG goals2.762.582.92
Over 1.5 %74%58%88%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %34%38%31%
Scored1.801.711.88
Conceded0.960.881.04
BTTS54%33%73%
Clean Sheet36%54%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Limavady UnitedLimavady United3881
63%
2.1
6934+35
2.7
68%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
2Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3872
58%
1.9
5539+16
2.5
71%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
3H&W WeldersH&W Welders3866
50%
1.7
8748+39
3.6
92%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
4Newington YouthNewington Youth3860
47%
1.6
7762+15
3.7
87%
74%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
5InstituteInstitute3859
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
71%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
6QueenQueen's University3857
39%
1.5
5146+5
2.6
76%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LoughgallLoughgall3856
37%
1.5
5038+12
2.3
74%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
8ArdsArds3852
39%
1.4
5651+5
2.8
74%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town3841
29%
1.1
4553-8
2.6
58%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
10Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3838
24%
1.0
4460-16
2.7
68%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
11DundelaDundela3828
13%
0.7
4377-34
3.2
89%
68%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12Armagh CityArmagh City3819
11%
0.5
30112-82
3.7
87%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.9
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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