This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OC
OFI Crete
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.13
1.27
1.53
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.70
1.20
2.40
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.10
0.85
1.30
1.10
0.90
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
52.4%
Under 1.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
24.6%
@ 2.36-15.2%
Under 2.5
75.4%
@ 1.56+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
9.5%
Under 3.5
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
33.8%
No
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
19.3%
0-1
16.3%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.0%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
Apollon goals ↓
OFI Crete goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
19%
16%
8.6%
2.8%
0.7%
1
12%
14%
6.3%
2.1%
0.5%
2
4.9%
4.8%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
3
1.2%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Apollon goals (down), columns = OFI Crete goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.31
PAOK
1.78
Aris Thessalonikis
1.72
Panathinaikos
1.69
AEK Athens FC
1.56
Ionikos
1.36
OFI Crete
1.33
PAS Giannina
1.28
Asteras Tripolis
1.24
Volos NFC
1.21
Panetolikos
1.12
Atromitos
1.00
Lamia
0.79
Apollon
0.67
Apollon is 0.67 points worse than OFI Crete in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.33).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.72
PAOK
1.61
AEK Athens FC
1.56
Panathinaikos
1.44
Volos NFC
1.42
Ionikos
1.33
OFI Crete
1.21
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Asteras Tripolis
1.00
Atromitos
1.00
Panetolikos
0.97
PAS Giannina
0.94
Lamia
0.73
Apollon
0.48
Apollon is 0.73 goals worse than OFI Crete in terms of goals scored per game (0.48 vs 1.21).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.72
Panathinaikos
0.72
Aris Thessalonikis
0.78
PAOK
0.92
Asteras Tripolis
1.12
AEK Athens FC
1.17
PAS Giannina
1.17
Ionikos
1.27
Lamia
1.33
OFI Crete
1.36
Volos NFC
1.45
Panetolikos
1.45
Atromitos
1.58
Apollon
1.73
Apollon is 0.36 goals worse than OFI Crete in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.36).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
A
Apollon
For 2.4 · Against 5.2 · Total 7.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 20.0 · Against 15.7 · Total 35.7
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
For 3.5 · Against 4.1 · Total 7.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 19.8 · Against 15.7 · Total 35.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
A
Apollon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.2
8.4
5.1
5.1
5.2
37.1
39.5
34.6
vs Stronger (32)
8.5
8.2
8.8
5.2
5.2
5.2
35.9
39.3
33.3
vs Similar (18)
7.8
8.1
7.2
5.1
5.0
5.2
39.4
39.6
39.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
27%
33%
70%
69%
71%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
70%
73%
67%
30%
31%
29%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.1
7.4
8.7
4.9
4.7
5.2
36.3
38.8
33.8
vs Stronger (18)
9.0
9.2
8.8
4.2
4.1
4.3
33.8
35.0
32.6
vs Similar (32)
7.6
6.4
8.7
5.3
5.1
5.6
37.7
40.9
34.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
32%
28%
36%
74%
80%
68%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
68%
72%
64%
26%
20%
32%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
PAOK
9.0
AEK Athens FC
8.7
PAS Giannina
8.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.5
Aris Thessalonikis
8.5
Panetolikos
8.4
Volos NFC
8.4
Apollon
8.3
Panathinaikos
8.3
Lamia
8.2
OFI Crete
8.1
Atromitos
7.9
Ionikos
7.4
Asteras Tripolis
7.2
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
6.0
Volos NFC
5.7
Aris Thessalonikis
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
PAOK
5.3
PAS Giannina
5.3
Apollon
5.1
Ionikos
5.1
Panetolikos
5.0
OFI Crete
4.9
Atromitos
4.9
Asteras Tripolis
4.9
Lamia
4.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apollon
37.1
Panetolikos
36.9
Lamia
36.3
OFI Crete
36.3
Aris Thessalonikis
36.1
PAS Giannina
35.0
Volos NFC
34.6
AEK Athens FC
34.2
Panathinaikos
34.1
Atromitos
33.8
Ionikos
33.2
Asteras Tripolis
32.9
PAOK
32.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
30.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.3%
Under 9.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
76.2%
Under 3.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
99.2%
Under 21.5
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
A
Apollon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
0.60
0.18
0.41
0.23
0.85
vs Stronger (18)
0.22
0.67
0.25
0.38
0.20
0.90
vs Similar (12)
0.17
0.50
0.11
0.44
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.47
0.60
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.90
0.40
1.00
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.45
0.50
0.40
0.60
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Apollon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
A
Apollon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.41
0.53
0.38
1.15
vs Stronger (18)
0.44
1.17
0.50
0.88
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.25
0.33
0.22
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.80
0.93
0.27
0.13
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.80
0.80
1.40
0.20
0.20
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.40
0.80
0.70
0.30
0.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Apollon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 3.5
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 11.5 corners
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 2.5
75.4%
1.56
-
-
-
-
-
+15.2%
â Miss
Under 10.5 corners
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Greece: Super League 1 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
PAS Giannina
Ionikos
Asteras Tripolis
Volos NFC
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Lamia