Apollon Limassol’s recent draw against Aris hints at a cautious approach, yet the model still favours a home win at 54%. Anorthosis, after a 0-2 loss to AEL, appears vulnerable on the road, conceding 1.36 goals per match while scoring only 0.45. Apollon’s home form shows 1.69 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition, giving the model confidence in a 1-0 result, the most likely scoreline at 14%. The expected total of 2.3 goals aligns with the 2-goal total probability of 28%. The model’s edge is strongest on the “Under 6.5” pick, offering a 99% chance and a 6% edge over the market. Other selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.0%), Under 5.5 (96.9% with a 7% edge), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.6% with an 8% edge). The probabilities for the match outcome remain 54% home win, 28% draw, and 18% away win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Apollon Limassol win
54.7%
Avg Implied 61.2% · @ 1.50
Edge
-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Dafabet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
Draw
27.9%
Avg Implied 23.3% · @ 3.94
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
4.08
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Dafabet
4.00
Anorthosis win
17.4%
Avg Implied 15.5% · @ 5.91
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.10
Dafabet
6.00
Marathonbet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Apollon Limassol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.10
1.80
1.00
1.20
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
1.46
1.19
1.69
1.00
1.23
1.38
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
4.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anorthosis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.23
1.60
1.20
0.60
1.27
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.50
0.67
2.33
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (21)
1.05
1.24
1.70
1.10
0.45
1.36
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
0.67
2.50
0.00
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.6%
@ 1.23-6.3%
Under 1.5
31.4%
@ 3.68+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.10
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.48
Marathonbet
3.48
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.0%
@ 1.81-11.1%
Under 2.5
59.0%
@ 1.97+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.84
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Under
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.97
SBO
1.96
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.5%
@ 2.93-11.1%
Under 3.5
79.5%
@ 1.35+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.87
1xBet
2.83
Marathonbet
2.83
Under
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
43.6%
@ 1.87-5.8%
No
56.4%
@ 1.82+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.91
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.85
No
William Hil
1.85
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
Betfair
1.80
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.0%@ 6.14+6.8%
1-1
12.9%@ 7.18+6.8%
2-0
11.8%@ 6.68+5.2%
0-0
11.0%@ 9.86+6.5%
2-1
9.1%@ 7.46+3.2%
0-1
6.4%@ 14.64+3.4%
3-0
6.1%@ 9.98+1.7%
3-1
4.7%@ 11.65+0.9%
Apollon Limassol goals ↓
Anorthosis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
6.4%
2.9%
0.8%
0.1%
1
14%
13%
4.5%
1.2%
0.2%
2
12%
9.1%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
6.1%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.4%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Apollon Limassol goals (down), columns = Anorthosis goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Nea Salamis
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Olympiakos
1.21
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.10
Karmiotissa
1.00
Apollon Limassol is 0.50 points better than Anorthosis in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 1.36).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Nea Salamis
1.14
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Karmiotissa
0.94
Apollon Limassol is 0.38 goals better than Anorthosis in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Aris
1.25
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
Olympiakos
1.33
AEL
1.39
Nea Salamis
1.52
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.68
Karmiotissa
1.85
Apollon Limassol is 0.07 goals better than Anorthosis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Apollon Limassol is 3.0 percentage points better than Anorthosis in terms of average possession (53% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Apollon Limassol
For 5.5 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Anorthosis
For 4.9 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 17.4 · Total 29.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Apollon Limassol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.4
8.3
1.9
1.5
2.3
24.8
21.9
26.6
vs Stronger (2)
10.0
10.0
10.0
5.5
7.0
4.0
23.5
25.0
22.0
vs Similar (44)
8.9
9.3
8.6
1.7
1.4
2.1
24.6
21.3
26.8
vs Weaker (4)
4.0
-
4.0
1.8
0.0
3.5
30.0
-
30.0
% over line
33%
29%
36%
28%
24%
32%
67%
57%
73%
% under line
67%
71%
64%
72%
76%
68%
33%
43%
27%
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anorthosis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.3
9.0
1.9
2.6
1.0
29.7
29.9
29.3
vs Stronger (7)
7.5
9.0
6.0
1.4
1.5
1.3
28.0
33.0
23.0
vs Similar (38)
9.2
9.2
9.2
1.9
2.9
0.9
30.9
30.9
31.0
vs Weaker (5)
10.3
10.0
11.0
2.0
2.3
1.5
24.3
22.0
29.0
% over line
48%
47%
50%
28%
38%
17%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
52%
53%
50%
72%
62%
83%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
10.6
Nea Salamis
10.2
Omonia Nicosia
10.0
Krasava Ypsonas
9.9
Apoel Nicosia
9.8
Aris
9.7
Pafos
9.6
AEL
9.3
Karmiotissa
9.3
AEK Larnaca
9.2
Apollon Limassol
9.2
Anorthosis
8.7
Olympiakos
8.2
Omonia Aradippou
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aris
5.7
Anorthosis
5.3
Omonia 29is Maiou
5.3
Omonia Aradippou
5.2
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.1
Pafos
4.9
Apollon Limassol
4.9
AEL
4.8
Nea Salamis
4.7
Karmiotissa
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
Olympiakos
4.4
Krasava Ypsonas
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Anorthosis
29.5
Omonia Aradippou
28.9
Olympiakos
27.8
AEL
27.6
Apoel Nicosia
27.2
Karmiotissa
27.0
Aris
26.2
Pafos
26.1
AEK Larnaca
26.0
Omonia 29is Maiou
25.1
Nea Salamis
25.0
Omonia Nicosia
24.9
Krasava Ypsonas
24.3
Apollon Limassol
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.1%
Under 9.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.7%
Under 3.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
81.5%
Under 21.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Apollon Limassol or Draw
82.6%
Avg Implied 84.5% · @ 1.10
Edge
-2.0%
55%
28%
17%
covers Apollon Limassol + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Apollon Limassol or Anorthosis
72.1%
Avg Implied 77.3% · @ 1.20
Edge
-5.2%
55%
28%
17%
covers Apollon Limassol + Anorthosis
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw or Anorthosis
45.3%
Avg Implied 38.1% · @ 2.44
Edge
+7.2%
55%
28%
17%
covers Draw + Anorthosis
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.52
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
William Hil
2.45
Marathonbet
2.41
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5
Over
78.8%
@ 1.12-4.3%
Under
21.2%
@ 5.48+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Under
1xBet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.40
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5
Over
45.9%
@ 1.64-11.1%
Under
54.1%
@ 2.17+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Under
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5
Over
20.4%
@ 2.86-12.0%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.37+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.90
Marathonbet
2.88
Bet365
2.75
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Apollon Limassol over/under 3.5
Over
7.2%
@ 5.80-8.8%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.10+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Betano
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.07
Anorthosis over/under 0.5
Over
53.8%
@ 1.65-2.5%
Under
46.2%
@ 2.12+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Under
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Anorthosis over/under 1.5
Over
18.1%
@ 4.09-4.6%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.21+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Anorthosis over/under 2.5
Over
4.3%
@ 9.57-5.3%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.90
1xBet
9.40
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Anorthosis over/under 3.5
Over
0.8%
@ 21.00-99.2%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Apollon Limassol, so a minus line means Apollon Limassol give that many goals of a start and Anorthosis receive them. At -1, Apollon Limassol must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Apollon Limassol win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Apollon Limassol)
Apollon Limassol -2
12.3%
@ 4.33-8.2%
Draw -2
17.2%
@ 4.37-3.1%
Anorthosis +2
70.4%
@ 1.50+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Away
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.48
Handicap -1 (Apollon Limassol)
Apollon Limassol -1
29.6%
@ 2.31-8.9%
Draw -1
25.1%
@ 3.47-0.5%
Anorthosis +1
45.3%
@ 2.47+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.34
Bet365
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Away
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Marathonbet
2.41
Handicap +1 (Apollon Limassol)
Apollon Limassol +1
82.6%
@ 1.12+6.0%
Draw +1
11.9%
@ 5.90-2.7%
Anorthosis -1
5.5%
@ 9.70-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.14
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
6.40
Handicap +2 (Apollon Limassol)
Apollon Limassol +2
94.5%
@ 1.03+1.9%
Draw +2
4.3%
@ 19.00-0.7%
Anorthosis -2
1.2%
@ 41.00-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
19.00
Away
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Apollon Limassol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.07
0.53
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.62
1.00
0.54
0.69
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anorthosis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.60
0.67
0.27
0.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.33
1.33
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (21)
0.38
0.57
0.60
0.60
0.18
0.55
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.5%
@ 1.34-0.8%
Under 0.5
31.5%
@ 3.02+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.02
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.9%
@ 2.63-5.5%
Under 1.5
70.1%
@ 1.44+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.70
Pinnacle
2.64
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
William Hil
2.62
Under
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.7%
@ 5.98-5.9%
Under 2.5
90.3%
@ 1.10+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.90
1xBet
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.9%
@ 1.64-12.0%
Under
55.1%
@ 2.16+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.23
1xBet
2.14
Betano
2.12
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.1%
@ 4.08-9.7%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.20+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.8%
@ 9.25-7.3%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.04+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Anorthosis over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.3%
@ 2.89+2.3%
Under
65.7%
@ 1.36-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.90
1xBet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Under
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Anorthosis over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.0%
@ 10.90-1.7%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.04+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.75
1xBet
11.70
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Anorthosis over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Apollon Limassol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.58
0.69
0.46
0.54
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Anorthosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anorthosis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
1.00
0.53
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.67
1.10
0.50
0.27
0.82
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.8%
@ 1.22-1.9%
Under 0.5
25.2%
@ 4.01+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.15
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.3%
@ 2.03-6.7%
Under 1.5
60.7%
@ 1.72+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.10
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
Under
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
William Hil
1.65
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.6%
@ 4.11-6.2%
Under 2.5
83.4%
@ 1.21+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.6%
@ 1.42-12.9%
Under
47.4%
@ 2.70+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.75
1xBet
2.65
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.3%
@ 2.93-11.2%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.35+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.02
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.87
Under
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.8%
@ 7.15-8.2%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.06+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.04
Anorthosis over/under 0.5 2H
Over
41.5%
@ 2.37+2.5%
Under
58.5%
@ 1.52-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.40
1xBet
2.36
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.49
Anorthosis over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.0%
@ 8.23-1.2%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.04+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.90
1xBet
8.60
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Anorthosis over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+5.8%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+7.3%
Under 5.5
96.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+7.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
95.7%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+5.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.2%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+8.2%
Home +2 handicap
94.5%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.0%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.7%
Home under 3.5 goals
92.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+8.8%
Under 4.5
91.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+9.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+5.9%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.0%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+1.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.20
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-
-
+9.7%
Over 2.5 cards
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.4%
1.21
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
-
+6.2%
Home or Draw
82.6%
1.10
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-2.0%
Home +1 handicap
82.6%
1.12
Marathonbet
1.14
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+6.0%
Away under 1.5 goals
81.9%
1.21
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+4.6%
Over 21.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.7%
1.35
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
-
-
+11.2%
Home under 2.5 goals
79.6%
1.37
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
-
+12.0%
Under 3.5
79.5%
1.35
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
+11.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
78.8%
1.12
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-4.3%
Under 11.5 corners
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.8%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.18
-
-1.9%
Home or Away
72.1%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
-5.2%
Over 3.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
70.4%
1.50
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.48
-
-
-
+11.4%
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.1%
1.44
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
William Hil
1.44
+5.5%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Apollon Limassol · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pedro Marques33%
Brandon Thomas33%
Josef Kvida18%
Ivan Ljubić17%
Garry Rodrigues17%
Giorgos Malekkidis10%
Gustavo Assunção0%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Bruno Gaspar0%
Danilo Špoljarić0%
Praxitelis Vouros0%
Zacharias Adoni0%
Lazar Marković0%
Gaetan Weissbeck0%
Philipp Kühn0%
Thomas Lam0%
Dani Escriche0%
Ali Youssef0%
Sergio Castel Martínez0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Morgan Brown0%
Antreas Shikkis0%
Clinton Duodu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gustavo Assunção50%
Ivan Ljubić33%
Brandon Thomas33%
Praxitelis Vouros25%
Antreas Shikkis25%
Josef Kvida18%
Philipp Kühn17%
Thomas Lam17%
Garry Rodrigues17%
Clinton Duodu17%
Zacharias Adoni12%
Lazar Marković12%
Dani Escriche12%
Pedro Marques11%
Gaetan Weissbeck11%
Morgan Brown9%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Bruno Gaspar0%
Danilo Špoljarić0%
Giorgos Malekkidis0%
Ali Youssef0%
Sergio Castel Martínez0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Garry Rodrigues17%
Clinton Duodu17%
Gaetan Weissbeck11%
Jaromír Zmrhal10%
Giorgos Malekkidis10%
Brandon Thomas8%
Gustavo Assunção0%
Bruno Gaspar0%
Pedro Marques0%
Danilo Špoljarić0%
Ivan Ljubić0%
Praxitelis Vouros0%
Zacharias Adoni0%
Lazar Marković0%
Philipp Kühn0%
Thomas Lam0%
Josef Kvida0%
Dani Escriche0%
Ali Youssef0%
Sergio Castel Martínez0%
Agapios Vrikkis0%
Morgan Brown0%
Antreas Shikkis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brandon Thomas25%
Sergio Castel Martínez25%
Pedro Marques11%
Agapios Vrikkis8%
Gustavo Assunção0%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Bruno Gaspar0%
Danilo Špoljarić0%
Ivan Ljubić0%
Giorgos Malekkidis0%
Praxitelis Vouros0%
Zacharias Adoni0%
Lazar Marković0%
Gaetan Weissbeck0%
Philipp Kühn0%
Thomas Lam0%
Josef Kvida0%
Garry Rodrigues0%
Dani Escriche0%
Ali Youssef0%
Morgan Brown0%
Antreas Shikkis0%
Clinton Duodu0%
Anorthosis · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafael Lopes50%
Stefano Sensi43%
Stefan Vukić20%
Kiko18%
Andreas Chrysostomou15%
Andreas Karamanolis14%
Gabriel Furtado14%
Clifford Aboagye10%
Marios Ilia9%
Roman Bezus0%
Babacar Dione0%
Kostakis Artymatas0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Constantinos Panagi0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Tamás Kiss0%
Alessio Da Cruz0%
Emil Bergström0%
Jacob Karlstrøm0%
Nemanja Tošić0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Demetris Theodorou0%
Evagoras Charalampous0%
Elián Sosa0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alessio Da Cruz33%
Elián Sosa27%
Stefano Sensi21%
Gabriel Furtado21%
Danil Paroutis20%
Demetris Theodorou20%
Marios Ilia18%
Kiko18%
Evagoras Charalampous17%
Andreas Karamanolis14%
Nemanja Tošić12%
Tamás Kiss11%
Clifford Aboagye10%
Stefan Vukić10%
Emil Bergström8%
Konstantinos Sergiou8%
Andreas Chrysostomou8%
Roman Bezus0%
Babacar Dione0%
Kostakis Artymatas0%
Constantinos Panagi0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Jacob Karlstrøm0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stefano Sensi36%
Kiko27%
Simranjit Thandi14%
Roman Bezus0%
Babacar Dione0%
Andreas Karamanolis0%
Kostakis Artymatas0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Constantinos Panagi0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Marios Ilia0%
Tamás Kiss0%
Alessio Da Cruz0%
Clifford Aboagye0%
Emil Bergström0%
Jacob Karlstrøm0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Nemanja Tošić0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Gabriel Furtado0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Demetris Theodorou0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Evagoras Charalampous0%
Elián Sosa0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Danil Paroutis20%
Elián Sosa18%
Rafael Lopes17%
Stefano Sensi14%
Marios Ilia9%
Gabriel Furtado7%
Roman Bezus0%
Babacar Dione0%
Andreas Karamanolis0%
Kostakis Artymatas0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Constantinos Panagi0%
Michalis Ioannou0%
Tamás Kiss0%
Alessio Da Cruz0%
Clifford Aboagye0%
Emil Bergström0%
Jacob Karlstrøm0%
Kiko0%
Nemanja Tošić0%
Tobias Schättin0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Demetris Theodorou0%
Andreas Chrysostomou0%
Evagoras Charalampous0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
Apollon Limassol's squad is €9m more valuable than Anorthosis's (€15m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
Apollon Limassol's attack is €4m more valuable than Anorthosis's (€7m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
Apollon Limassol's midfield is €1m more valuable than Anorthosis's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
Apollon Limassol's defence is €3m more valuable than Anorthosis's (€7m vs €3m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Pafos
Omonia 29is Maiou
AEK Larnaca
AEL
Olympiakos
Nea Salamis
Aris
Omonia Aradippou
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
Karmiotissa
Krasava Ypsonas