Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Arda Kardzhali are tipped to win, with a 50% chance of taking the match home, a 26% chance of a draw and a 24% chance of Botev Plovdiv winning. The model expects 2.9 goals in total, but the most likely total is 2 goals, a 24% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.3% chance. Arda’s home form shows they average 2.22 goals scored and only 0.89 conceded against similar opposition, while Botev’s away record is 0.73 scored and 1.55 conceded. Recent form suggests Arda are on a four-game winning streak, having beaten Botev Vratsa 2-0, whereas Botev have come off three straight defeats before a 1-3 loss to Levski Sofia. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 86.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.0%, Over 1.5 at 79.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 79.2%, Under 10.5 corners at 72.7%, and Over 3.5 cards at 71.3%.

Arda Kardzhali’s 2-1 win over Botev Plovdiv extended their four-game winning streak, confirming the model’s pre-match favourite of a home win with a 50% probability. The prediction was correct. The model also called an over 2.5 cards, which hit, and an over 1.5 goals, which hit, both with probabilities of 86.2% and 79.3% respectively. The over 19.5 fouls pick, at 79.2%, also hit. However, the under 11.5 corners (82.0%) and under 10.5 corners (72.7%) missed, as did the over 3.5 cards (71.3%). The final score matched the most likely 2-1 outcome, and the home side’s form and goal average supported the result.