Ararat-Armenia vs FC Urartu Result & Analysis

Ararat-Armenia and FC Urartu face each other in a match that feels almost evenly split, with the model favouring a home win. The probability of a win at home sits at 39%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 35%. The expected total of goals is 3.1, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 23% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 11.8% probability. Ararat-Armenia, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages two goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while FC Urartu, on the road, averages two goals scored and 1.89 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 84%, Over 1.5 goals at 83% (hit), Under 11.5 corners at 79.8% and Under 10.5 corners at 70%. The recent form shows Ararat-Armenia coming off a defeat, whereas FC Urartu follows a draw.

The upset came as FC Urartu edged home side Ararat-Armenia 2-1, overturning the model’s pre-match favourite of a home win that carried a 39% chance. The final score of 1-2 delivered an away win, a result the model’s call missed. Ararat-Armenia, coming off a defeat in their last five, had a 26% chance of drawing and 35% of losing, while Urartu, after a draw, faced a 39% chance of winning on the road. The model’s single selection, Over 1.5 goals, hit with an 83% probability, confirming that the match did indeed see more than one and a half goals.