Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak Result & Analysis

Ararat-Armenia are the clear favourites, with a 58% chance of victory, a 25% draw probability and a 17% chance for Shirak. The model expects about 2.7 goals, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 11.9% chance. Ararat-Armenia, playing at home against a weaker side, average 2.11 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Shirak, away against a stronger opponent, average 0.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with a 75.3% probability, Under 3.5 at 72.5%. The home win percentage is 58%, the draw 25%, and the away win 17%. The match is poised to be a comfortable win for Ararat-Armenia, with a tight 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome.

Ararat-Armenia’s 4-0 victory over Shirak confirms the model’s home win call, with a 58% probability of a triumph. The win extends their recent run, though it follows a defeat to Pyunik Yerevan, while Shirak, fresh from a 4-0 win against Van, struggled away. The model’s favourite was correct, and the final score matched the actual result. The suggested Over 1.5 selection, at 75.3%, hit comfortably, whereas the Under 3.5 pick, at 72.5%, missed as the match produced four goals. Overall, the model’s predictions were largely accurate, with only one of the two additional picks falling short.