This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.03
1.33
0.73
0.80
1.33
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.25
1.00
0.50
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.00
1.25
1.40
1.00
0.60
1.50
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.17
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
53.8%
Under 1.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
26.0%
Under 2.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
10.3%
Under 3.5
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
29.5%
No
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
20.5%
0-0
18.2%
2-0
13.6%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-0
5.7%
3-1 ✓
2.9%
Apoel Nicosia goals ↓
Apollon Limassol goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
18%
7.5%
2.2%
0.4%
0.0%
1
20%
12%
2.7%
0.5%
0.1%
2
14%
6.9%
1.7%
0.3%
0.0%
3
5.7%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.8%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Apoel Nicosia goals (down), columns = Apollon Limassol goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aris
2.06
Apoel Nicosia
1.97
AEK Larnaca
1.83
Apollon Limassol
1.77
Pafos
1.75
Anorthosis
1.57
Nea Salamis
1.45
Omonia Nicosia
1.36
AEL
1.26
Karmiotissa
1.20
Doxa
0.97
Enosis
0.93
Akritas
0.85
Olympiakos
0.70
Apoel Nicosia is 0.20 points better than Apollon Limassol in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.77).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.67
AEK Larnaca
1.53
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Apollon Limassol
1.34
Anorthosis
1.30
Nea Salamis
1.27
Omonia Nicosia
1.19
Enosis
1.00
Akritas
0.93
Karmiotissa
0.90
AEL
0.90
Doxa
0.80
Olympiakos
0.75
Apoel Nicosia is 0.10 goals better than Apollon Limassol in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.72
Aris
0.78
Pafos
0.83
AEL
1.03
AEK Larnaca
1.03
Apollon Limassol
1.06
Anorthosis
1.07
Omonia Nicosia
1.17
Enosis
1.30
Karmiotissa
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.38
Doxa
1.40
Olympiakos
1.55
Akritas
1.82
Apoel Nicosia is 0.33 goals better than Apollon Limassol in terms of goals conceded per game (0.72 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Omonia Nicosia
56%
AEK Larnaca
55%
Anorthosis
55%
Akritas
55%
Olympiakos
52%
Enosis
52%
Karmiotissa
50%
Apoel Nicosia
49%
Doxa
46%
AEL
45%
Pafos
45%
Aris
44%
Nea Salamis
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Apoel Nicosia
For 5.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 6.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 16.4 · Total 30.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Apollon Limassol
For 5.5 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 14.2 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Apoel Nicosia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
7.7
8.0
7.5
3.1
3.0
3.1
30.7
29.8
31.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
6.9
6.7
7.0
2.8
3.0
2.6
31.2
32.5
30.3
vs Weaker (13)
8.6
9.3
8.0
3.4
3.0
3.7
30.3
28.0
32.0
% over line
21%
17%
25%
41%
38%
43%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
79%
83%
75%
59%
62%
57%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (31)
8.9
9.0
8.9
2.7
2.5
3.0
24.8
24.9
24.7
vs Stronger (4)
10.5
8.0
13.0
1.8
2.0
1.5
17.5
20.0
15.0
vs Similar (21)
8.1
8.7
7.6
3.0
2.9
3.2
24.9
24.4
25.3
vs Weaker (6)
11.0
10.5
11.5
2.3
1.3
3.3
28.0
28.5
27.5
% over line
37%
33%
40%
39%
38%
40%
72%
75%
70%
% under line
63%
67%
60%
61%
62%
60%
28%
25%
30%
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Akritas
10.8
Aris
10.0
Anorthosis
9.8
Enosis
9.7
AEL
9.6
Pafos
9.4
Nea Salamis
9.4
Doxa
9.2
Apollon Limassol
8.9
Karmiotissa
8.9
AEK Larnaca
8.8
Omonia Nicosia
8.3
Olympiakos
7.9
Apoel Nicosia
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pafos
5.9
Nea Salamis
5.8
Apoel Nicosia
5.5
Anorthosis
5.2
AEK Larnaca
5.1
AEL
4.9
Aris
4.7
Enosis
4.6
Apollon Limassol
4.5
Olympiakos
4.4
Karmiotissa
4.3
Akritas
4.2
Omonia Nicosia
4.1
Doxa
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AEK Larnaca
30.9
Apoel Nicosia
30.7
Nea Salamis
30.0
Aris
28.9
Enosis
27.9
Doxa
27.6
Anorthosis
27.5
Pafos
27.1
AEL
26.4
Karmiotissa
26.3
Olympiakos
25.9
Apollon Limassol
24.8
Omonia Nicosia
23.9
Akritas
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.6%
Under 9.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.3%
Under 3.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.2%
Under 21.5
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Apoel Nicosia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.19
0.69
0.15
0.71
0.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.36
0.86
0.29
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (13)
0.69
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.86
0.00
Clean sheet %
81% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.73
0.40
0.13
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.30
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.10
0.70
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.17
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Apoel Nicosia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.59
0.37
0.69
0.15
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.43
0.86
0.29
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (13)
0.54
0.31
0.50
0.00
0.57
0.57
Clean sheet %
70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.60
0.33
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.65
0.90
0.50
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
BTTS No
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Apoel Nicosia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikolas Koutsakos30%
Stefan Dražić23%
Daniel Mancini14%
Mathías Tomás14%
Miloš Degenek11%
David Abagna9%
Peter Olayinka8%
Constantinos Poursaitides8%
Marquinhos7%
Konstantinos Laifis6%
Diego Rosa6%
Franz Denniz Brorsson0%
Max Meyer0%
Dimitris Diamantakos0%
Kostas Stafylidis0%
Vid Belec0%
Dálcio0%
Nanú0%
Marius Corbu0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Evagoras Antoniou0%
Vitor Meer0%
Gabriel Maioli0%
Geovane Meurer0%
Panagiotis Kattirtzis0%
Charles Yaw Appiah0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitor Meer35%
Diego Rosa28%
Franz Denniz Brorsson25%
Konstantinos Laifis25%
Daniel Mancini21%
Gabriel Pereira20%
Nanú19%
Mathías Tomás19%
Peter Olayinka17%
Dálcio15%
Marquinhos14%
Gabriel Maioli12%
Miloš Degenek11%
Max Meyer10%
Dimitris Diamantakos10%
Kostas Stafylidis10%
David Abagna9%
Constantinos Poursaitides8%
Vid Belec6%
Nikolas Koutsakos5%
Stefan Dražić5%
Marius Corbu0%
Evagoras Antoniou0%
Geovane Meurer0%
Panagiotis Kattirtzis0%
Charles Yaw Appiah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kostas Stafylidis20%
Mathías Tomás19%
Daniel Mancini14%
Marius Corbu14%
Nanú10%
Marquinhos7%
Stefan Dražić5%
Peter Olayinka0%
Franz Denniz Brorsson0%
Konstantinos Laifis0%
Miloš Degenek0%
Max Meyer0%
Dimitris Diamantakos0%
Vid Belec0%
Dálcio0%
Diego Rosa0%
Nikolas Koutsakos0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Evagoras Antoniou0%
Vitor Meer0%
David Abagna0%
Gabriel Maioli0%
Geovane Meurer0%
Constantinos Poursaitides0%
Panagiotis Kattirtzis0%
Charles Yaw Appiah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathías Tomás38%
Stefan Dražić18%
Gabriel Maioli12%
Nikolas Koutsakos10%
Peter Olayinka8%
Marquinhos7%
Franz Denniz Brorsson0%
Konstantinos Laifis0%
Miloš Degenek0%
Max Meyer0%
Daniel Mancini0%
Dimitris Diamantakos0%
Kostas Stafylidis0%
Vid Belec0%
Dálcio0%
Nanú0%
Marius Corbu0%
Diego Rosa0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Evagoras Antoniou0%
Vitor Meer0%
David Abagna0%
Geovane Meurer0%
Constantinos Poursaitides0%
Panagiotis Kattirtzis0%
Charles Yaw Appiah0%
Apollon Limassol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentin Roberge50%
Ioannis Pittas17%
Patrick Joosten17%
Euclides Cabral17%
Vukašin Jovanović0%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Danilo Spoljaric0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Israel Coll0%
Haitam Aleesami0%
Amine Khammas0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Aleksandar Jovanović0%
Nicolas Diguiny0%
Bagaliy Dabo0%
Ido Shahar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Haitam Aleesami50%
Vukašin Jovanović33%
Nicolas Diguiny25%
Bagaliy Dabo25%
Chambos Kyriakou20%
Aleksandar Jovanović20%
Ioannis Pittas17%
Israel Coll17%
Euclides Cabral17%
Valentin Roberge0%
Danilo Spoljaric0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Amine Khammas0%
Patrick Joosten0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Ido Shahar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Chambos Kyriakou20%
Ido Shahar20%
Ioannis Pittas17%
Patrick Joosten17%
Vukašin Jovanović0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Danilo Spoljaric0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Israel Coll0%
Haitam Aleesami0%
Amine Khammas0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Aleksandar Jovanović0%
Euclides Cabral0%
Nicolas Diguiny0%
Bagaliy Dabo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hervin Ongenda25%
Vukašin Jovanović0%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Danilo Spoljaric0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Ioannis Pittas0%
Israel Coll0%
Haitam Aleesami0%
Amine Khammas0%
Patrick Joosten0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Aleksandar Jovanović0%
Euclides Cabral0%
Nicolas Diguiny0%
Bagaliy Dabo0%
Ido Shahar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Apoel Nicosia and Apollon Limassol have a similar squad value (both €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Apoel Nicosia's attack is €1m more valuable than Apollon Limassol's (€8m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Apoel Nicosia and Apollon Limassol have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OLY (8)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Apoel Nicosia's defence is €2m less valuable than Apollon Limassol's (€5m vs €7m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
Anorthosis
Nea Salamis
Omonia Nicosia
AEL
Karmiotissa
Doxa
Enosis
Akritas
Olympiakos