Ararat-Armenia vs Pyunik Yerevan Result & Analysis

Ararat-Armenia are the clear favorites, with the model picking a home win at 42%. The expected total goals hover around 2.6, centering on a tidy 2-goal match. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.6% chance. Ararat-Armenia, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Pyunik Yerevan away, average 1.22 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 81.4%, Over 1.5 at 74.7% (hit), Under 3.5 at 73.4% (miss), Under 5.5 cards at 72.1%, and Under 11.5 corners at 71.6%. The draw probability sits at 29%, and the away win probability at 30%. Ararat-Armenia’s recent form shows a win after a mixed run, while Pyunik Yerevan come off a two-game winning streak. These figures paint a picture of a competitive encounter where the home side’s edge remains decisive.

The pre-match favourite, Ararat-Armenia, failed to deliver as the match ended 1-3 in favour of Pyunik Yerevan. The model had called a home win with a 42% probability, but the prediction proved wrong. The upset came after Ararat had come off a win in their last five, while Pyunik were on a two-game winning streak. The model’s other selections were mixed: Over 1.5 goals hit at 74.7%, whereas Under 3.5 missed at 73.4%. The final score of 1-3 matched the actual result, confirming the away victory and underscoring the unpredictability of the league.