Arbroath’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding only 0.5 goals per game against opponents of similar strength, while Dunfermline’s away attack averages 1.33 goals and they concede 1.08. The model sees a tight, low-scoring affair, with the most likely total of two goals and a 1-1 draw the single most probable scoreline at 14.7%. The probabilities for the match result are 34% for a home win, 32% for a draw and 35% for an away win, making an away win the favoured outcome. The expected total goals is 2.2. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 99.8%, Under 6.5 at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.4%, Under 5.5 at 97.4% with a 5% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.2% and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.2%. Both teams are coming off recent wins, which may add a spark to this low-scoring contest.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arbroath win
33.2%
Avg Implied 34.3% · @ 2.66
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.71
Betfair
2.70
Dafabet
2.70
Betano
2.70
Draw
32.2%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.07
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.24
Betfair
3.20
Dafabet
3.15
Unibet
3.15
BetVictor
3.10
Dunfermline win
34.6%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.54
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.62
Dafabet
2.60
Betfair
2.60
Pinnacle
2.59
Superbet
2.57
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arbroath
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.03
1.06
0.81
0.64
1.29
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
1.67
1.25
2.00
0.80
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.45
0.56
1.22
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunfermline
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.80
1.88
0.50
1.21
1.14
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.50
3.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
1.50
0.77
1.64
0.50
1.33
1.08
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
4.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
64.9%
@ 1.36-3.1%
Under 1.5
35.1%
@ 2.88+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.07
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
36.6%
@ 2.16-6.5%
Under 2.5
63.4%
@ 1.64+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Betfair
1.65
Bet365
1.65
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
17.3%
@ 3.94-6.2%
Under 3.5
82.7%
@ 1.21+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Under
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Both teams to score
Yes
44.9%
@ 1.86-4.6%
No
55.1%
@ 1.83+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Unibet
1.86
No
Betfair
1.90
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%@ 5.68+7.0%
0-0
12.9%@ 7.55+7.1%
0-1
11.3%@ 6.86+4.9%
1-0
11.0%@ 7.13+4.8%
1-2
7.4%@ 9.28+2.6%
2-1
7.2%@ 9.61+2.6%
0-2
6.9%@ 11.23+3.0%
2-0
6.6%@ 11.95+2.9%
Arbroath goals ↓
Dunfermline goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
11%
6.9%
2.5%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.4%
2.7%
0.7%
2
6.6%
7.2%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
3
2.3%
2.5%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arbroath goals (down), columns = Dunfermline goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Partick
1.85
Livingston
1.73
Dunfermline
1.54
Arbroath
1.48
Raith Rovers
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen's Park
1.14
Ayr Utd
1.08
Morton
1.04
Inverness CT
0.99
Arbroath is 0.06 points worse than Dunfermline in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 1.54).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Livingston
1.52
Partick
1.50
Dunfermline
1.44
Arbroath
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Raith Rovers
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.06
Morton
1.00
Queen's Park
0.97
Inverness CT
0.87
Arbroath is 0.19 goals worse than Dunfermline in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.44).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.91
Partick
0.96
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Dunfermline
1.02
Arbroath
1.15
Raith Rovers
1.17
Ayr Utd
1.31
Queen's Park
1.33
Morton
1.38
Inverness CT
1.59
Arbroath is 0.12 goals worse than Dunfermline in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.02).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arbroath
For 4.6 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dunfermline
For 4.8 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.6 · Against 10.6 · Total 18.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arbroath
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.7
7.9
7.4
1.0
1.2
0.9
24.2
22.7
26.2
vs Stronger (16)
7.0
6.7
7.3
1.5
1.6
1.4
24.8
21.3
28.3
vs Similar (33)
9.0
10.0
7.5
0.8
0.9
0.6
23.2
23.3
23.0
vs Weaker (1)
5.0
5.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
25.0
25.0
-
% over line
25%
29%
20%
18%
21%
15%
75%
57%
100%
% under line
75%
71%
80%
82%
79%
85%
25%
43%
0%
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunfermline
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.2
8.1
1.1
0.7
1.5
20.5
23.0
18.7
vs Stronger (3)
9.0
13.0
5.0
1.3
1.0
2.0
19.5
24.0
15.0
vs Similar (44)
8.0
7.0
8.7
1.1
0.7
1.6
20.7
22.8
19.3
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
25%
20%
29%
16%
7%
26%
50%
60%
43%
% under line
75%
80%
71%
84%
93%
74%
50%
40%
57%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Morton
10.9
Partick
10.4
Ayr Utd
10.0
Livingston
9.9
Arbroath
9.6
Dunfermline
9.3
Inverness CT
9.1
Queen's Park
9.0
Stenhousemuir
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Morton
4.5
Partick
4.4
Livingston
4.2
Ayr Utd
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Arbroath
3.6
Inverness CT
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
25.4
Livingston
25.3
Ayr Utd
22.0
Morton
21.6
Inverness CT
21.6
Arbroath
20.9
Dunfermline
20.7
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
34.8%
@ 2.05-10.5%
Under 9.5
65.2%
@ 1.70+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.19
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
1.92
Unibet
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.75
Unibet
1.74
Superbet
1.63
Betano
1.60
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.1%
Under 3.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
45.5%
Under 21.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arbroath or Draw
65.4%
Avg Implied 64.0% · @ 1.44
Edge
+1.4%
33%
32%
35%
covers Arbroath + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Arbroath or Dunfermline
67.8%
Avg Implied 70.6% · @ 1.31
Edge
-2.7%
33%
32%
35%
covers Arbroath + Dunfermline
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.34
Betfair
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Draw or Dunfermline
66.8%
Avg Implied 65.4% · @ 1.41
Edge
+1.3%
33%
32%
35%
covers Draw + Dunfermline
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.40
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arbroath over/under 0.5
Over
65.5%
@ 1.35-2.6%
Under
34.5%
@ 2.90+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.08
Betfair
3.00
1xBet
2.93
Marathonbet
2.93
BetVictor
2.90
Arbroath over/under 1.5
Over
28.8%
@ 2.74-5.0%
Under
71.2%
@ 1.40+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.82
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Arbroath over/under 2.5
Over
9.3%
@ 6.60-4.7%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.07+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.55
1xBet
6.55
Superbet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Arbroath over/under 3.5
Over
2.3%
@ 11.50-5.8%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
12.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Dunfermline over/under 0.5
Over
66.5%
@ 1.33-2.8%
Under
33.5%
@ 3.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.16
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Betano
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Dunfermline over/under 1.5
Over
29.9%
@ 2.65-5.1%
Under
70.1%
@ 1.42+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.71
BetVictor
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Under
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Dunfermline over/under 2.5
Over
9.8%
@ 6.26-4.9%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.08+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Dunfermline over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
@ 10.88-6.1%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Arbroath, so a minus line means Arbroath give that many goals of a start and Dunfermline receive them. At -1, Arbroath must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arbroath win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Arbroath)
Arbroath -2
4.1%
@ 9.93-4.6%
Draw -2
9.5%
@ 6.30-4.1%
Dunfermline +2
86.4%
@ 1.10+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Handicap -1 (Arbroath)
Arbroath -1
13.6%
@ 5.60-2.2%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 4.15-1.6%
Dunfermline +1
66.8%
@ 1.40+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.65
Unibet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
10Bet
1.44
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Handicap +1 (Arbroath)
Arbroath +1
65.4%
@ 1.45+4.5%
Draw +1
20.2%
@ 3.97-2.0%
Dunfermline -1
14.4%
@ 5.23-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.80
Away
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Handicap +2 (Arbroath)
Arbroath +2
85.6%
@ 1.12+5.7%
Draw +2
10.0%
@ 7.12-2.5%
Dunfermline -2
4.4%
@ 11.75-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
6.75
Away
Bet365
12.00
Unibet
11.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arbroath
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.47
0.38
0.25
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.56
0.50
0.75
0.20
0.40
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.45
0.36
0.09
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunfermline
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.94
0.19
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.38
0.79
0.21
0.50
0.58
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.0%
@ 1.44+2.7%
Under 0.5
33.0%
@ 2.59-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
BetVictor
1.46
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
William Hil
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.8%
@ 3.10-0.1%
Under 1.5
70.2%
@ 1.32+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.20
Unibet
3.10
Under
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 7.91-1.5%
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.05+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.90
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.1%
@ 2.24+2.7%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.58-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Unibet
2.23
1xBet
2.21
Under
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.3%
@ 7.50-1.0%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.05+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
1xBet
8.00
Betano
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 HT
Over
40.0%
@ 2.19-2.2%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.60+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Superbet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.22
Unibet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.17
Under
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.6%
@ 7.28-3.1%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.06+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.60
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
@ 26.00-2.3%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arbroath
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.69
0.56
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.11
0.75
1.25
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.35
0.64
0.36
0.11
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunfermline
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.40
0.94
0.31
0.79
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.38
0.86
0.29
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.7%
@ 1.29+1.8%
Under 0.5
26.3%
@ 3.28-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.32
Marathonbet
3.32
Superbet
3.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.34-1.0%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.53+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.40
William Hil
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.35
Unibet
2.33
Under
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 5.24-3.8%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.12+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Superbet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.2%
@ 1.90-0.5%
Under
51.8%
@ 1.80+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.6%
@ 5.51-1.1%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.10+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.1%
@ 16.00-2.8%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.4%
@ 1.85-4.4%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.84+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Betano
1.88
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.0%
@ 5.33-3.3%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.11+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.40
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.8%
@ 13.88-3.0%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+4.7%
Home under 3.5 goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+5.8%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+6.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
Under 4.5
93.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
+5.1%
Home under 2.5 goals
90.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+4.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+3.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
90.2%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
+4.9%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
+1.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+1.0%
Away +2 handicap
86.4%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
+8.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals
86.1%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
+3.8%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.0%
1.11
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+3.3%
Home +2 handicap
85.6%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
-
-
-
+5.7%
Over 2.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
84.8%
1.21
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.14
-
-
+10.1%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.4%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
+1.1%
Under 25.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
82.7%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+6.2%
Under 10.5 corners
76.3%
1.42
Pinnacle
1.54
Unibet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.35
+11.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.7%
1.29
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
+1.8%
Home under 1.5 goals
71.2%
1.40
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
+5.0%
Under 23.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.2%
1.32
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
+0.1%
Away under 1.5 goals
70.1%
1.42
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
10Bet
1.42
+5.1%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
STE (2)
€0m
Arbroath's squad is €3m less valuable than Dunfermline's (€1m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (9)
€2m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
Arbroath's attack is €1m less valuable than Dunfermline's (€0m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
Arbroath and Dunfermline have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Arbroath's defence is €2m less valuable than Dunfermline's (€0m vs €2m).
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stenhousemuir
Partick
Raith Rovers
Livingston
Ayr Utd
Inverness CT
Morton
Queen's Park