This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.27
2.27
1.00
1.33
1.53
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
5.00
-
-
1.00
5.00
vs Similar (12)
1.17
1.25
1.17
1.00
1.17
1.50
vs Weaker (17)
2.29
1.06
3.00
1.00
1.50
1.12
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.3%
No
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.3%
1-0
12.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
4.1%
Apoel Nicosia goals ↓
Omonia Nicosia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
4.1%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
1
13%
11%
3.5%
0.8%
0.1%
2
13%
9.4%
3.3%
0.8%
0.1%
3
8.6%
6.0%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
4
4.1%
2.9%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Apoel Nicosia goals (down), columns = Omonia Nicosia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Larnaca
2.03
Apoel Nicosia
2.03
Omonia Nicosia
1.92
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.72
Apollon Limassol
1.65
Anorthosis
1.47
AEL
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.27
Ethnikos Achna
1.25
Karmiotissa
1.00
Doxa
0.88
Othellos
0.82
AE Zakakiou
0.45
Apoel Nicosia is 0.11 points better than Omonia Nicosia in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.92).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Apoel Nicosia
1.75
Aris
1.75
Ethnikos Achna
1.75
Omonia Nicosia
1.72
Pafos
1.67
Apollon Limassol
1.60
AEK Larnaca
1.58
AEL
1.52
Karmiotissa
1.45
Nea Salamis
1.30
Anorthosis
1.28
Othellos
1.20
AE Zakakiou
1.00
Doxa
0.85
Apoel Nicosia is 0.03 goals better than Omonia Nicosia in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.72).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.86
Pafos
0.92
Aris
0.94
Apollon Limassol
0.95
Omonia Nicosia
1.03
Anorthosis
1.17
Nea Salamis
1.52
AEL
1.70
Doxa
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.93
Othellos
1.93
Ethnikos Achna
1.98
AE Zakakiou
2.50
Apoel Nicosia is 0.36 goals better than Omonia Nicosia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
56%
Aris
56%
Apollon Limassol
55%
Anorthosis
54%
Karmiotissa
53%
AEK Larnaca
52%
Nea Salamis
52%
Apoel Nicosia
51%
AEL
49%
AE Zakakiou
48%
Othellos
44%
Omonia Nicosia
44%
Ethnikos Achna
42%
Doxa
40%
Apoel Nicosia is 7.4 percentage points better than Omonia Nicosia in terms of average possession (51% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Apoel Nicosia
For 6.9 · Against 3.5 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 16.7 · Total 28.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Omonia Nicosia
For 4.8 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Apoel Nicosia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.6
9.0
5.3
4.8
5.7
29.8
29.9
29.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
8.9
9.1
8.8
5.6
4.9
6.2
30.5
31.0
30.1
vs Weaker (17)
10.0
10.6
9.4
4.6
4.7
4.6
28.4
28.1
28.6
% over line
46%
56%
36%
78%
76%
80%
96%
100%
92%
% under line
54%
44%
64%
22%
24%
20%
4%
0%
8%
This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.3
10.4
4.5
4.3
4.6
24.1
25.0
23.2
vs Stronger (2)
7.5
6.0
9.0
5.0
1.0
9.0
18.5
23.0
14.0
vs Similar (25)
9.7
9.2
10.4
4.2
4.5
3.8
23.2
23.8
22.6
vs Weaker (23)
10.3
9.9
10.5
4.7
4.4
5.0
25.6
26.8
24.6
% over line
47%
38%
56%
66%
60%
72%
65%
71%
58%
% under line
53%
62%
44%
34%
40%
28%
35%
29%
42%
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Othellos
10.1
Omonia Nicosia
9.8
AEL
9.7
AE Zakakiou
9.6
Aris
9.6
Apollon Limassol
9.5
AEK Larnaca
9.5
Nea Salamis
9.4
Apoel Nicosia
9.3
Doxa
9.1
Karmiotissa
9.1
Anorthosis
9.0
Pafos
8.5
Ethnikos Achna
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aris
5.5
Pafos
5.4
Apollon Limassol
5.3
Apoel Nicosia
5.3
Ethnikos Achna
5.2
AE Zakakiou
5.2
Anorthosis
5.2
Karmiotissa
4.9
Doxa
4.9
AEK Larnaca
4.9
Nea Salamis
4.8
Othellos
4.8
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
AEL
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.8
Anorthosis
29.5
Doxa
26.8
Karmiotissa
26.8
AE Zakakiou
26.7
AEL
26.4
Ethnikos Achna
26.3
Pafos
25.6
AEK Larnaca
25.6
Apollon Limassol
25.5
Aris
25.4
Othellos
25.1
Nea Salamis
25.0
Omonia Nicosia
24.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.6%
Under 9.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.4%
Under 3.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.1%
Under 21.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Apoel Nicosia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.40
1.07
0.33
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.53
0.62
0.25
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (13)
1.15
0.23
1.57
0.43
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.63
1.13
0.53
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.67
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (17)
0.94
0.47
1.33
0.56
0.50
0.38
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Apoel Nicosia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.33
1.33
0.20
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.35
0.75
0.38
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (13)
1.54
0.31
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
1.13
0.47
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.25
0.58
0.33
0.50
0.17
0.67
vs Weaker (17)
1.35
0.59
1.67
0.44
1.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Apoel Nicosia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apoel Nicosia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Apoel Nicosia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dieumerci Ndongala33%
Giorgi Kvilitaia20%
Georgi Kostadinov20%
Marquinhos17%
Lasha Dvali17%
Radosav Petrović0%
Georgios Efrem0%
Anastasios Donis0%
Saeid Mehri0%
Vid Belec0%
Dálcio0%
Tomané0%
Issam Chebake0%
Lucas Villafáñez0%
Kingsley Sarfo0%
Mateo Sušić0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Jefte Vital da Silva Dias0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Issam Chebake50%
Giorgi Kvilitaia40%
Radosav Petrović33%
Marquinhos33%
Georgi Kostadinov20%
Dieumerci Ndongala17%
Georgios Efrem0%
Anastasios Donis0%
Lasha Dvali0%
Saeid Mehri0%
Vid Belec0%
Dálcio0%
Tomané0%
Lucas Villafáñez0%
Kingsley Sarfo0%
Mateo Sušić0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Jefte Vital da Silva Dias0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Georgios Efrem33%
Lucas Villafáñez17%
Radosav Petrović0%
Dieumerci Ndongala0%
Giorgi Kvilitaia0%
Marquinhos0%
Anastasios Donis0%
Lasha Dvali0%
Saeid Mehri0%
Vid Belec0%
Dálcio0%
Tomané0%
Issam Chebake0%
Georgi Kostadinov0%
Kingsley Sarfo0%
Mateo Sušić0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Jefte Vital da Silva Dias0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Saeid Mehri20%
Tomané20%
Marquinhos17%
Anastasios Donis17%
Radosav Petrović0%
Dieumerci Ndongala0%
Giorgi Kvilitaia0%
Georgios Efrem0%
Lasha Dvali0%
Vid Belec0%
Dálcio0%
Issam Chebake0%
Lucas Villafáñez0%
Georgi Kostadinov0%
Kingsley Sarfo0%
Mateo Sušić0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Jefte Vital da Silva Dias0%
Omonia Nicosia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marquinhos Cipriano33%
Jan Lecjaks33%
Andronikos Kakoullis33%
Mariusz Stępiński33%
Willy Semedo33%
Roman Bezus20%
Veljko Simić0%
Fabiano0%
Fouad Bachirou0%
Nemanja Miletić0%
Ioannis Kousoulos0%
Charalampos Charalampous0%
Nikolas Panagiotou0%
Adam Matthews0%
Senou Coulibaly0%
Ádám Lang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fouad Bachirou50%
Senou Coulibaly50%
Adam Matthews40%
Nemanja Miletić33%
Jan Lecjaks33%
Nikolas Panagiotou33%
Willy Semedo33%
Veljko Simić25%
Ioannis Kousoulos25%
Roman Bezus20%
Fabiano0%
Marquinhos Cipriano0%
Charalampos Charalampous0%
Andronikos Kakoullis0%
Mariusz Stępiński0%
Ádám Lang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Roman Bezus20%
Veljko Simić0%
Fabiano0%
Marquinhos Cipriano0%
Fouad Bachirou0%
Nemanja Miletić0%
Jan Lecjaks0%
Ioannis Kousoulos0%
Charalampos Charalampous0%
Andronikos Kakoullis0%
Nikolas Panagiotou0%
Adam Matthews0%
Senou Coulibaly0%
Mariusz Stępiński0%
Ádám Lang0%
Willy Semedo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Willy Semedo33%
Roman Bezus20%
Charalampos Charalampous20%
Veljko Simić0%
Fabiano0%
Marquinhos Cipriano0%
Fouad Bachirou0%
Nemanja Miletić0%
Jan Lecjaks0%
Ioannis Kousoulos0%
Andronikos Kakoullis0%
Nikolas Panagiotou0%
Adam Matthews0%
Senou Coulibaly0%
Mariusz Stępiński0%
Ádám Lang0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
Apoel Nicosia and Omonia Nicosia have a similar squad value (both €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Apoel Nicosia and Omonia Nicosia have a similar attack value (both €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Apoel Nicosia and Omonia Nicosia have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
Apoel Nicosia and Omonia Nicosia have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
Aris
Pafos
AEL
Anorthosis
Nea Salamis
Ethnikos Achna
Karmiotissa
Doxa
Othellos
AE Zakakiou