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Ararat vs Shirak Result & Analysis

Date: 25/10/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Ararat
Ararat
Vs
34%
35%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Shirak
Shirak
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ararat win✗ Miss
34.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
35.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shirak win✓ Hit
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AraratArarat

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W00D12L12L02L10W01L12LH·ARA11/08A·SHI20/08H·VAN27/08A·FC 03/09A·LER09/09A·BKM17/09H·FC 30/09H·PYU09/10H·ALA14/10A·ARA21/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.210.671.170.501.25
vs Stronger (8)0.381.120.251.250.501.00
vs Similar (6)0.831.331.501.000.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %36% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShirakShirak

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D03L03L11D31W12L10W01L01LA·PYU13/08H·ARA20/08A·ARA28/08A·ALA02/09H·VAN08/09A·FC 16/09H·LER01/10H·BKM11/10A·FC 15/10H·PYU21/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.581.250.501.000.671.50
vs Stronger (7)0.431.710.001.500.601.80
vs Similar (5)0.800.600.750.751.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%027%128%216%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
56.1%
Under 1.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.9%
Under 2.5
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.5%
Under 3.5
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.4%
No
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.3%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.9%
0-1 ✓
12.7%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
Ararat goals ↓
Shirak goals →
01234
017%13%6.2%1.8%0.4%
114%15%5.9%1.7%0.4%
27.3%6.4%2.8%0.8%0.2%
32.3%2.0%0.9%0.3%0.1%
40.5%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ararat goals (down), columns = Shirak goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Urartu
2.31
Pyunik Yerevan
2.22
Ararat-Armenia
2.11
Alashkert
1.83
Van
1.11
Ararat
1.06
Shirak
1.00
FC Noah
0.89
BKMA
0.89
Lernayin Artsakh
0.61
Ararat is 0.06 points better than Shirak in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pyunik Yerevan
2.00
Ararat-Armenia
1.94
FC Urartu
1.89
Alashkert
1.61
Van
1.06
BKMA
1.00
FC Noah
0.94
Ararat
0.81
Shirak
0.69
Lernayin Artsakh
0.44
Ararat is 0.11 goals better than Shirak in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 0.69).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pyunik Yerevan
0.64
FC Urartu
0.69
Ararat-Armenia
0.75
Alashkert
1.03
Ararat
1.17
BKMA
1.47
Shirak
1.53
Lernayin Artsakh
1.64
Van
1.64
FC Noah
1.83
Ararat is 0.36 goals better than Shirak in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.53).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AraratArarat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W00D01L10W00D10W01L11DH·ARA11/08A·SHI20/08H·VAN27/08A·FC 03/09A·LER09/09A·BKM17/09H·FC 30/09H·PYU09/10H·ALA14/10A·ARA21/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.290.640.330.830.250.50
vs Stronger (8)0.250.500.250.750.250.25
vs Similar (6)0.330.830.501.000.250.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShirakShirak

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L01L00D11D12L10W00D00DA·PYU13/08H·ARA20/08A·ARA28/08A·ALA02/09H·VAN08/09A·FC 16/09H·LER01/10H·BKM11/10A·FC 15/10H·PYU21/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.500.330.500.170.50
vs Stronger (7)0.140.570.000.500.200.60
vs Similar (5)0.400.400.500.500.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %58% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ararat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AraratArarat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D11D02L02L00D00D01LH·ARA11/08A·SHI20/08H·VAN27/08A·FC 03/09A·LER09/09A·BKM17/09H·FC 30/09H·PYU09/10H·ALA14/10A·ARA21/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.290.570.330.330.250.75
vs Stronger (8)0.120.620.000.500.250.75
vs Similar (6)0.500.501.000.000.250.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %64% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Shirak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ShirakShirak

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D02L02L11D20W00D00D01L01LA·PYU13/08H·ARA20/08A·ARA28/08A·ALA02/09H·VAN08/09A·FC 16/09H·LER01/10H·BKM11/10A·FC 15/10H·PYU21/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.750.170.500.501.00
vs Stronger (7)0.291.140.001.000.401.20
vs Similar (5)0.400.200.250.251.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ararat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shirak over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.588.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.572.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
LA (8)
€0m
Ararat and Shirak have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
Ararat and Shirak have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
Ararat and Shirak have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
LA (3)
€0m
Ararat and Shirak have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
ARA wins
1
Draws
0
SHI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ararat vs Shirak · H/A from ARA
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/22AShirak Vs ARA0-0

AraratArarat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/22AArarat-Armenia Vs ARA2-1
14/10/22HARA Vs Alashkert0-1
09/10/22HARA Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-0
30/09/22HARA Vs FC Urartu0-2
17/09/22ABKMA Vs ARA2-1
09/09/22ALernayin Artsakh Vs ARA2-1
03/09/22AFC Noah Vs ARA0-0
27/08/22HARA Vs Van1-0
20/08/22AShirak Vs ARA0-0
11/08/22HARA Vs Ararat-Armenia0-2

ShirakShirak

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/22HSHI Vs Pyunik Yerevan0-1
15/10/22AFC Urartu Vs SHI1-0
11/10/22HSHI Vs BKMA1-0
01/10/22HSHI Vs Lernayin Artsakh1-2
16/09/22AFC Noah Vs SHI1-3
08/09/22HSHI Vs Van1-1
02/09/22AAlashkert Vs SHI3-0
28/08/22AArarat-Armenia Vs SHI3-0
20/08/22HSHI Vs Ararat0-0
13/08/22APyunik Yerevan Vs SHI1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ararat
Ararat
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.86
HomeLWLWL1.17
AwayDDLLL0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%33%12%
AVG goals1.791.831.75
Over 1.5 %57%50%62%
Over 2.5 %29%17%38%
Over 3.5 %7%17%0%
Scored0.570.670.50
Conceded1.211.171.25
BTTS29%17%38%
Clean Sheet36%33%38%
Corners11.509.0014.00
Cards5.504.007.00
Shirak
Shirak
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL0.92
HomeDDLWL0.83
AwayLLLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%17%33%
AVG goals1.831.502.17
Over 1.5 %50%50%50%
Over 2.5 %33%17%50%
Over 3.5 %8%0%17%
Scored0.580.500.67
Conceded1.251.001.50
BTTS25%33%17%
Clean Sheet25%33%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC UrartuFC Urartu3683
72%
2.3
6825+43
2.6
67%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.90.7
-
2Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan3680
69%
2.2
7223+49
2.6
72%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.00.6
-
3Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia3676
64%
2.1
7027+43
2.7
72%
58%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.90.8
-
4AlashkertAlashkert3666
56%
1.8
5837+21
2.6
61%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.61.0
-
5VanVan3640
31%
1.1
3859-21
2.7
69%
53%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
6AraratArarat3638
28%
1.1
2942-13
2.0
61%
36%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0120.81.2
-
7ShirakShirak3636
28%
1.0
2555-30
2.2
58%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.71.5
-
8BKMABKMA3632
19%
0.9
3653-17
2.5
64%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.5
-
9FC NoahFC Noah3632
22%
0.9
3466-32
2.8
75%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5340.91.8
-
10Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh3622
14%
0.6
1659-43
2.1
61%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.41.6
-
Armenia: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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