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Arbroath vs Raith Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 04/12/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Arbroath
Arbroath
Vs
28%
30%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Arbroath win✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 37.9% · @ 2.44
Edge
-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.4%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.23
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs win✗ Miss
41.2%
Avg Implied 33.5% · @ 2.76
Edge
+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D22D12L11D10W42W11D11D10WA·QUE18/09H·KIL24/09A·MOR02/10A·RAI16/10H·AYR23/10A·INV26/10H·DUN30/10A·HAM06/11H·QUE13/11A·KIL20/11
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.971.670.801.401.13
vs Stronger (11)1.180.821.200.201.171.33
vs Similar (19)1.741.051.901.101.561.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W11D31W21W11D11D21W11D30W21WH·PAR26/09H·DUN29/09A·KIL02/10H·ARB16/10H·INV23/10A·DUN26/10H·AYR30/10A·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11H·MOR20/11
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.131.731.401.200.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.791.372.001.671.601.10
vs Weaker (11)0.910.731.331.000.400.40
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.2%
Under 1.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.5%
@ 1.98-5.9%
Under 2.5
58.5%
@ 1.78+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.9%
Under 3.5
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.4%
No
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.2%
0-0 ✓
10.9%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.2%
Arbroath goals ↓
Raith Rvs goals →
01234
011%11%8.2%3.5%1.2%
18.7%14%8.5%3.7%1.2%
25.2%6.8%4.4%1.9%0.6%
31.8%2.3%1.5%0.7%0.2%
40.5%0.6%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arbroath goals (down), columns = Raith Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Arbroath is 0.42 points better than Raith Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Arbroath is 0.28 goals better than Raith Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Arbroath is 0.44 goals better than Raith Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (0.78 vs 1.22).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

ArbroathArbroath

For 8.2 · Against 4.0 · Total 12.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

17010784141839410177766136171215111311141379A·KILH·QUEA·HAMH·DUNA·INVH·AYRA·RAIA·MORH·KILA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6033131321122321222216443325343A·KILH·QUEA·HAMH·DUNA·INVH·AYRA·RAIA·MORH·KILA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 9.9 · Total 20.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

250101181612911991012814711812139821242120192021192517A·KILH·QUEA·HAMH·DUNA·INVH·AYRA·RAIA·MORH·KILA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

For 5.3 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

150105684646563277277756151410101151491411H·MORA·HAMA·QUEH·AYRA·DUNH·INVH·ARBA·KILH·DUNH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80233521214323232222235833755445H·MORA·HAMA·QUEH·AYRA·DUNH·INVH·ARBA·KILH·DUNH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 8.9 · Total 18.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

270691017978512101267147413916815271613221821112224H·MORA·HAMA·QUEH·AYRA·DUNH·INVH·ARBA·KILH·DUNH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.610.43.23.03.522.922.323.5
vs Stronger (18)10.110.69.73.63.04.023.621.825.1
vs Similar (32)9.99.110.93.13.03.122.522.622.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%52%64%46%36%56%52%52%52%
% under line42%48%36%54%64%44%48%48%48%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.110.811.54.14.43.922.222.821.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)12.011.712.24.44.54.322.622.722.5
vs Weaker (19)9.89.310.33.74.13.221.622.820.2
% over line66%68%64%68%76%60%60%60%60%
% under line34%32%36%32%24%40%40%40%40%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
11.4
Raith Rvs
11.1
Queen of Sth
10.6
Morton
10.4
Kilmarnock
10.3
Hamilton
10.2
Partick
10.1
Arbroath
10.0
Ayr
9.8
Inverness CT
9.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.1
Inverness CT
3.5
Kilmarnock
3.4
Hamilton
3.4
Ayr
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Partick
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.1
Dunfermline
3.0
Morton
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
25.0
Hamilton
24.9
Arbroath
22.9
Inverness CT
22.8
Raith Rvs
22.2
Ayr
20.9
Partick
20.8
Queen of Sth
20.7
Morton
20.4
Dunfermline
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.0%
Under 9.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.6%
Under 3.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.6%
Under 21.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W02L00D00D22D01L00D00DA·QUE18/09H·KIL24/09A·MOR02/10A·RAI16/10H·AYR23/10A·INV26/10H·DUN30/10A·HAM06/11H·QUE13/11A·KIL20/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.400.800.400.600.40
vs Stronger (11)0.450.270.600.000.330.50
vs Similar (19)0.840.470.900.600.780.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W20W00D00D20W00D30W11DH·PAR26/09H·DUN29/09A·KIL02/10H·ARB16/10H·INV23/10A·DUN26/10H·AYR30/10A·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11H·MOR20/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.300.870.330.600.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.840.421.000.440.700.40
vs Weaker (11)0.550.090.670.170.400.00
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D12L10W11D10W20W10W11D10WA·QUE18/09H·KIL24/09A·MOR02/10A·RAI16/10H·AYR23/10A·INV26/10H·DUN30/10A·HAM06/11H·QUE13/11A·KIL20/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.870.400.800.73
vs Stronger (11)0.730.550.600.200.830.83
vs Similar (19)0.890.581.000.500.780.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D01L21W01L11D11D01L11D00D10WH·PAR26/09H·DUN29/09A·KIL02/10H·ARB16/10H·INV23/10A·DUN26/10H·AYR30/10A·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11H·MOR20/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.830.871.070.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.950.951.001.220.900.70
vs Weaker (11)0.360.640.670.830.000.40
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards82.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.579.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ARB wins
3
Draws
3
RR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arbroath vs Raith Rvs · H/A from ARB
DateH/AGameScore
16/10/21ARaith Rvs Vs ARB2-1
10/04/21ARaith Rvs Vs ARB2-2
20/02/21HARB Vs Raith Rvs1-0
17/10/20ARaith Rvs Vs ARB3-0
21/04/19HARB Vs Raith Rvs2-2
16/02/19ARaith Rvs Vs ARB0-1
22/12/18HARB Vs Raith Rvs0-2
06/10/18ARaith Rvs Vs ARB1-1

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/11/21AKilmarnock Vs ARB0-1
13/11/21HARB Vs Queen of Sth1-1
06/11/21AHamilton Vs ARB1-1
30/10/21HARB Vs Dunfermline4-2
26/10/21AInverness CT Vs ARB0-1
23/10/21HARB Vs Ayr1-1
16/10/21ARaith Rvs Vs ARB2-1
02/10/21AMorton Vs ARB2-2
24/09/21HARB Vs Kilmarnock0-0
18/09/21AQueen of Sth Vs ARB0-2

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/11/21HRR Vs Morton2-1
13/11/21AHamilton Vs RR0-3
06/11/21AQueen of Sth Vs RR1-1
30/10/21HRR Vs Ayr2-1
26/10/21ADunfermline Vs RR1-1
23/10/21HRR Vs Inverness CT1-1
16/10/21HRR Vs Arbroath2-1
02/10/21AKilmarnock Vs RR1-3
29/09/21HRR Vs Dunfermline1-1
26/09/21HRR Vs Partick3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.42
HomeWDDWD1.60
AwayDLWDW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.302.162.44
Over 1.5 %64%64%64%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.241.361.12
Conceded1.060.801.32
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners10.009.6010.40
Cards3.243.003.48
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.74
HomeDWDWW1.84
AwayWWDDW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals2.843.282.40
Over 1.5 %72%80%64%
Over 2.5 %48%64%32%
Over 3.5 %32%44%20%
Scored1.641.881.40
Conceded1.201.401.00
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet26%20%32%
Corners11.1410.7611.52
Cards4.144.363.92

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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