This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.18
1.36
1.47
1.40
0.85
1.31
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.90
0.80
2.20
0.60
1.60
vs Similar (16)
1.50
1.19
1.89
1.11
1.00
1.29
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
21% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.3%
Under 2.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.0%
Under 3.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.6%
No
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
Anorthosis goals ↓
Nea Salamis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.6%
3.9%
1.1%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.5%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
8.9%
3.9%
1.1%
0.3%
3
4.8%
4.2%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.7%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anorthosis goals (down), columns = Nea Salamis goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Aris
2.06
Apoel Nicosia
1.97
AEK Larnaca
1.83
Apollon Limassol
1.77
Pafos
1.75
Anorthosis
1.57
Nea Salamis
1.45
Omonia Nicosia
1.36
AEL
1.26
Karmiotissa
1.20
Doxa
0.97
Enosis
0.93
Akritas
0.85
Olympiakos
0.70
Anorthosis is 0.12 points better than Nea Salamis in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.45).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.67
AEK Larnaca
1.53
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Apollon Limassol
1.34
Anorthosis
1.30
Nea Salamis
1.27
Omonia Nicosia
1.19
Enosis
1.00
Akritas
0.93
Karmiotissa
0.90
AEL
0.90
Doxa
0.80
Olympiakos
0.75
Anorthosis is 0.03 goals better than Nea Salamis in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.27).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.72
Aris
0.78
Pafos
0.83
AEL
1.03
AEK Larnaca
1.03
Apollon Limassol
1.06
Anorthosis
1.07
Omonia Nicosia
1.17
Enosis
1.30
Karmiotissa
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.38
Doxa
1.40
Olympiakos
1.55
Akritas
1.82
Anorthosis is 0.30 goals better than Nea Salamis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.38).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Omonia Nicosia
56%
AEK Larnaca
55%
Anorthosis
55%
Akritas
55%
Olympiakos
52%
Enosis
52%
Karmiotissa
50%
Apoel Nicosia
49%
Doxa
46%
AEL
45%
Pafos
45%
Aris
44%
Nea Salamis
40%
Anorthosis is 14.7 percentage points better than Nea Salamis in terms of average possession (55% vs 40%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Anorthosis
For 4.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.9 · Against 13.4 · Total 30.3
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nea Salamis
For 3.3 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.1
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 16.0 · Total 28.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Anorthosis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
9.6
9.9
9.3
3.5
4.1
2.9
28.4
30.5
26.0
vs Stronger (6)
9.4
10.7
7.5
3.8
6.0
1.7
29.0
32.3
24.0
vs Similar (17)
9.3
10.0
8.7
3.4
3.6
3.2
27.8
29.0
26.8
vs Weaker (5)
11.3
8.5
17.0
3.2
3.3
3.0
29.3
31.5
25.0
% over line
32%
40%
22%
46%
64%
29%
89%
90%
89%
% under line
68%
60%
78%
54%
36%
71%
11%
10%
11%
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
9.0
9.1
8.9
3.5
3.9
3.1
29.2
32.1
26.0
vs Stronger (10)
9.4
9.2
9.7
3.6
4.6
2.6
26.6
28.2
24.3
vs Similar (16)
8.8
9.0
8.5
3.6
3.9
3.1
31.6
35.2
27.0
vs Weaker (2)
8.0
-
8.0
2.5
0.0
5.0
27.0
-
27.0
% over line
39%
40%
38%
57%
67%
46%
82%
89%
75%
% under line
61%
60%
62%
43%
33%
54%
18%
11%
25%
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Akritas
10.2
Anorthosis
9.6
Aris
9.4
Doxa
9.4
AEL
9.2
AEK Larnaca
9.1
Nea Salamis
9.0
Karmiotissa
9.0
Enosis
8.9
Apollon Limassol
8.9
Pafos
8.7
Omonia Nicosia
8.7
Apoel Nicosia
8.2
Olympiakos
8.2
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nea Salamis
5.4
Pafos
5.3
Anorthosis
5.1
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
Karmiotissa
5.0
Enosis
4.9
Apollon Limassol
4.8
AEK Larnaca
4.8
Aris
4.6
AEL
4.6
Olympiakos
4.5
Omonia Nicosia
4.3
Akritas
4.2
Doxa
4.2
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
30.2
Nea Salamis
29.2
AEK Larnaca
29.2
Enosis
28.5
Anorthosis
28.4
Olympiakos
27.9
Doxa
27.7
Pafos
27.0
AEL
26.9
Karmiotissa
26.9
Aris
26.6
Apollon Limassol
25.1
Akritas
23.9
Omonia Nicosia
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.6%
Under 9.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
79.3%
Under 3.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.0%
Under 21.5
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Anorthosis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.44
0.56
0.54
0.46
0.36
0.64
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.44
0.29
0.29
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
48% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.86
0.53
0.93
0.31
0.77
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.30
0.20
1.40
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.69
0.78
0.78
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
39% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anorthosis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Anorthosis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.52
0.85
0.46
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.69
0.43
0.71
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.00
1.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
56% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.50
0.93
0.47
0.54
0.54
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.60
0.60
0.80
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (16)
0.88
0.50
1.11
0.33
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anorthosis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anorthosis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 11.5 corners
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Anorthosis · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafael Lopes50%
Stefano Sensi43%
Stefan VukiÄ20%
Kiko18%
Andreas Chrysostomou15%
Andreas Karamanolis14%
Gabriel Furtado14%
Clifford Aboagye10%
Marios Ilia9%
Roman Bezus0%
Babacar Dione0%
Kostakis Artymatas0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Constantinos Panagi0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
TamÃĄs Kiss0%
Alessio Da Cruz0%
Emil BergstrÃķm0%
Jacob KarlstrÃļm0%
Nemanja ToÅĄiÄ0%
Tobias SchÃĪttin0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Demetris Theodorou0%
Evagoras Charalampous0%
EliÃĄn Sosa0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alessio Da Cruz33%
EliÃĄn Sosa27%
Stefano Sensi21%
Gabriel Furtado21%
Danil Paroutis20%
Demetris Theodorou20%
Marios Ilia18%
Kiko18%
Evagoras Charalampous17%
Andreas Karamanolis14%
Nemanja ToÅĄiÄ12%
TamÃĄs Kiss11%
Clifford Aboagye10%
Stefan VukiÄ10%
Emil BergstrÃķm8%
Konstantinos Sergiou8%
Andreas Chrysostomou8%
Roman Bezus0%
Babacar Dione0%
Kostakis Artymatas0%
Constantinos Panagi0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Jacob KarlstrÃļm0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Tobias SchÃĪttin0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stefano Sensi36%
Kiko27%
Simranjit Thandi14%
Roman Bezus0%
Babacar Dione0%
Andreas Karamanolis0%
Kostakis Artymatas0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Constantinos Panagi0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Marios Ilia0%
TamÃĄs Kiss0%
Alessio Da Cruz0%
Clifford Aboagye0%
Emil BergstrÃķm0%
Jacob KarlstrÃļm0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Nemanja ToÅĄiÄ0%
Tobias SchÃĪttin0%
Gabriel Furtado0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Stefan VukiÄ0%
Demetris Theodorou0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Evagoras Charalampous0%
EliÃĄn Sosa0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Danil Paroutis20%
EliÃĄn Sosa18%
Rafael Lopes17%
Stefano Sensi14%
Marios Ilia9%
Gabriel Furtado7%
Roman Bezus0%
Babacar Dione0%
Andreas Karamanolis0%
Kostakis Artymatas0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Constantinos Panagi0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
TamÃĄs Kiss0%
Alessio Da Cruz0%
Clifford Aboagye0%
Emil BergstrÃķm0%
Jacob KarlstrÃļm0%
Kiko0%
Nemanja ToÅĄiÄ0%
Tobias SchÃĪttin0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Stefan VukiÄ0%
Demetris Theodorou0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Evagoras Charalampous0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Nea Salamis · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Frangos33%
Alexandros Michael25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantinos Sergiou67%
Serge Leuko67%
Danny Bejarano40%
Carlitos33%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Miguelito0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Victor Fernandez20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Anorthosis's squad is €2m more valuable than Nea Salamis's (€7m vs €5m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Anorthosis and Nea Salamis have a similar attack value (both €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Anorthosis and Nea Salamis have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OLY (8)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Anorthosis's defence is €2m more valuable than Nea Salamis's (€3m vs €2m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →