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Ararat vs FC Noah Result & Analysis

Date: 05/11/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 2-1
Ararat
Ararat
Vs
44%
32%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Noah
FC Noah
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ararat win✓ Hit
43.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Noah win✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AraratArarat

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D12L12L02L10W01L12L01L20WH·VAN27/08A·FC 03/09A·LER09/09A·BKM17/09H·FC 30/09H·PYU09/10H·ALA14/10A·ARA21/10H·SHI25/10A·VAN29/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.621.120.571.140.671.11
vs Stronger (8)0.381.120.251.250.501.00
vs Similar (8)0.881.121.001.000.801.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Noah) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NoahFC Noah

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L00D03L13L22D05L00D00D13L01LA·PYU29/08H·ARA03/09A·ARA09/09H·SHI16/09A·VAN02/10A·ALA10/10A·LER15/10H·BKM19/10A·FC 23/10H·PYU31/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.642.360.572.140.712.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.203.200.003.500.333.00
vs Weaker (9)0.891.890.801.601.002.25
Clean sheet %21% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.7%
Under 1.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.4%
Under 2.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.4%
Under 3.5
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.7%
No
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
13.7%
0-0
13.4%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
9.2%
2-1 ✓
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.6%
Ararat goals ↓
FC Noah goals →
01234
013%9.2%4.6%1.3%0.3%
114%14%5.7%1.7%0.4%
29.3%8.1%3.5%1.0%0.2%
33.9%3.4%1.5%0.4%0.1%
41.2%1.0%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ararat goals (down), columns = FC Noah goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Urartu
2.31
Pyunik Yerevan
2.22
Ararat-Armenia
2.11
Alashkert
1.83
Van
1.11
Ararat
1.06
Shirak
1.00
FC Noah
0.89
BKMA
0.89
Lernayin Artsakh
0.61
Ararat is 0.17 points better than FC Noah in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 0.89).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pyunik Yerevan
2.00
Ararat-Armenia
1.94
FC Urartu
1.89
Alashkert
1.61
Van
1.06
BKMA
1.00
FC Noah
0.94
Ararat
0.81
Shirak
0.69
Lernayin Artsakh
0.44
Ararat is 0.14 goals worse than FC Noah in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 0.94).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pyunik Yerevan
0.64
FC Urartu
0.69
Ararat-Armenia
0.75
Alashkert
1.03
Ararat
1.17
BKMA
1.47
Shirak
1.53
Lernayin Artsakh
1.64
Van
1.64
FC Noah
1.83
Ararat is 0.67 goals better than FC Noah in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.83).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AraratArarat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L10W00D10W01L11D01L20WH·VAN27/08A·FC 03/09A·LER09/09A·BKM17/09H·FC 30/09H·PYU09/10H·ALA14/10A·ARA21/10H·SHI25/10A·VAN29/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.620.290.860.440.44
vs Stronger (8)0.250.500.250.750.250.25
vs Similar (8)0.500.750.331.000.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Noah) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NoahFC Noah

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L11D10W03L00D00D01L00DA·PYU29/08H·ARA03/09A·ARA09/09H·SHI16/09A·VAN02/10A·ALA10/10A·LER15/10H·BKM19/10A·FC 23/10H·PYU31/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.290.930.290.860.291.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Weaker (9)0.440.890.400.800.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ararat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AraratArarat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D02L02L00D00D01L00D00DH·VAN27/08A·FC 03/09A·LER09/09A·BKM17/09H·FC 30/09H·PYU09/10H·ALA14/10A·ARA21/10H·SHI25/10A·VAN29/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.500.290.290.220.67
vs Stronger (8)0.120.620.000.500.250.75
vs Similar (8)0.380.380.670.000.200.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %69% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Noah) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NoahFC Noah

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D02L02L12L02L00D00D12L01LA·PYU29/08H·ARA03/09A·ARA09/09H·SHI16/09A·VAN02/10A·ALA10/10A·LER15/10H·BKM19/10A·FC 23/10H·PYU31/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.361.430.291.290.431.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.202.200.002.500.332.00
vs Weaker (9)0.441.000.400.800.501.25
Clean sheet %21% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ararat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.6%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

FC Noah · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nardin Mulahusejnović62%
Matheus AiÃĄs20%
Alen Grgić17%
Hovhannes Hambardzumyan14%
HÃĐlder Ferreira10%
Marin JakoliÅĄ0%
Gustavo SangarÃĐ0%
Imran Oulad Omar0%
Gonçalo Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Yan Eteki0%
Guðmundur ÞÃģrarinsson0%
Timothy Fayulu0%
NathanaÃŦl Saintini0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Eric Boakye0%
Gor Manvelyan0%
Takuto Oshima0%
Sergey Muradyan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Sualehe30%
Gustavo SangarÃĐ22%
Imran Oulad Omar20%
HÃĐlder Ferreira20%
Sergey Muradyan20%
Alen Grgić17%
Marin JakoliÅĄ12%
Guðmundur ÞÃģrarinsson12%
NathanaÃŦl Saintini12%
Nardin Mulahusejnović12%
Yan Eteki10%
Eric Boakye10%
Matheus AiÃĄs10%
Hovhannes Hambardzumyan0%
Gonçalo Silva0%
Timothy Fayulu0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Gor Manvelyan0%
Takuto Oshima0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
HÃĐlder Ferreira20%
Guðmundur ÞÃģrarinsson12%
Nardin Mulahusejnović12%
Takuto Oshima11%
David Sualehe10%
Matheus AiÃĄs10%
Sergey Muradyan10%
Marin JakoliÅĄ0%
Alen Grgić0%
Hovhannes Hambardzumyan0%
Gustavo SangarÃĐ0%
Imran Oulad Omar0%
Gonçalo Silva0%
Yan Eteki0%
Timothy Fayulu0%
NathanaÃŦl Saintini0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Eric Boakye0%
Gor Manvelyan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nardin Mulahusejnović38%
Imran Oulad Omar20%
HÃĐlder Ferreira10%
Matheus AiÃĄs10%
Marin JakoliÅĄ0%
Alen Grgić0%
Hovhannes Hambardzumyan0%
Gustavo SangarÃĐ0%
Gonçalo Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Yan Eteki0%
Guðmundur ÞÃģrarinsson0%
Timothy Fayulu0%
NathanaÃŦl Saintini0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Eric Boakye0%
Gor Manvelyan0%
Takuto Oshima0%
Sergey Muradyan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
LA (8)
€0m
Ararat's squad is €10m less valuable than FC Noah's (€3m vs €12m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
Ararat's attack is €4m less valuable than FC Noah's (€0m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
Ararat's midfield is €2m less valuable than FC Noah's (€1m vs €3m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
LA (3)
€0m
Ararat's defence is €3m less valuable than FC Noah's (€2m vs €4m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
ARA wins
1
Draws
0
FN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ararat vs FC Noah · H/A from ARA
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/22AFC Noah Vs ARA0-0

AraratArarat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/22AVan Vs ARA0-2
25/10/22HARA Vs Shirak0-1
21/10/22AArarat-Armenia Vs ARA2-1
14/10/22HARA Vs Alashkert0-1
09/10/22HARA Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-0
30/09/22HARA Vs FC Urartu0-2
17/09/22ABKMA Vs ARA2-1
09/09/22ALernayin Artsakh Vs ARA2-1
03/09/22AFC Noah Vs ARA0-0
27/08/22HARA Vs Van1-0

FC NoahFC Noah

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/22HFN Vs Pyunik Yerevan0-1
23/10/22AFC Urartu Vs FN3-1
19/10/22HFN Vs BKMA0-0
15/10/22ALernayin Artsakh Vs FN0-0
10/10/22AAlashkert Vs FN5-0
02/10/22AVan Vs FN2-2
16/09/22HFN Vs Shirak1-3
09/09/22AArarat-Armenia Vs FN3-0
03/09/22HFN Vs Ararat0-0
29/08/22APyunik Yerevan Vs FN3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ararat
Ararat
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW0.94
HomeWLWLL1.00
AwayDLLLW0.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%29%22%
AVG goals1.751.711.78
Over 1.5 %56%43%67%
Over 2.5 %25%14%33%
Over 3.5 %6%14%0%
Scored0.620.570.67
Conceded1.121.141.11
BTTS25%14%33%
Clean Sheet38%29%44%
Corners11.509.0014.00
Cards5.504.007.00
FC Noah
FC Noah
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLL0.36
HomeLDLDL0.29
AwayLDLDL0.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals3.002.713.29
Over 1.5 %64%43%86%
Over 2.5 %64%43%86%
Over 3.5 %50%43%57%
Scored0.640.570.71
Conceded2.362.142.57
BTTS36%29%43%
Clean Sheet21%29%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC UrartuFC Urartu3683
72%
2.3
6825+43
2.6
67%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.90.7
-
2Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan3680
69%
2.2
7223+49
2.6
72%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.00.6
-
3Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia3676
64%
2.1
7027+43
2.7
72%
58%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.90.8
-
4AlashkertAlashkert3666
56%
1.8
5837+21
2.6
61%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.61.0
-
5VanVan3640
31%
1.1
3859-21
2.7
69%
53%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
6AraratArarat3638
28%
1.1
2942-13
2.0
61%
36%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0120.81.2
-
7ShirakShirak3636
28%
1.0
2555-30
2.2
58%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.71.5
-
8BKMABKMA3632
19%
0.9
3653-17
2.5
64%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.5
-
9FC NoahFC Noah3632
22%
0.9
3466-32
2.8
75%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5340.91.8
-
10Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh3622
14%
0.6
1659-43
2.1
61%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.6
-
Armenia: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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