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Arbroath vs Partick Result & Analysis

Date: 01/03/2022
Time: 19:30
Final 1-1
Arbroath
Arbroath
Vs
34%
29%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Arbroath win✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied 41.3% · @ 2.25
Edge
-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.2%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.21
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Partick win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.12
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W30W00D01L21W10W22D00D00DA·PAR11/12H·MOR18/12A·DUN26/12H·INV02/01A·AYR08/01A·RAI15/01H·KIL04/02H·HAM09/02A·QUE19/02A·MOR26/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.801.570.641.560.94
vs Stronger (11)1.270.821.200.201.331.33
vs Similar (19)1.740.791.780.891.700.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D02L10W22D11D10W33D01L00DH·HAM20/11A·QUE04/12H·ARB11/12H·RAI18/12A·HAM08/01H·KIL14/01H·AYR01/02A·INV09/02H·MOR22/02A·RAI26/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.931.670.531.931.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.850.851.790.571.921.17
vs Weaker (4)1.501.500.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.0%
@ 2.08+2.1%
Under 2.5
53.0%
@ 1.70-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.4%
Under 3.5
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.9%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
Arbroath goals ↓
Partick goals →
01234
09.0%8.9%6.7%2.9%1.0%
18.4%14%8.3%3.6%1.2%
26.0%7.9%5.2%2.3%0.7%
32.5%3.3%2.1%0.9%0.3%
40.8%1.0%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arbroath goals (down), columns = Partick goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Arbroath is 0.36 points better than Partick in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 1.44).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Arbroath is 0.22 goals better than Partick in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Arbroath is 0.33 goals better than Partick in terms of goals conceded per game (0.78 vs 1.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ArbroathArbroath

For 5.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

16045555646379365268885910111010121181613A·MORA·QUEH·HAMH·KILA·RAIA·AYRH·INVA·DUNH·MORA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

402122222131311212144213423A·MORA·QUEH·HAMH·KILA·RAIA·AYRH·INVA·DUNH·MORA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 13.4 · Total 22.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

31011171091219917714111161515114129928193126212221261618A·MORA·QUEH·HAMH·KILA·RAIA·AYRH·INVA·DUNH·MORA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PartickPartick

For 6.2 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

130299157537275958736611101289129131012A·RAIH·MORA·INVH·AYRH·KILA·HAMH·RAIH·ARBA·QUEH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

603111332112141221323216335335A·RAIH·MORA·INVH·AYRH·KILA·HAMH·RAIH·ARBA·QUEH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 11.3 · Total 22.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

290910910614141311111316109991211191019192027222919182329A·RAIH·MORA·INVH·AYRH·KILA·HAMH·RAIH·ARBA·QUEH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.610.33.43.33.523.223.323.0
vs Stronger (19)9.910.19.83.63.43.723.223.223.1
vs Similar (31)10.09.410.73.33.23.323.223.422.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%60%60%50%48%52%54%60%48%
% under line40%40%40%50%52%48%46%40%52%
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.211.09.43.43.33.521.520.422.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (41)10.210.99.53.53.33.621.420.022.8
vs Weaker (9)10.311.89.23.13.52.821.822.221.4
% over line60%60%60%40%40%40%50%40%60%
% under line40%40%40%60%60%60%50%60%40%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Raith Rvs
10.8
Dunfermline
10.7
Hamilton
10.6
Queen of Sth
10.5
Partick
10.2
Ayr
10.2
Morton
10.0
Arbroath
10.0
Kilmarnock
9.7
Inverness CT
9.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.3
Inverness CT
3.5
Partick
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Hamilton
3.4
Kilmarnock
3.3
Ayr
3.3
Dunfermline
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.1
Morton
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Hamilton
24.4
Kilmarnock
24.3
Inverness CT
23.5
Arbroath
23.2
Raith Rvs
22.2
Dunfermline
21.7
Partick
21.5
Ayr
21.2
Queen of Sth
21.0
Morton
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.3%
Under 9.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.4%
Under 3.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.0%
Under 21.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W00D01L01L00D12L00D00DA·PAR11/12H·MOR18/12A·DUN26/12H·INV02/01A·AYR08/01A·RAI15/01H·KIL04/02H·HAM09/02A·QUE19/02A·MOR26/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.570.360.690.50
vs Stronger (11)0.450.450.600.000.330.83
vs Similar (19)0.740.420.560.560.900.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L00D10W00D00D22D00D00DH·HAM20/11A·QUE04/12H·ARB11/12H·RAI18/12A·HAM08/01H·KIL14/01H·AYR01/02A·INV09/02H·MOR22/02A·RAI26/02
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.300.730.130.870.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.810.270.790.140.830.42
vs Weaker (4)0.750.500.000.001.000.67
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W10W00D00D20W10W10W00D00DA·PAR11/12H·MOR18/12A·DUN26/12H·INV02/01A·AYR08/01A·RAI15/01H·KIL04/02H·HAM09/02A·QUE19/02A·MOR26/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.371.000.290.880.44
vs Stronger (11)0.820.360.600.201.000.50
vs Similar (19)1.000.371.220.330.800.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L10W12L11D10W11D01L00DH·HAM20/11A·QUE04/12H·ARB11/12H·RAI18/12A·HAM08/01H·KIL14/01H·AYR01/02A·INV09/02H·MOR22/02A·RAI26/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.630.930.401.070.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.040.581.000.431.080.75
vs Weaker (4)0.751.000.000.001.001.33
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards89.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards77.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.574.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls73.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Arbroath's squad is €2m less valuable than Partick's (€1m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
Arbroath and Partick have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Arbroath and Partick have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Arbroath and Partick have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
4
ARB wins
1
Draws
0
PAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arbroath vs Partick · H/A from ARB
DateH/AGameScore
11/12/21APartick Vs ARB0-2
21/08/21HARB Vs Partick3-1
25/01/20HARB Vs Partick2-1
26/10/19APartick Vs ARB1-3
13/09/19HARB Vs Partick1-1

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/22AMorton Vs ARB0-0
19/02/22AQueen of Sth Vs ARB0-0
09/02/22HARB Vs Hamilton2-2
04/02/22HARB Vs Kilmarnock1-0
15/01/22ARaith Rvs Vs ARB1-2
08/01/22AAyr Vs ARB1-0
02/01/22HARB Vs Inverness CT0-0
26/12/21ADunfermline Vs ARB0-3
18/12/21HARB Vs Morton2-1
11/12/21APartick Vs ARB0-2

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/22ARaith Rvs Vs PAR0-0
22/02/22HPAR Vs Morton0-1
09/02/22AInverness CT Vs PAR3-3
01/02/22HPAR Vs Ayr1-0
14/01/22HPAR Vs Kilmarnock1-1
08/01/22AHamilton Vs PAR2-2
18/12/21HPAR Vs Raith Rvs1-0
11/12/21HPAR Vs Arbroath0-2
04/12/21AQueen of Sth Vs PAR0-0
20/11/21HPAR Vs Hamilton1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDD1.54
HomeDWDWD1.68
AwayWLWDD1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.202.122.28
Over 1.5 %60%60%60%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.301.361.24
Conceded0.900.761.04
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet42%44%40%
Corners9.989.6410.32
Cards3.403.323.48
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLD1.62
HomeLWDWL1.80
AwayWDDDD1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.482.122.84
Over 1.5 %64%60%68%
Over 2.5 %42%32%52%
Over 3.5 %34%24%44%
Scored1.581.481.68
Conceded0.900.641.16
BTTS36%28%44%
Clean Sheet50%56%44%
Corners10.2211.009.44
Cards3.403.323.48

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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