Annagh United vs Warrenpoint Town Result & Analysis

Annagh United are favoured to win at home, with a 44% chance of lifting the trophy, a 28% chance of a draw and a 28% chance of losing. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, with the most likely total being two goals at 26%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.4% probability. Annagh United have been prolific at home against weaker opposition, averaging 1.88 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, while Warrenpoint Town, playing away against stronger teams, average 1.92 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 75.6% and Under 3.5 goals at 72.3%. The final score of 0-1 shows an away win, but the prediction favoured a home victory. The recent form notes that Annagh United are on a two-game winning run after a 3-1 win over Ballinamallard United, whereas Warrenpoint Town are coming off a draw after a 3-3 match with Loughgall.

The upset was immediate: Annagh United’s 2-game winning streak at home was snapped by a 0-1 defeat to Warrenpoint Town. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was wrong, with a 44% probability, and the model’s pick proved incorrect. The match finished 0-1, an away win. The model’s other selections also fell short: Over 1.5, with a 75.6% chance, missed, while Under 3.5, at 72.3%, hit. The expected total of 2.7 and the most likely 2-goal outcome did not materialise, and the 26% chance of the 1-1 scoreline was also not achieved. Warrenpoint’s away form, a draw before this game, proved decisive.