This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Aradippou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.43
1.31
1.50
0.79
1.36
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
2.00
0.40
1.80
0.80
2.20
vs Similar (20)
1.30
1.15
1.73
1.36
0.78
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.6%
Under 1.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.5%
Under 2.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.5%
Under 3.5
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.9%
No
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.9%
2-0
14.3%
1-1 ✓
11.0%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.6%
Apoel Nicosia goals ↓
Omonia Aradippou goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
4.6%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
1
15%
11%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
2
14%
9.0%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
3
8.5%
5.4%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
4
3.8%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Apoel Nicosia goals (down), columns = Omonia Aradippou goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Akritas
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.00
Enosis
0.15
Apoel Nicosia is 0.17 points better than Omonia Aradippou in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.27).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Akritas
0.94
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Enosis
0.33
Apoel Nicosia is 0.53 goals better than Omonia Aradippou in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Aris
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.33
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
AEL
1.39
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Akritas
1.76
Enosis
2.42
Apoel Nicosia is 0.02 goals better than Omonia Aradippou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.27).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Ethnikos Achna
48%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Akritas
44%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Enosis
41%
Apoel Nicosia is 11.3 percentage points better than Omonia Aradippou in terms of average possession (54% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Apoel Nicosia
For 5.4 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 15.7 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Omonia Aradippou
For 3.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 15.0 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Apoel Nicosia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.6
8.0
2.5
3.5
1.3
28.4
28.1
29.1
vs Stronger (1)
6.0
6.0
-
7.0
7.0
-
27.0
27.0
-
vs Similar (31)
8.9
9.8
8.0
2.7
3.7
1.9
30.8
32.2
29.1
vs Weaker (18)
9.9
9.9
-
1.8
2.9
0.0
24.6
24.6
-
% over line
48%
56%
29%
36%
54%
17%
88%
83%
100%
% under line
52%
44%
71%
64%
46%
83%
12%
17%
0%
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Aradippou
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.8
6.5
8.1
0.9
0.5
1.4
26.9
29.5
26.1
vs Stronger (17)
7.0
-
7.0
0.6
0.0
1.1
27.3
-
27.3
vs Similar (33)
8.2
6.5
9.0
1.1
0.7
1.6
26.7
29.5
25.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
22%
0%
29%
14%
8%
20%
78%
50%
86%
% under line
78%
100%
71%
86%
92%
80%
22%
50%
14%
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.4
AEL
9.8
Apoel Nicosia
9.5
Aris
9.5
Anorthosis
9.3
AEK Larnaca
9.3
Pafos
9.1
Apollon Limassol
9.1
Akritas
9.0
Enosis
8.9
Krasava Ypsonas
8.8
Ethnikos Achna
8.6
Olympiakos
8.3
Omonia Aradippou
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Omonia Aradippou
5.7
Aris
5.7
Anorthosis
5.4
AEK Larnaca
5.1
Apollon Limassol
5.0
Apoel Nicosia
5.0
Ethnikos Achna
4.9
Pafos
4.9
Enosis
4.8
Olympiakos
4.7
AEL
4.6
Krasava Ypsonas
4.5
Akritas
4.3
Omonia Nicosia
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Anorthosis
29.8
Apoel Nicosia
29.0
Krasava Ypsonas
28.5
Enosis
28.4
Olympiakos
28.0
AEL
27.3
Omonia Aradippou
26.9
Ethnikos Achna
26.6
Aris
26.4
AEK Larnaca
26.0
Pafos
25.8
Apollon Limassol
25.5
Omonia Nicosia
24.6
Akritas
23.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
37.3%
Under 9.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.5%
Under 3.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.2%
Under 21.5
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Apoel Nicosia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.53
0.19
0.44
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.20
0.65
0.10
0.40
0.30
0.90
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.30
0.33
0.50
1.25
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Aradippou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.50
0.44
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.90
0.00
0.40
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.40
0.73
0.45
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Apoel Nicosia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.50
1.25
0.50
0.79
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.55
1.00
0.50
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (10)
1.70
0.40
1.67
0.50
1.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Aradippou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.87
0.81
1.06
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.10
0.40
1.40
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.91
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Apoel Nicosia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikolas Koutsakos30%
Stefan Dražić23%
Daniel Mancini14%
Mathías Tomás14%
Miloš Degenek11%
David Abagna9%
Peter Olayinka8%
Constantinos Poursaitides8%
Marquinhos7%
Konstantinos Laifis6%
Diego Rosa6%
Franz Denniz Brorsson0%
Max Meyer0%
Dimitris Diamantakos0%
Kostas Stafylidis0%
Vid Belec0%
Dálcio0%
Nanú0%
Marius Corbu0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Evagoras Antoniou0%
Vitor Meer0%
Gabriel Maioli0%
Geovane Meurer0%
Panagiotis Kattirtzis0%
Charles Yaw Appiah0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitor Meer35%
Diego Rosa28%
Franz Denniz Brorsson25%
Konstantinos Laifis25%
Daniel Mancini21%
Gabriel Pereira20%
Nanú19%
Mathías Tomás19%
Peter Olayinka17%
Dálcio15%
Marquinhos14%
Gabriel Maioli12%
Miloš Degenek11%
Max Meyer10%
Dimitris Diamantakos10%
Kostas Stafylidis10%
David Abagna9%
Constantinos Poursaitides8%
Vid Belec6%
Nikolas Koutsakos5%
Stefan Dražić5%
Marius Corbu0%
Evagoras Antoniou0%
Geovane Meurer0%
Panagiotis Kattirtzis0%
Charles Yaw Appiah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kostas Stafylidis20%
Mathías Tomás19%
Daniel Mancini14%
Marius Corbu14%
Nanú10%
Marquinhos7%
Stefan Dražić5%
Peter Olayinka0%
Franz Denniz Brorsson0%
Konstantinos Laifis0%
Miloš Degenek0%
Max Meyer0%
Dimitris Diamantakos0%
Vid Belec0%
Dálcio0%
Diego Rosa0%
Nikolas Koutsakos0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Evagoras Antoniou0%
Vitor Meer0%
David Abagna0%
Gabriel Maioli0%
Geovane Meurer0%
Constantinos Poursaitides0%
Panagiotis Kattirtzis0%
Charles Yaw Appiah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathías Tomás38%
Stefan Dražić18%
Gabriel Maioli12%
Nikolas Koutsakos10%
Peter Olayinka8%
Marquinhos7%
Franz Denniz Brorsson0%
Konstantinos Laifis0%
Miloš Degenek0%
Max Meyer0%
Daniel Mancini0%
Dimitris Diamantakos0%
Kostas Stafylidis0%
Vid Belec0%
Dálcio0%
Nanú0%
Marius Corbu0%
Diego Rosa0%
Gabriel Pereira0%
Evagoras Antoniou0%
Vitor Meer0%
David Abagna0%
Geovane Meurer0%
Constantinos Poursaitides0%
Panagiotis Kattirtzis0%
Charles Yaw Appiah0%
Omonia Aradippou
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sebastián Lomónaco33%
Giorgos Pontikos33%
Stavros Georgiou29%
Jasin Assehnoun20%
Christos Kallis17%
Jorginho12%
Niko Havelka0%
Panagiotis Zachariou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Paris Polikarpou0%
Jaly Mouaddib0%
Jeremy Van Mullem0%
Danny0%
Lautaro Cano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sebastian Ring50%
Ryan Edwards50%
Jasin Assehnoun40%
Niko Havelka29%
Stavros Georgiou29%
Rasmus Thelander25%
Jaly Mouaddib25%
Jeremy Van Mullem25%
Panagiotis Zachariou20%
Paris Polikarpou14%
Jorginho12%
Minas Antoniou11%
Giorgos Pontikos11%
Sebastián Lomónaco0%
Christos Kallis0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Danny0%
Lautaro Cano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stavros Georgiou29%
Jaly Mouaddib25%
Sebastian Ring17%
Jorginho12%
Jeremy Van Mullem12%
Danny12%
Sebastián Lomónaco0%
Niko Havelka0%
Christos Kallis0%
Panagiotis Zachariou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Paris Polikarpou0%
Giorgos Pontikos0%
Lautaro Cano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastián Lomónaco33%
Jaly Mouaddib25%
Stavros Georgiou14%
Giorgos Pontikos11%
Jorginho0%
Niko Havelka0%
Christos Kallis0%
Panagiotis Zachariou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Paris Polikarpou0%
Jeremy Van Mullem0%
Danny0%
Lautaro Cano0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
Apoel Nicosia's squad is €11m more valuable than Omonia Aradippou's (€15m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
Apoel Nicosia's attack is €6m more valuable than Omonia Aradippou's (€8m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
Apoel Nicosia's midfield is €2m more valuable than Omonia Aradippou's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
Apoel Nicosia's defence is €3m more valuable than Omonia Aradippou's (€5m vs €2m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →