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Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA Result & Analysis

Date: 18/05/2025
Time: 11:00
Final 4-0
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
Vs
65%
20%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BKMA
BKMA
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ararat-Armenia win✓ Hit
65.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
BKMA win✗ Miss
14.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L21W11D30W32W30W32W40W51W30WH·FC 25/02A·PYU01/03H·VAN10/03H·ALA15/03H·PYU28/03A·FC 05/04A·VAN20/04A·GAN25/04H·SHI03/05A·WES09/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.371.032.331.002.401.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.641.731.331.672.001.80
vs Weaker (19)2.790.633.000.562.600.70
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BKMABKMA

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D11D30W03L15L32W11D21W01LA·WES02/03A·SHI08/03A·ARA13/03H·WES27/03A·FC 09/04H·FC 13/04H·SHI18/04H·VAN26/04A·PYU04/05H·FC 11/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.801.121.621.712.00
vs Stronger (20)1.552.101.301.901.802.30
vs Similar (10)1.101.200.831.171.501.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.8%
Under 2.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.9%
Under 3.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.7%
No
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
1-1
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
Ararat-Armenia goals ↓
BKMA goals →
01234
04.2%2.7%1.9%0.7%0.2%
17.1%9.2%4.4%1.5%0.4%
29.2%9.7%5.1%1.8%0.5%
37.1%7.5%4.0%1.4%0.4%
44.2%4.4%2.3%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ararat-Armenia goals (down), columns = BKMA goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Noah
2.50
Ararat-Armenia
2.20
FC Urartu
1.97
Pyunik Yerevan
1.77
Van
1.73
BKMA
1.20
Shirak
1.10
Ararat
1.00
West Armenia
0.96
Alashkert
0.79
Gandzasar
0.25
Ararat-Armenia is 1.00 points better than BKMA in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 1.20).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
3.07
Ararat-Armenia
2.50
FC Urartu
2.07
Pyunik Yerevan
1.97
Van
1.87
BKMA
1.47
Ararat
1.14
Shirak
0.93
West Armenia
0.89
Alashkert
0.72
Gandzasar
0.46
Ararat-Armenia is 1.03 goals better than BKMA in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.47).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Noah
0.67
Ararat-Armenia
0.93
FC Urartu
1.10
Van
1.20
Pyunik Yerevan
1.23
Shirak
1.72
Alashkert
1.79
BKMA
1.80
Ararat
2.03
West Armenia
2.48
Gandzasar
2.50
Ararat-Armenia is 0.87 goals better than BKMA in terms of goals conceded per game (0.93 vs 1.80).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D10W10W20W12L20W22D10W21WA·FC 04/12H·FC 25/02A·PYU01/03H·VAN10/03H·ALA15/03H·PYU28/03A·FC 05/04A·VAN20/04A·GAN25/04H·SHI03/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.501.070.401.130.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.830.580.500.501.170.67
vs Weaker (18)1.280.441.440.331.110.56
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BKMABKMA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D10W02L02L00D10W00D00DA·WES02/03A·SHI08/03A·ARA13/03H·WES27/03A·FC 09/04H·FC 13/04H·SHI18/04H·VAN26/04A·PYU04/05H·FC 11/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.900.500.810.931.00
vs Stronger (20)0.751.100.601.100.901.10
vs Similar (10)0.600.500.330.331.000.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L11D01L10W20W10W10W30W30WA·FC 04/12H·FC 25/02A·PYU01/03H·VAN10/03H·ALA15/03H·PYU28/03A·FC 05/04A·VAN20/04A·GAN25/04H·SHI03/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.531.270.601.270.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.921.000.831.171.000.83
vs Weaker (18)1.500.221.560.221.440.22
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BKMABKMA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D20W01L13L32W01L21W01LA·WES02/03A·SHI08/03A·ARA13/03H·WES27/03A·FC 09/04H·FC 13/04H·SHI18/04H·VAN26/04A·PYU04/05H·FC 11/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.900.620.810.791.00
vs Stronger (20)0.801.000.700.800.901.20
vs Similar (10)0.500.700.500.830.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
Ararat-Armenia's squad is €6m more valuable than BKMA's (€8m vs €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
Ararat-Armenia's attack is €2m more valuable than BKMA's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
Ararat-Armenia's midfield is €1m more valuable than BKMA's (€2m vs €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
Ararat-Armenia's defence is €3m more valuable than BKMA's (€4m vs €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
7
ARA wins
1
Draws
0
BKM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA · H/A from ARA
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/24ABKMA Vs ARA2-4
29/09/24HARA Vs BKMA2-0
07/05/24HARA Vs BKMA4-1
07/03/24ABKMA Vs ARA0-1
02/11/23HARA Vs BKMA4-1
01/09/23ABKMA Vs ARA1-1
05/06/23ABKMA Vs ARA2-5
15/04/23HARA Vs BKMA2-1

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/25AWest Armenia Vs ARA0-3
03/05/25HARA Vs Shirak5-1
25/04/25AGandzasar Vs ARA0-4
20/04/25AVan Vs ARA2-3
05/04/25AFC Urartu Vs ARA0-3
28/03/25HARA Vs Pyunik Yerevan3-2
15/03/25HARA Vs Alashkert3-0
10/03/25HARA Vs Van1-1
01/03/25APyunik Yerevan Vs ARA1-2
25/02/25HARA Vs FC Urartu1-2

BKMABKMA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/25HBKM Vs FC Urartu0-1
04/05/25APyunik Yerevan Vs BKM1-2
26/04/25HBKM Vs Van1-1
18/04/25HBKM Vs Shirak3-2
13/04/25HBKM Vs FC Noah1-5
09/04/25AFC Noah Vs BKM3-0
27/03/25HBKM Vs West Armenia3-0
13/03/25AArarat Vs BKM1-1
08/03/25AShirak Vs BKM0-0
02/03/25AWest Armenia Vs BKM1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.14
HomeLDWWW2.00
AwayWWWWW2.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%62%69%
AVG goals3.103.083.12
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %68%62%73%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored2.162.082.23
Conceded0.941.000.88
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet38%25%50%
Corners8.5010.007.00
Cards6.506.007.00
BKMA
BKMA
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL0.92
HomeWLWDL1.12
AwayLDDLW0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%31%17%
AVG goals3.062.923.21
Over 1.5 %74%77%71%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %36%27%46%
Scored1.241.231.25
Conceded1.821.691.96
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet16%23%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC NoahFC Noah3075
80%
2.5
9220+72
3.7
90%
80%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5343.10.7
-
2Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia3066
70%
2.2
7528+47
3.4
93%
80%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.50.9
-
3FC UrartuFC Urartu3059
60%
2.0
6233+29
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.11.1
-
4Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan3053
57%
1.8
5937+22
3.2
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5VanVan3052
50%
1.7
5636+20
3.1
87%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.2
-
6BKMABKMA3036
33%
1.2
4454-10
3.3
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.8
-
7ShirakShirak2932
31%
1.1
2750-23
2.7
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.7
-
8AraratArarat2929
28%
1.0
3359-26
3.2
86%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.12.0
-
9West ArmeniaWest Armenia2726
30%
1.0
2467-43
3.4
85%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.5
-
10AlashkertAlashkert2923
17%
0.8
2152-31
2.5
76%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3120.71.8
-
11GandzasarGandzasar287
4%
0.2
1370-57
3.0
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.52.5
-
Armenia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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