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APEA vs Spartakos Kitiou Prediction & Stats

Date: 10/10/2026
Time: 12:30
APEA
APEA
Vs
39%
27%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

APEA and Spartakos Kitiou face a finely balanced clash, with the model favouring a home win. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a modestly open game, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 24% chance. The single score that the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.7% probability, reflecting the tight nature of the contest. APEA, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, averages 1.58 goals scored and 1.25 conceded, while Spartakos Kitiou, on the road, averages 1.91 goals scored and 1.18 conceded against similar opposition. The win probabilities are 39% for APEA, 27% for a draw, and 34% for Spartakos Kitiou. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.0%), Under 6.5 (97.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.5%), Under 5.5 (92.7%), Home +2 handicap (83.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (83.4%), and Under 4.5 (83.3%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

APEA win
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou win
34.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

APEAAPEA

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L10W11D10W11D13L40W20W21WA·SPA14/02H·IRA21/02A·ETH28/02A·AE 07/03H·DIG14/03A·AHI18/03A·HAL21/03H·SPA04/04A·IRA21/04H·ETH25/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.311.311.531.401.071.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.351.091.581.251.090.91
vs Weaker (6)1.172.171.332.001.002.33
Clean sheet %28% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L22D12L02L42W30W04L01L20WH·APE14/02A·HAL21/02H·AHI28/02A·IRA07/03H·ETH14/03A·AE 18/03H·DIG21/03A·APE04/04H·HAL21/04A·AHI25/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.331.401.471.601.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.751.251.621.311.911.18
vs Weaker (6)0.501.670.002.500.751.25
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (APEA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
APEA goals ↓
Spartakos Kitiou goals →
01234
06.7%6.6%5.4%2.5%0.9%
17.1%13%8.1%3.8%1.3%
26.2%8.7%6.0%2.8%1.0%
33.1%4.3%3.0%1.4%0.5%
41.2%1.6%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = APEA goals (down), columns = Spartakos Kitiou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
APEA and Spartakos Kitiou are level in average points per game (both 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
APEA is 0.14 goals worse than Spartakos Kitiou in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
APEA
1.31
Digenis Morphou
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
APEA is 0.07 goals worse than Spartakos Kitiou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.24).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
APEA or Draw
65.7%
Avg Implied -
39%
27%
34%
covers APEA + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
APEA or Spartakos Kitiou
72.9%
Avg Implied -
39%
27%
34%
covers APEA + Spartakos Kitiou
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Spartakos Kitiou
61.4%
Avg Implied -
39%
27%
34%
covers Draw + Spartakos Kitiou
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
APEA over/under 0.5
Over
77.6%
Under
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 1.5
Over
44.0%
Under
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 2.5
Over
19.0%
Under
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 3.5
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5
Over
75.3%
Under
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5
Over
40.7%
Under
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5
Over
16.6%
Under
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 3.5
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to APEA, so a minus line means APEA give that many goals of a start and Spartakos Kitiou receive them. At -1, APEA must win by two or more to land; a one-goal APEA win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (APEA)
APEA -2
7.4%
Draw -2
11.8%
Spartakos Kitiou +2
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (APEA)
APEA -1
19.2%
Draw -1
19.4%
Spartakos Kitiou +1
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (APEA)
APEA +1
65.7%
Draw +1
18.0%
Spartakos Kitiou -1
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (APEA)
APEA +2
83.8%
Draw +2
10.3%
Spartakos Kitiou -2
5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

APEAAPEA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W11D00D11D10W10W20W01LA·SPA14/02H·IRA21/02A·ETH28/02A·AE 07/03H·DIG14/03A·AHI18/03A·HAL21/03H·SPA04/04A·IRA21/04H·ETH25/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.690.470.670.640.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.570.650.420.670.730.64
vs Weaker (6)0.500.830.670.670.331.00
Clean sheet %41% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D22D10W01L21W20W01L00D10WH·APE14/02A·HAL21/02H·AHI28/02A·IRA07/03H·ETH14/03A·AE 18/03H·DIG21/03A·APE04/04H·HAL21/04A·AHI25/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.470.670.601.000.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.960.540.770.691.180.36
vs Weaker (6)0.330.170.000.000.500.25
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (APEA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
APEA over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

APEAAPEA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D00D10W00D03L30W00D20WA·SPA14/02H·IRA21/02A·ETH28/02A·AE 07/03H·DIG14/03A·AHI18/03A·HAL21/03H·SPA04/04A·IRA21/04H·ETH25/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.760.621.070.730.430.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.780.431.170.580.360.27
vs Weaker (6)0.671.330.671.330.671.33
Clean sheet %59% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D02L01L21W10W03L01L10WH·APE14/02A·HAL21/02H·AHI28/02A·IRA07/03H·ETH14/03A·AE 18/03H·DIG21/03A·APE04/04H·HAL21/04A·AHI25/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.870.730.870.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.790.710.850.620.730.82
vs Weaker (6)0.171.500.002.500.251.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (APEA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
APEA over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
APEA over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.0%-------
Under 6.597.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals94.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals93.5%-------
Under 5.592.7%-------
Home +2 handicap83.8%-------
Away under 2.5 goals83.4%-------
Under 4.583.3%-------
Home under 2.5 goals81.0%-------
Away +2 handicap80.8%-------
Over 1.579.6%-------
Home over 0.5 goals77.6%-------
Away over 0.5 goals75.3%-------
Home or Away72.9%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
APE wins
1
Draws
1
SK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

APEA vs Spartakos Kitiou · H/A from APE
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26HAPE Vs Spartakos Kitiou4-0
14/02/26ASpartakos Kitiou Vs APE2-0
13/12/25HAPE Vs Spartakos Kitiou0-0

APEAAPEA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HAPE Vs Ethnikos Latsion2-1
21/04/26AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs APE0-2
04/04/26HAPE Vs Spartakos Kitiou4-0
21/03/26AHalkanoras Vs APE3-1
18/03/26AAhironas / Onisilos Vs APE1-1
14/03/26HAPE Vs Digenis Morphou1-0
07/03/26AAE Zakakiou Vs APE1-1
28/02/26AEthnikos Latsion Vs APE0-1
21/02/26HAPE Vs Iraklis Yerolakkou0-1
14/02/26ASpartakos Kitiou Vs APE2-0

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26AAhironas / Onisilos Vs SK0-2
21/04/26HSK Vs Halkanoras0-1
04/04/26AAPEA Vs SK4-0
21/03/26HSK Vs Digenis Morphou3-0
18/03/26AAE Zakakiou Vs SK2-4
14/03/26HSK Vs Ethnikos Latsion0-2
07/03/26AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs SK2-1
28/02/26HSK Vs Ahironas / Onisilos2-2
21/02/26AHalkanoras Vs SK1-0
14/02/26HSK Vs APEA2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

APEA
APEA
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.34
HomeLLWWW1.33
AwayWDDLW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.622.932.29
Over 1.5 %76%73%79%
Over 2.5 %52%73%29%
Over 3.5 %24%33%14%
Scored1.311.531.07
Conceded1.311.401.21
BTTS48%40%57%
Clean Sheet28%33%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.42
HomeWDLWL1.52
AwayLLWLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.882.763.00
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %36%28%44%
Scored1.541.561.52
Conceded1.341.201.48
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DoxaDoxa00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
2EnosisEnosis00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.00.0
-
3Ayia NapaAyia Napa00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
4Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
5Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
6Ethnikos AchnaEthnikos Achna00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
7Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
8Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
9HalkanorasHalkanoras00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
10PolemidionPolemidion00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
11APEAAPEA00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
13AkritasAkritas00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.00.0
-
14ErmisErmis00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15PAEEKPAEEK00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
16MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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