PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 1-1
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
Vs
46%
28%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sardarapat
Sardarapat
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Ararat-Armenia are the favourites to win at home against Sardarapat, with a 46% chance of victory. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair with an average of 2.7 goals. The most likely correct score is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 13.3%. Ararat-Armenia have been scoring an average of 1.25 goals at home, while conceding 1.75. In contrast, Sardarapat have been scoring an average of 4 goals away from home, but conceding just 1.

The model's selection is a home win, with a 46% chance of success. The model also suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection, with a 75.5% probability, and an Under 3.5 goals selection, with a 72.4% probability. Ararat-Armenia have a 46% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 26% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The match ended in a 1-1 draw, a shock that left the pre-match favourite - a home win - disappointed. The model had given the home side a 46 % chance of victory, yet the result was a stalemate. The model’s call was therefore wrong. Every suggested pick proved accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.4 %, Under 6.5 at 98.1 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.4 %, Under 5.5 at 94.6 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 92.9 %, and Away under 2.5 goals at 89.7 %. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely outcome, with a 26 % probability, and the game’s total of two goals aligned with the model’s expectation of 2.7.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ararat-Armenia win✗ Miss
45.9%
Avg Implied 62.9% · @ 1.44
Edge
-17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.49
Bet365
1.48
Dafabet
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Draw✓ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied 21.2% · @ 4.27
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.40
Dafabet
4.40
Pinnacle
4.38
Unibet
4.35
Sardarapat win✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 15.9% · @ 5.67
Edge
+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
6.56
Marathonbet
6.30
Unibet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
6.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L32W10W12L43W21W21W02L20W11DH·FC 10/05A·BKM17/05H·GAN27/05A·SHA28/07A·GAN01/08H·CEL04/08H·FC 07/08A·CEL11/08H·VAN15/08A·UNI20/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.031.870.871.731.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.231.231.331.501.141.00
vs Weaker (17)2.240.882.220.442.251.38
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sardarapat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SardarapatSardarapat

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W20W30W00D42W11D21W31W41W21WH·MIK07/04A·ARA13/04H·ARA20/04A·HAY27/04H·ARA05/05A·AND11/05H·SYU17/05A·BEN25/05A·VAN31/07A·ARA07/08← First LeaguePremier League →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.700.632.860.572.560.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.750.251.500.002.000.50
vs Weaker (26)2.850.693.080.672.640.71
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
@ 1.15-4.1%
Under 1.5
24.4%
@ 4.50+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.7%
@ 1.57-8.6%
Under 2.5
50.3%
@ 2.18+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Under
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Pinnacle
2.23
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.7%
@ 2.36-10.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
@ 1.47+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.52
1xBet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.43
Superbet
2.37
Under
Betano
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Unibet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.1%
@ 1.69+0.4%
No
45.9%
@ 1.96-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
No
Betfair
2.05
Superbet
2.02
William Hil
2.00
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.3%@ 7.82+7.8%
1-0
9.6%@ 7.39+3.8%
2-1
9.3%@ 7.28+3.4%
2-0
8.3%@ 7.16+2.4%
0-0
8.2%@ 13.81+5.1%
1-2
6.7%@ 16.55+4.1%
0-1
6.6%@ 16.62+4.0%
2-2
5.2%@ 14.67+2.3%
Ararat-Armenia goals ↓
Sardarapat goals →
01234
08.2%6.6%4.4%1.6%0.5%
19.6%13%6.7%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.3%5.2%1.9%0.5%
34.3%4.8%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.7%1.8%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ararat-Armenia goals (down), columns = Sardarapat goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Noah
3.00
Sardarapat
2.50
Pyunik Yerevan
2.20
Alashkert
2.17
Ararat-Armenia
2.00
FC Urartu
1.60
Shirak
1.40
BKMA
0.80
Ararat
0.60
Gandzasar
0.60
Syunik
0.33
Van
0.17
Ararat-Armenia is 0.50 points worse than Sardarapat in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
2.60
Sardarapat
2.50
Alashkert
2.33
Ararat-Armenia
2.00
Pyunik Yerevan
1.80
FC Urartu
1.60
Shirak
1.60
Gandzasar
1.20
BKMA
0.80
Ararat
0.60
Syunik
0.50
Van
0.33
Ararat-Armenia is 0.50 goals worse than Sardarapat in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Alashkert
0.33
Pyunik Yerevan
0.60
FC Noah
0.60
FC Urartu
1.00
Sardarapat
1.00
Shirak
1.00
BKMA
1.20
Ararat-Armenia
1.40
Syunik
2.17
Ararat
2.40
Gandzasar
2.40
Van
3.00
Ararat-Armenia is 0.40 goals worse than Sardarapat in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ararat-Armenia or Draw✓ Hit
73.7%
Avg Implied 83.9% · @ 1.09
Edge
-10.2%
46%
28%
26%
covers Ararat-Armenia + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Ararat-Armenia or Sardarapat✗ Miss
72.2%
Avg Implied 79.2% · @ 1.15
Edge
-6.9%
46%
28%
26%
covers Ararat-Armenia + Sardarapat
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
SBO
1.14
Draw or Sardarapat✓ Hit
54.1%
Avg Implied 37.0% · @ 2.47
Edge
+17.1%
46%
28%
26%
covers Draw + Sardarapat
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.63
Marathonbet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Unibet
2.55
William Hil
2.50

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.6%
@ 1.07-6.8%
Under
21.4%
@ 6.32+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Under
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
6.10
Superbet
5.85
Ararat-Armenia over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.6%
@ 1.47-17.4%
Under
54.4%
@ 2.50+17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.63
1xBet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Ararat-Armenia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.2%
@ 2.45-17.6%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.49+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
Marathonbet
2.45
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.38
Under
1xBet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.46
Superbet
1.46
Ararat-Armenia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 4.63-12.7%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.14+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.30
Under
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Sardarapat over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.3%
@ 1.55+7.9%
Under
32.7%
@ 2.27-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.59
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Sardarapat over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.7%
@ 3.60+5.2%
Under
69.3%
@ 1.23-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.98
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
Sardarapat over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 9.07+0.2%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.02-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.00
Under
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Sardarapat over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ararat-Armenia, so a minus line means Ararat-Armenia give that many goals of a start and Sardarapat receive them. At -1, Ararat-Armenia must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ararat-Armenia win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ararat-Armenia)Actual: Sardarapat
Ararat-Armenia -2
9.7%
@ 3.92-13.2%
Draw -2
14.3%
@ 4.39-6.1%
Sardarapat +2
76.1%
@ 1.58+19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Draw
Marathonbet
4.45
Betfair
4.33
Away
Marathonbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Handicap -1 (Ararat-Armenia)Actual: Sardarapat
Ararat-Armenia -1
23.9%
@ 2.19-16.8%
Draw -1
22.0%
@ 3.59-2.8%
Sardarapat +1
54.1%
@ 2.59+19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
Draw
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Away
Betfair
2.63
Marathonbet
2.55
Handicap +1 (Ararat-Armenia)Actual: Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia +1
73.7%
Draw +1
15.6%
Sardarapat -1
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ararat-Armenia)Actual: Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia +2
89.3%
Draw +2
7.5%
Sardarapat -2
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L10W02L21W11D11D00D00D11DH·FC 10/05A·BKM17/05H·GAN27/05A·SHA28/07A·GAN01/08H·CEL04/08H·FC 07/08A·CEL11/08H·VAN15/08A·UNI20/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.870.470.600.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.690.830.830.430.57
vs Weaker (17)0.820.290.890.220.750.38
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Sardarapat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SardarapatSardarapat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W30W00D31W00D21W21W20W20WH·MIK07/04A·ARA13/04H·ARA20/04A·HAY27/04H·ARA05/05A·AND11/05H·SYU17/05A·BEN25/05A·VAN31/07A·ARA07/08← First LeaguePremier League →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.201.790.211.190.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.500.000.500.000.500.00
vs Weaker (26)1.620.232.000.251.290.21
Clean sheet %80% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.5%
@ 1.25+2.8%
Under 0.5
24.5%
@ 3.33-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Under
Betfair
3.50
William Hil
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.7%
@ 2.28+3.6%
Under 1.5
56.3%
@ 1.53-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.38
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
William Hil
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Under
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.7%
@ 5.22+0.2%
Under 2.5
82.3%
@ 1.11-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.55
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.00
Superbet
4.50
Under
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.3%
@ 1.50-5.3%
Under
43.7%
@ 2.41+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Under
1xBet
2.44
Pinnacle
2.41
Superbet
2.37
Ararat-Armenia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.1%
@ 3.48-7.3%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.25+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.21
Ararat-Armenia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 9.00-6.9%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Under
1xBet
1.02
Sardarapat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.2%
@ 2.67+15.7%
Under
49.8%
@ 1.41-15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.79
Pinnacle
2.78
Superbet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Under
1xBet
1.45
Superbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.35
Sardarapat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 10.00+3.1%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.01-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Sardarapat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L31W00D10W22D10W10W02L20W00DH·FC 10/05A·BKM17/05H·GAN27/05A·SHA28/07A·GAN01/08H·CEL04/08H·FC 07/08A·CEL11/08H·VAN15/08A·UNI20/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.571.000.401.130.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.540.500.670.710.43
vs Weaker (17)1.410.591.330.221.501.00
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sardarapat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SardarapatSardarapat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D00D00D11D11D00D10W21W01LH·MIK07/04A·ARA13/04H·ARA20/04A·HAY27/04H·ARA05/05A·AND11/05H·SYU17/05A·BEN25/05A·VAN31/07A·ARA07/08← First LeaguePremier League →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.431.070.361.380.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.250.251.000.001.500.50
vs Weaker (26)1.230.461.080.421.360.50
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
79.0%
@ 1.15-0.6%
Under 0.5
21.0%
@ 4.47+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Under
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Superbet
4.30
William Hil
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
54.2%
@ 1.81+3.3%
Under 1.5
45.8%
@ 1.88-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Under
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
William Hil
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.9%
@ 3.52-2.0%
Under 2.5
76.1%
@ 1.23+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.48
Superbet
3.30
Under
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
55.2%
@ 1.32-14.9%
Under
44.8%
@ 3.10+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
3.10
Ararat-Armenia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
29.4%
@ 2.55-6.5%
Under
70.6%
@ 1.43+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Ararat-Armenia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 5.90-4.3%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.08+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.90
Under
1xBet
1.08
Sardarapat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.0%
@ 2.20+6.2%
Under
52.0%
@ 1.58-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.27
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
Under
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.52
Sardarapat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.3%
@ 8.00+5.9%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.03-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.70
1xBet
7.30
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Sardarapat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.7%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+6.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals96.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.6%1.03
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-+6.1%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals92.9%1.14
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
--+12.7%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals89.7%1.02
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
---0.2%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals89.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals88.8%1.08
1xBet
1.08
----+4.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals87.7%1.01
1xBet
1.01
-----3.1%✓ Hit
Under 4.586.9%1.17
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+8.5%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals82.7%1.03
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
----5.9%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals82.3%1.11
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-0.2%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals80.9%1.25
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.21
---+7.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals79.8%1.49
1xBet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.46
Superbet
1.46
+17.6%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals79.0%1.15
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
--0.6%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals78.6%1.07
1xBet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.06
---6.8%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals76.1%1.23
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-+2.0%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap76.1%1.58
Marathonbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
---+19.3%✓ Hit
Over 1.575.6%1.15
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
--4.1%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals75.5%1.25
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.23
+2.8%✓ Hit
Home or Draw73.7%1.09
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
-10.2%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap73.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.3%1.47
Betano
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Unibet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
+10.7%✓ Hit
Home or Away72.2%1.15
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
SBO
1.14
-6.9%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals70.6%1.43
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
--+6.5%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
SAR (23)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
SYU (23)
€2m
Ararat-Armenia's squad is €7m more valuable than Sardarapat's (€8m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
SYU (9)
€1m
SAR (7)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
Ararat-Armenia's attack is €2m more valuable than Sardarapat's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
SYU (6)
€0m
SAR (4)
€0m
VAN (3)
€0m
Ararat-Armenia's midfield is €1m more valuable than Sardarapat's (€2m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
SAR (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
Ararat-Armenia's defence is €3m more valuable than Sardarapat's (€4m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ARA wins
0
Draws
0
SAR wins

Head-to-head

Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat · H/A from ARA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/26AUniversitatea Craiova Vs ARA1-1
15/08/26HARA Vs Van2-0
11/08/26ACelje Vs ARA2-0
07/08/26HARA Vs FC Urartu2-1
04/08/26HARA Vs Celje2-1
01/08/26AGandzasar Vs ARA3-4
28/07/26AShamrock Rovers Vs ARA2-1
27/05/26HARA Vs Gandzasar1-0
17/05/26ABKMA Vs ARA2-3
10/05/26HARA Vs FC Noah0-4

SardarapatSardarapat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/26AArarat Vs SAR1-2
31/07/26AVan Vs SAR1-4
25/05/26ABentonit Ijevan Vs SAR1-3
17/05/26HSAR Vs Syunik2-1
11/05/26AAndranik Vs SAR1-1
05/05/26HSAR Vs Ararat-Armenia II4-2
27/04/26AHayq Vs SAR0-0
20/04/26HSAR Vs Araks Ararat3-0
13/04/26AArarat II Vs SAR0-2
07/04/26HSAR Vs Mika5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD2.12
HomeLWWWW2.33
AwayWLWLD1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%71%58%
AVG goals3.063.172.96
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %62%67%58%
Over 3.5 %36%38%35%
Scored2.042.291.81
Conceded1.020.881.15
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet38%42%35%
Corners16.50-16.50
Cards6.00-6.00
Sardarapat
Sardarapat
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.56
HomeWWWWW2.53
AwayDDWWW2.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %81%80%82%
AVG goals3.343.403.29
Over 1.5 %88%87%88%
Over 2.5 %69%73%65%
Over 3.5 %44%40%47%
Scored2.722.872.59
Conceded0.620.530.71
BTTS50%40%59%
Clean Sheet50%60%41%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC NoahFC Noah515
100%
3.0
133+10
3.2
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5342.60.6
-
2AlashkertAlashkert613
67%
2.2
142+12
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.30.3
-
3Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan511
60%
2.2
93+6
2.4
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.80.6
-
4SardarapatSardarapat410
75%
2.5
104+6
3.5
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.0
-
5Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.01.4
-
6FC UrartuFC Urartu58
40%
1.6
85+3
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
7ShirakShirak57
40%
1.4
85+3
2.6
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.0
-
8BKMABKMA54
20%
0.8
46-2
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.81.2
-
9GandzasarGandzasar53
20%
0.6
612-6
3.6
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.22.4
-
10AraratArarat53
20%
0.6
312-9
3.0
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0120.62.4
-
11SyunikSyunik62
0%
0.3
313-10
2.7
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1000.52.2
-
12VanVan61
0%
0.2
218-16
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.33.0
-
Armenia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches