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Arbroath vs Raith Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 20/02/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Arbroath
Arbroath
Vs
27%
29%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Arbroath win✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied 31.9% · @ 2.90
Edge
-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.28
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs win✗ Miss
44.4%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.32
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W01L13L22D11D10W11D20W11DH·ALL12/12H·AYR19/12A·DUN26/12A·HEA29/12A·QUE16/01H·DUN22/01A·MOR30/01H·INV03/02H·DUN06/02A·ALL13/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.071.070.730.671.40
vs Stronger (10)0.701.300.801.000.601.60
vs Similar (20)0.950.951.200.600.701.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L22D00D52W02L32W04L31W14L10WA·INV21/11H·DUN05/12A·AYR11/12A·ALL26/12H·QUE29/12A·HEA23/01H·HEA26/01H·DUN30/01A·DUN03/02A·MOR06/02
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.271.801.201.731.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)2.001.611.621.752.301.50
vs Weaker (12)1.420.752.000.570.601.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.1%
@ 1.93-1.4%
Under 2.5
52.9%
@ 1.82+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
0-2
8.3%
1-0 ✓
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
Arbroath goals ↓
Raith Rvs goals →
01234
09.0%10%8.3%4.0%1.5%
17.2%14%9.1%4.4%1.6%
24.6%6.8%5.0%2.4%0.9%
31.7%2.5%1.8%0.9%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arbroath goals (down), columns = Raith Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Dundee
1.67
Raith Rvs
1.59
Dunfermline
1.44
Inverness CT
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.19
Arbroath
1.11
Morton
1.07
Ayr
1.07
Alloa
0.81
Arbroath is 0.48 points worse than Raith Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.59).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.33
Dundee
1.81
Raith Rvs
1.67
Dunfermline
1.41
Queen of Sth
1.41
Inverness CT
1.33
Ayr
1.15
Alloa
1.11
Arbroath
1.04
Morton
0.81
Arbroath is 0.63 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.04 vs 1.67).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Inverness CT
1.15
Morton
1.22
Dunfermline
1.26
Arbroath
1.26
Raith Rvs
1.33
Ayr
1.37
Dundee
1.48
Queen of Sth
1.89
Alloa
2.22
Arbroath is 0.07 goals better than Raith Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ArbroathArbroath

For 5.1 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

130725535643764237684419108101010513125A·ALLH·DUNH·INVA·MORH·DUNA·QUEA·HEAA·DUNH·AYRH·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5023111132122322323115225354541A·ALLH·DUNH·INVA·MORH·DUNA·QUEA·HEAA·DUNH·AYRH·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 9.7 · Total 22.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

32021115101291461212161410179813519532152120243027171824A·ALLH·DUNH·INVA·MORH·DUNA·QUEA·HEAA·DUNH·AYRH·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

For 5.8 · Against 6.9 · Total 12.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

170444884111215106441169556812121217168171411A·MORA·DUNH·DUNH·HEAA·HEAH·QUEA·ALLA·AYRH·DUNA·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60412122213133222333115343464562A·MORA·DUNH·DUNH·HEAA·HEAH·QUEA·ALLA·AYRH·DUNA·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.6 · Total 23.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

310111412101110881612111110151219131571225222116282225312819A·MORA·DUNH·DUNH·HEAA·HEAH·QUEA·ALLA·AYRH·DUNA·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.79.73.42.83.922.221.123.3
vs Stronger (16)10.410.410.43.83.54.123.321.125.5
vs Similar (31)9.39.59.12.92.43.521.621.022.2
vs Weaker (3)10.07.011.55.74.06.522.322.022.5
% over line58%52%64%46%28%64%52%48%56%
% under line42%48%36%54%72%36%48%52%44%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.610.13.53.73.422.022.121.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)11.311.411.34.65.04.323.022.123.7
vs Weaker (23)9.19.78.62.22.32.220.822.119.6
% over line56%61%52%56%65%48%42%43%41%
% under line44%39%48%44%35%52%58%57%59%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Alloa
11.6
Inverness CT
11.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.9
Morton
10.8
Dunfermline
10.7
Queen of Sth
10.6
Ayr
10.3
Raith Rvs
10.3
Dundee
10.1
Arbroath
9.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Raith Rvs
3.5
Dundee
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Ayr
3.2
Dunfermline
3.2
Inverness CT
3.1
Queen of Sth
3.0
Morton
2.9
Alloa
2.7

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Heart Of Midlothian
26.8
Dundee
24.9
Arbroath
22.2
Raith Rvs
22.0
Alloa
21.8
Ayr
21.5
Morton
20.4
Dunfermline
20.4
Inverness CT
20.3
Queen of Sth
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.4%
Under 9.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.3%
Under 3.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.4%
Under 21.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W00D03L00D01L00D10W20W10WH·ALL12/12H·AYR19/12A·DUN26/12A·HEA29/12A·QUE16/01H·DUN22/01A·MOR30/01H·INV03/02H·DUN06/02A·ALL13/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.800.330.200.80
vs Stronger (10)0.401.000.600.400.201.60
vs Similar (20)0.550.350.900.300.200.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D20W01L10W02L11D01L10WA·INV21/11H·DUN05/12A·AYR11/12A·ALL26/12H·QUE29/12A·HEA23/01H·HEA26/01H·DUN30/01A·DUN03/02A·MOR06/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.431.000.470.870.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.060.501.000.621.100.40
vs Weaker (12)0.750.331.000.290.400.40
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L10W22D10W10W01L00D01LH·ALL12/12H·AYR19/12A·DUN26/12A·HEA29/12A·QUE16/01H·DUN22/01A·MOR30/01H·INV03/02H·DUN06/02A·ALL13/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.500.270.400.470.60
vs Stronger (10)0.300.300.200.600.400.00
vs Similar (20)0.400.600.300.300.500.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L00D32W01L22D02L20W13L00DA·INV21/11H·DUN05/12A·AYR11/12A·ALL26/12H·QUE29/12A·HEA23/01H·HEA26/01H·DUN30/01A·DUN03/02A·MOR06/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.830.800.730.870.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.941.110.621.121.201.10
vs Weaker (12)0.670.421.000.290.200.60
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards89.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards77.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.574.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls73.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (30)
€22m
DUN (21)
€5m
DUN (26)
€4m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€12m
DUN (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (6)
€4m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€6m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
ARB wins
4
Draws
3
RR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arbroath vs Raith Rvs · H/A from ARB
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/20ARaith Rvs Vs ARB3-0
21/04/19HARB Vs Raith Rvs2-2
16/02/19ARaith Rvs Vs ARB0-1
22/12/18HARB Vs Raith Rvs0-2
06/10/18ARaith Rvs Vs ARB1-1
07/04/18HARB Vs Raith Rvs1-1
24/02/18ARaith Rvs Vs ARB2-2
23/12/17HARB Vs Raith Rvs1-2

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/02/21AAlloa Vs ARB1-1
06/02/21HARB Vs Dunfermline2-0
03/02/21HARB Vs Inverness CT1-1
30/01/21AMorton Vs ARB0-1
22/01/21HARB Vs Dundee1-1
16/01/21AQueen of Sth Vs ARB2-2
29/12/20AHeart Of Midlothian Vs ARB3-1
26/12/20ADunfermline Vs ARB1-0
19/12/20HARB Vs Ayr2-1
12/12/20HARB Vs Alloa0-1

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/02/21AMorton Vs RR0-1
03/02/21ADunfermline Vs RR4-1
30/01/21HRR Vs Dundee3-1
26/01/21HRR Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-4
23/01/21AHeart Of Midlothian Vs RR2-3
29/12/20HRR Vs Queen of Sth0-2
26/12/20AAlloa Vs RR2-5
11/12/20AAyr Vs RR0-0
05/12/20HRR Vs Dunfermline2-2
21/11/20AInverness CT Vs RR2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWD1.22
HomeLWDDW1.60
AwayLLDWD0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.021.882.16
Over 1.5 %66%64%68%
Over 2.5 %34%32%36%
Over 3.5 %10%4%16%
Scored0.901.080.72
Conceded1.120.801.44
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners9.709.689.72
Cards3.382.843.92
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.78
HomeWDLLW2.04
AwayDWWLW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%61%41%
AVG goals3.243.483.04
Over 1.5 %80%87%74%
Over 2.5 %56%70%44%
Over 3.5 %42%52%33%
Scored1.882.221.59
Conceded1.361.261.44
BTTS62%57%67%
Clean Sheet26%30%22%
Corners10.3210.6110.07
Cards3.523.703.37

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian2757
63%
2.1
6324+39
3.2
78%
59%
41%
10.1
56%
3.0
41%
25.5
74%
22
12462.30.9
-
2DundeeDundee2745
44%
1.7
4940+9
3.3
89%
63%
44%
10.5
67%
3.0
33%
24.7
67%
5
1221.81.5
-
3
RR
Raith Rvs
2743
44%
1.6
4536+9
3.0
70%
56%
44%
11.2
67%
4.5
74%
23.7
74%
0
0001.71.3
-
4DunfermlineDunfermline2739
37%
1.4
3834+4
2.7
59%
48%
37%
11.1
81%
2.9
33%
22.0
52%
4
2021.41.3
-
5Inverness CTInverness CT2736
30%
1.3
3631+5
2.5
78%
44%
26%
10.4
48%
3.5
48%
24.0
63%
1
0001.31.1
-
6
QO
Queen of Sth
2732
33%
1.2
3851-13
3.3
85%
59%
41%
10.3
56%
3.5
48%
21.8
56%
0
0001.41.9
-
7ArbroathArbroath2730
26%
1.1
2834-6
2.3
59%
37%
26%
9.2
56%
3.4
52%
24.5
67%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
2729
22%
1.1
3137-6
2.5
74%
41%
30%
10.5
63%
3.1
48%
22.2
52%
0
0001.11.4
-
9MortonMorton2729
22%
1.1
2233-11
2.0
59%
30%
19%
10.4
70%
3.0
41%
22.1
48%
1
0000.81.2
-
10
A
Alloa
2722
19%
0.8
3060-30
3.3
89%
67%
41%
10.6
59%
3.4
56%
26.0
78%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: Championship 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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