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Arbroath vs Partick Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Arbroath
Arbroath
Vs
31%
31%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Arbroath win✓ Hit
30.6%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.26
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.37
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Partick win✗ Miss
38.7%
Avg Implied 44.1% · @ 2.10
Edge
-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L00D01L21W22D40W34L00D01L22DA·DUN13/03H·HEA20/03A·INV27/03H·ALL03/04A·RAI10/04H·AYR17/04A·DUN24/04H·MOR30/04H·INV31/07A·AYR07/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.271.070.801.001.73
vs Stronger (13)1.081.231.330.500.861.86
vs Similar (17)1.001.290.891.001.121.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W20W50W20W10W22D50W23L32W30WA·PET10/04H·CLY13/04H·MON15/04A·DUM20/04H·AIR24/04A·COV27/04H·FAL29/04A·MON04/05H·QUE31/07A·DUN07/08← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.670.901.800.731.531.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.751.001.920.751.581.25
vs Weaker (6)1.330.501.330.671.330.33
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.5%
Under 1.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.8%
@ 1.83-10.6%
Under 2.5
59.2%
@ 1.93+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.3%
Under 3.5
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
Arbroath goals ↓
Partick goals →
01234
011%11%7.6%3.1%1.0%
19.3%14%8.2%3.4%1.0%
25.7%7.1%4.4%1.8%0.6%
32.0%2.5%1.6%0.6%0.2%
40.5%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arbroath goals (down), columns = Partick goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Arbroath is 0.36 points better than Partick in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 1.44).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Arbroath is 0.22 goals better than Partick in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Arbroath is 0.33 goals better than Partick in terms of goals conceded per game (0.78 vs 1.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ArbroathArbroath

For 6.0 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

130437237931122362535583791012135881011A·AYRH·INVH·MORA·DUNH·AYRA·RAIH·ALLA·INVH·HEAA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5022221312241211111134443253224A·AYRH·INVH·MORA·DUNH·AYRA·RAIH·ALLA·INVH·HEAA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

340101512151316121311151410198171712811925272925262427342020A·AYRH·INVH·MORA·DUNH·AYRA·RAIH·ALLA·INVH·HEAA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PartickPartick

For 5.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

17010741031431278823684661714473151091212A·DUNH·QUEA·MONH·FALA·COVH·AIRA·DUMH·MONH·CLYA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50212124112211231110323533342A·DUNH·QUEA·MONH·FALA·COVH·AIRA·DUMH·MONH·CLYA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

25099961014912121386913129115151018152421251422211625A·DUNH·QUEA·MONH·FALA·COVH·AIRA·DUMH·MONH·CLYA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.89.43.32.93.723.022.124.0
vs Stronger (20)10.311.19.63.73.14.223.721.625.5
vs Similar (30)9.29.19.23.02.83.322.622.422.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line56%56%56%46%32%60%58%52%64%
% under line44%44%44%54%68%40%42%48%36%
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.710.42.92.83.019.918.921.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (42)10.310.410.32.92.73.020.018.821.2
vs Weaker (8)11.512.210.83.13.03.219.419.219.5
% over line64%64%64%30%28%32%40%36%44%
% under line36%36%36%70%72%68%60%64%56%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
11.0
Raith Rvs
10.6
Inverness CT
10.5
Partick
10.5
Kilmarnock
10.5
Hamilton
10.4
Morton
10.4
Queen of Sth
10.1
Ayr
10.1
Arbroath
9.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.1
Kilmarnock
3.7
Ayr
3.4
Inverness CT
3.3
Arbroath
3.3
Hamilton
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.1
Dunfermline
3.0
Partick
2.9
Morton
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
25.5
Hamilton
24.3
Arbroath
23.0
Raith Rvs
22.8
Inverness CT
22.5
Ayr
21.9
Queen of Sth
20.4
Morton
20.0
Dunfermline
20.0
Partick
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.6%
Under 9.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.2%
Under 3.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.4%
Under 21.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D00D01L30W22D00D00D20WA·DUN13/03H·HEA20/03A·INV27/03H·ALL03/04A·RAI10/04H·AYR17/04A·DUN24/04H·MOR30/04H·INV31/07A·AYR07/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.670.330.400.67
vs Stronger (13)0.540.690.830.170.291.14
vs Similar (17)0.530.350.560.440.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D20W00D10W11D30W12L21W20WA·PET10/04H·CLY13/04H·MON15/04A·DUM20/04H·AIR24/04A·COV27/04H·FAL29/04A·MON04/05H·QUE31/07A·DUN07/08← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.800.400.470.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.750.620.920.330.580.92
vs Weaker (6)0.170.330.330.670.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L21W21W10W12L00D01L02LA·DUN13/03H·HEA20/03A·INV27/03H·ALL03/04A·RAI10/04H·AYR17/04A·DUN24/04H·MOR30/04H·INV31/07A·AYR07/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.400.470.601.07
vs Stronger (13)0.540.540.500.330.570.71
vs Similar (17)0.470.940.330.560.621.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W30W20W00D11D20W11D11D10WA·PET10/04H·CLY13/04H·MON15/04A·DUM20/04H·AIR24/04A·COV27/04H·FAL29/04A·MON04/05H·QUE31/07A·DUN07/08← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.331.000.331.070.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.000.381.000.421.000.33
vs Weaker (6)1.170.171.000.001.330.33
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards90.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards79.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls75.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls71.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Arbroath's squad is €2m less valuable than Partick's (€1m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
Arbroath and Partick have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Arbroath and Partick have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Arbroath and Partick have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
ARB wins
1
Draws
0
PAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arbroath vs Partick · H/A from ARB
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/20HARB Vs Partick2-1
26/10/19APartick Vs ARB1-3
13/09/19HARB Vs Partick1-1

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/21AAyr Vs ARB2-2
31/07/21HARB Vs Inverness CT0-1
30/04/21HARB Vs Morton0-0
24/04/21ADunfermline Vs ARB4-3
17/04/21HARB Vs Ayr4-0
10/04/21ARaith Rvs Vs ARB2-2
03/04/21HARB Vs Alloa2-1
27/03/21AInverness CT Vs ARB1-0
20/03/21HARB Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-0
13/03/21ADundee Vs ARB2-0

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/21ADunfermline Vs PAR0-3
31/07/21HPAR Vs Queen of Sth3-2
04/05/21AMontrose Vs PAR3-2
29/04/21HPAR Vs Falkirk5-0
27/04/21ACove Rangers Vs PAR2-2
24/04/21HPAR Vs Airdrie United1-0
20/04/21ADumbarton Vs PAR0-2
15/04/21HPAR Vs Montrose5-0
13/04/21HPAR Vs Clyde2-0
10/04/21APeterhead Vs PAR0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.18
HomeDWWDL1.52
AwayLLDLD0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.201.962.44
Over 1.5 %64%60%68%
Over 2.5 %36%36%36%
Over 3.5 %18%8%28%
Scored1.001.120.88
Conceded1.200.841.56
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet28%40%16%
Corners9.629.849.40
Cards3.302.923.68
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.42
HomeWWWWW1.40
AwayWWDLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%36%40%
AVG goals2.862.762.96
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.541.521.56
Conceded1.321.241.40
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners10.5210.6810.36
Cards2.902.763.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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