This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apoel Nicosia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
0.67
2.40
0.53
1.47
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.31
0.81
1.38
0.62
1.25
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
2.64
0.50
3.57
0.43
1.71
0.57
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.8%
Under 1.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.1%
Under 2.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.6%
Under 3.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.2%
No
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0 â
11.1%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.5%
Anorthosis goals ↓
Apoel Nicosia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
11%
7.8%
3.3%
1.0%
1
9.0%
14%
8.3%
3.5%
1.1%
2
5.5%
7.0%
4.4%
1.9%
0.6%
3
1.9%
2.5%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anorthosis goals (down), columns = Apoel Nicosia goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Larnaca
2.03
Apoel Nicosia
2.03
Omonia Nicosia
1.92
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.72
Apollon Limassol
1.65
Anorthosis
1.47
AEL
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.27
Ethnikos Achna
1.25
Karmiotissa
1.00
Doxa
0.88
Othellos
0.82
AE Zakakiou
0.45
Anorthosis is 0.56 points worse than Apoel Nicosia in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 2.03).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Apoel Nicosia
1.75
Aris
1.75
Ethnikos Achna
1.75
Omonia Nicosia
1.72
Pafos
1.67
Apollon Limassol
1.60
AEK Larnaca
1.58
AEL
1.52
Karmiotissa
1.45
Nea Salamis
1.30
Anorthosis
1.28
Othellos
1.20
AE Zakakiou
1.00
Doxa
0.85
Anorthosis is 0.47 goals worse than Apoel Nicosia in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.75).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.86
Pafos
0.92
Aris
0.94
Apollon Limassol
0.95
Omonia Nicosia
1.03
Anorthosis
1.17
Nea Salamis
1.52
AEL
1.70
Doxa
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.93
Othellos
1.93
Ethnikos Achna
1.98
AE Zakakiou
2.50
Anorthosis is 0.50 goals worse than Apoel Nicosia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 0.67).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
56%
Aris
56%
Apollon Limassol
55%
Anorthosis
54%
Karmiotissa
53%
AEK Larnaca
52%
Nea Salamis
52%
Apoel Nicosia
51%
AEL
49%
AE Zakakiou
48%
Othellos
44%
Omonia Nicosia
44%
Ethnikos Achna
42%
Doxa
40%
Anorthosis is 3.5 percentage points better than Apoel Nicosia in terms of average possession (54% vs 51%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Anorthosis
For 4.4 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 17.3 · Total 30.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Apoel Nicosia
For 7.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 9.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 16.4 · Total 29.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Anorthosis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.1
8.9
5.2
5.6
4.8
29.1
28.6
29.5
vs Stronger (9)
7.7
7.0
8.5
6.3
6.6
6.0
31.4
32.4
29.7
vs Similar (33)
9.4
9.8
8.9
5.0
5.5
4.6
28.2
27.6
28.7
vs Weaker (8)
9.1
9.0
9.2
4.6
5.0
4.2
30.5
28.0
33.0
% over line
40%
44%
36%
64%
72%
56%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
60%
56%
64%
36%
28%
44%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apoel Nicosia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.6
8.4
5.3
5.0
5.7
29.8
29.9
29.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (31)
8.7
9.2
8.2
5.7
5.0
6.4
30.7
31.3
30.2
vs Weaker (19)
9.6
10.3
8.8
4.7
4.9
4.6
28.5
28.0
29.0
% over line
42%
56%
28%
78%
76%
80%
96%
100%
92%
% under line
58%
44%
72%
22%
24%
20%
4%
0%
8%
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Othellos
9.9
AE Zakakiou
9.7
AEK Larnaca
9.6
Omonia Nicosia
9.6
Apollon Limassol
9.5
AEL
9.5
Aris
9.3
Nea Salamis
9.2
Apoel Nicosia
9.0
Anorthosis
9.0
Karmiotissa
8.9
Doxa
8.8
Pafos
8.6
Ethnikos Achna
8.3
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aris
5.5
Ethnikos Achna
5.4
Apoel Nicosia
5.3
AE Zakakiou
5.3
Apollon Limassol
5.3
Pafos
5.3
Anorthosis
5.2
Othellos
5.0
Nea Salamis
4.9
Karmiotissa
4.9
Doxa
4.8
AEK Larnaca
4.8
AEL
4.7
Omonia Nicosia
4.4
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.8
Anorthosis
29.1
Doxa
27.1
AE Zakakiou
26.7
AEL
26.6
Karmiotissa
26.6
Ethnikos Achna
26.3
Apollon Limassol
25.9
AEK Larnaca
25.9
Aris
25.3
Pafos
25.3
Nea Salamis
25.3
Othellos
25.0
Omonia Nicosia
24.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
43.8%
Under 9.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
83.9%
Under 3.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.8%
Under 21.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Anorthosis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.27
0.40
0.40
0.80
0.13
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.10
0.40
0.20
0.82
0.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apoel Nicosia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.33
1.00
0.33
0.53
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.44
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (14)
1.07
0.21
1.57
0.43
0.57
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anorthosis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Anorthosis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
1.07
0.47
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.00
1.33
0.67
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.57
1.10
0.40
0.82
0.73
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apoel Nicosia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.33
1.40
0.20
0.93
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.38
0.88
0.38
0.75
0.38
vs Weaker (14)
1.57
0.29
2.00
0.00
1.14
0.57
Clean sheet %
77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anorthosis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Anorthosis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sergio Castel MartÃnez67%
Chico Banza25%
Sekou Gassama25%
Moussa WaguÃĐ0%
IvÃĄn Arboleda0%
Majeed Waris0%
Anderson Correia0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
HÃĐlder Ferreira0%
Kiko0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Ousseynou Thioune0%
Christian Makoun0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Nabil Marmouk0%
Dimitrianos Tzouliou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
IvÃĄn Arboleda50%
Chico Banza50%
Minas Antoniou50%
Nabil Marmouk40%
Majeed Waris33%
Dimitrianos Tzouliou33%
Christian Makoun25%
Anderson Correia20%
Moussa WaguÃĐ0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
HÃĐlder Ferreira0%
Kiko0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Ousseynou Thioune0%
Sekou Gassama0%
Sergio Castel MartÃnez0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Majeed Waris33%
Moussa WaguÃĐ0%
IvÃĄn Arboleda0%
Chico Banza0%
Anderson Correia0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
HÃĐlder Ferreira0%
Kiko0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Ousseynou Thioune0%
Christian Makoun0%
Sekou Gassama0%
Sergio Castel MartÃnez0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Nabil Marmouk0%
Dimitrianos Tzouliou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chico Banza50%
Sekou Gassama25%
Danil Paroutis25%
HÃĐlder Ferreira20%
Moussa WaguÃĐ0%
IvÃĄn Arboleda0%
Majeed Waris0%
Anderson Correia0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Kiko0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Ousseynou Thioune0%
Christian Makoun0%
Sergio Castel MartÃnez0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Nabil Marmouk0%
Dimitrianos Tzouliou0%
Apoel Nicosia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dieumerci Ndongala33%
Giorgi Kvilitaia20%
Georgi Kostadinov20%
Marquinhos17%
Lasha Dvali17%
Radosav PetroviÄ0%
Georgios Efrem0%
Anastasios Donis0%
Saeid Mehri0%
Vid Belec0%
DÃĄlcio0%
TomanÃĐ0%
Issam Chebake0%
Lucas VillafÃĄÃąez0%
Kingsley Sarfo0%
Mateo SuÅĄiÄ0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Jefte Vital da Silva Dias0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Issam Chebake50%
Giorgi Kvilitaia40%
Radosav PetroviÄ33%
Marquinhos33%
Georgi Kostadinov20%
Dieumerci Ndongala17%
Georgios Efrem0%
Anastasios Donis0%
Lasha Dvali0%
Saeid Mehri0%
Vid Belec0%
DÃĄlcio0%
TomanÃĐ0%
Lucas VillafÃĄÃąez0%
Kingsley Sarfo0%
Mateo SuÅĄiÄ0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Jefte Vital da Silva Dias0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Georgios Efrem33%
Lucas VillafÃĄÃąez17%
Radosav PetroviÄ0%
Dieumerci Ndongala0%
Giorgi Kvilitaia0%
Marquinhos0%
Anastasios Donis0%
Lasha Dvali0%
Saeid Mehri0%
Vid Belec0%
DÃĄlcio0%
TomanÃĐ0%
Issam Chebake0%
Georgi Kostadinov0%
Kingsley Sarfo0%
Mateo SuÅĄiÄ0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Jefte Vital da Silva Dias0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Saeid Mehri20%
TomanÃĐ20%
Marquinhos17%
Anastasios Donis17%
Radosav PetroviÄ0%
Dieumerci Ndongala0%
Giorgi Kvilitaia0%
Georgios Efrem0%
Lasha Dvali0%
Vid Belec0%
DÃĄlcio0%
Issam Chebake0%
Lucas VillafÃĄÃąez0%
Georgi Kostadinov0%
Kingsley Sarfo0%
Mateo SuÅĄiÄ0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Jefte Vital da Silva Dias0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
Anorthosis's squad is €9m less valuable than Apoel Nicosia's (€7m vs €15m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Anorthosis's attack is €6m less valuable than Apoel Nicosia's (€2m vs €8m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Anorthosis's midfield is €1m less valuable than Apoel Nicosia's (€1m vs €3m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
Anorthosis's defence is €1m less valuable than Apoel Nicosia's (€3m vs €5m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
Aris
Pafos
AEL
Nea Salamis
Ethnikos Achna
Karmiotissa
Doxa
Othellos
AE Zakakiou