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Ararat vs FC Urartu Result & Analysis

Date: 24/05/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 2-4
Ararat
Ararat
Vs
22%
27%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ararat win✗ Miss
21.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu win✓ Hit
51.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AraratArarat

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W11D11D12L31W12L32W03L21W25LA·ALA08/03H·BKM13/03H·GAN27/03H·SHI04/04A·SHI08/04A·WES14/04H·ALA18/04A·FC 26/04H·VAN08/05A·PYU17/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.771.201.601.071.93
vs Stronger (18)1.061.941.251.500.902.30
vs Similar (12)1.251.501.141.711.401.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-821W30W21W03L11D41W11D80W10W33DA·ARA25/02A·PYU09/03H·GAN15/03H·ARA05/04A·ALA11/04A·PYU19/04A·SHI27/04H·WES03/05A·BKM11/05H·FC 18/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.202.071.201.871.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)2.151.252.001.182.331.33
vs Weaker (10)1.601.102.251.251.171.00
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.1%
Under 2.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.3%
Ararat goals ↓
FC Urartu goals →
01234
08.3%11%9.7%5.3%2.2%
15.9%13%9.6%5.3%2.2%
23.5%5.8%4.8%2.6%1.1%
31.2%1.9%1.6%0.9%0.4%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ararat goals (down), columns = FC Urartu goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Noah
2.50
Ararat-Armenia
2.20
FC Urartu
1.97
Pyunik Yerevan
1.77
Van
1.73
BKMA
1.20
Shirak
1.10
Ararat
1.00
West Armenia
0.96
Alashkert
0.79
Gandzasar
0.25
Ararat is 0.97 points worse than FC Urartu in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.97).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
3.07
Ararat-Armenia
2.50
FC Urartu
2.07
Pyunik Yerevan
1.97
Van
1.87
BKMA
1.47
Ararat
1.14
Shirak
0.93
West Armenia
0.89
Alashkert
0.72
Gandzasar
0.46
Ararat is 0.93 goals worse than FC Urartu in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 2.07).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Noah
0.67
Ararat-Armenia
0.93
FC Urartu
1.10
Van
1.20
Pyunik Yerevan
1.23
Shirak
1.72
Alashkert
1.79
BKMA
1.80
Ararat
2.03
West Armenia
2.48
Gandzasar
2.50
Ararat is 0.93 goals worse than FC Urartu in terms of goals conceded per game (2.03 vs 1.10).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AraratArarat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L10W20W00D12L00D11D12LA·ALA08/03H·BKM13/03H·GAN27/03H·SHI04/04A·SHI08/04A·WES14/04H·ALA18/04A·FC 26/04H·VAN08/05A·PYU17/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.600.870.330.73
vs Stronger (18)0.330.780.500.750.200.80
vs Similar (12)0.670.830.711.000.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D10W01L02L00D01L00D60W00D32WA·ARA25/02A·PYU09/03H·GAN15/03H·ARA05/04A·ALA11/04A·PYU19/04A·SHI27/04H·WES03/05A·BKM11/05H·FC 18/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.501.200.530.470.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.850.601.180.640.440.56
vs Weaker (10)0.800.301.250.250.500.33
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ararat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AraratArarat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W02L11D12L20W03L10W13LA·ALA08/03H·BKM13/03H·GAN27/03H·SHI04/04A·SHI08/04A·WES14/04H·ALA18/04A·FC 26/04H·VAN08/05A·PYU17/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.970.600.730.731.20
vs Stronger (18)0.721.170.750.750.701.50
vs Similar (12)0.580.670.430.710.800.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Urartu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W20W01L11D40W11D20W10W01LA·ARA25/02A·PYU09/03H·GAN15/03H·ARA05/04A·ALA11/04A·PYU19/04A·SHI27/04H·WES03/05A·BKM11/05H·FC 18/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.700.870.671.400.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.300.650.820.551.890.78
vs Weaker (10)0.800.801.001.000.670.67
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ararat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Urartu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
Ararat's squad is €2m less valuable than FC Urartu's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
Ararat's attack is €2m less valuable than FC Urartu's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
Ararat and FC Urartu have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
Ararat and FC Urartu have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
ARA wins
5
Draws
3
FU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ararat vs FC Urartu · H/A from ARA
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/24AFC Urartu Vs ARA1-0
06/10/24HARA Vs FC Urartu0-1
24/05/24AFC Urartu Vs ARA1-1
03/04/24HARA Vs FC Urartu0-0
29/11/23AFC Urartu Vs ARA2-1
24/09/23HARA Vs FC Urartu1-1
06/06/23AFC Urartu Vs ARA1-1
16/04/23HARA Vs FC Urartu0-0

AraratArarat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/25APyunik Yerevan Vs ARA5-2
08/05/25HARA Vs Van2-1
26/04/25AFC Noah Vs ARA3-0
18/04/25HARA Vs Alashkert3-2
14/04/25AWest Armenia Vs ARA2-1
08/04/25AShirak Vs ARA1-3
04/04/25HARA Vs Shirak1-2
27/03/25HARA Vs Gandzasar1-1
13/03/25HARA Vs BKMA1-1
08/03/25AAlashkert Vs ARA0-1

FC UrartuFC Urartu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/25HFU Vs FC Noah3-3
11/05/25ABKMA Vs FU0-1
03/05/25HFU Vs West Armenia8-0
27/04/25AShirak Vs FU1-1
19/04/25APyunik Yerevan Vs FU1-4
11/04/25AAlashkert Vs FU1-1
05/04/25HFU Vs Ararat-Armenia0-3
15/03/25HFU Vs Gandzasar2-1
09/03/25APyunik Yerevan Vs FU0-3
25/02/25AArarat-Armenia Vs FU1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ararat
Ararat
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.14
HomeDDLWW1.08
AwayWWLLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%28%36%
AVG goals2.662.163.16
Over 1.5 %76%64%88%
Over 2.5 %52%36%68%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored1.120.921.32
Conceded1.541.241.84
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Urartu
FC Urartu
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.56
HomeWWLWD1.68
AwayWDWDW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%40%
AVG goals2.823.002.64
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.601.841.36
Conceded1.221.161.28
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC NoahFC Noah3075
80%
2.5
9220+72
3.7
90%
80%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5343.10.7
-
2Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia3066
70%
2.2
7528+47
3.4
93%
80%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.50.9
-
3FC UrartuFC Urartu3059
60%
2.0
6233+29
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.11.1
-
4Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan3053
57%
1.8
5937+22
3.2
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5VanVan3052
50%
1.7
5636+20
3.1
87%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.2
-
6BKMABKMA3036
33%
1.2
4454-10
3.3
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.8
-
7ShirakShirak2932
31%
1.1
2750-23
2.7
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.7
-
8AraratArarat2929
28%
1.0
3359-26
3.2
86%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.12.0
-
9West ArmeniaWest Armenia2726
30%
1.0
2467-43
3.4
85%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.5
-
10AlashkertAlashkert2923
17%
0.8
2152-31
2.5
76%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3120.71.8
-
11GandzasarGandzasar287
4%
0.2
1370-57
3.0
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.52.5
-
Armenia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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