Arda Kardzhali are expected to win at home, with a recent win under their belt coming off a 2-0 victory over Dunav Ruse. The model's selection is a home win, with a 47% probability of this outcome, alongside a 29% chance of a draw and a 24% chance of Lokomotiv Sofia claiming the three points. The expected total number of goals in this match is 2.4, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.7% probability.
Home team Arda Kardzhali have struggled at home, scoring an average of 0 goals and conceding 1, particularly against weaker opponents. Lokomotiv Sofia, on the other hand, have averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.71 conceded when playing away against stronger opponents.
The model's selections include Under 3.5 goals with a 77.3% probability, and Over 1.5 goals with a 71% probability. The home win percentage stands at 47%, the draw percentage at 29%, and the away win percentage at 24%.
Results analysis
Arda Kardzhali extended their two-game winning run to finish 3-1 over Lokomotiv Sofia, confirming the model’s prediction that a home win would occur. The model, favouring a home victory with a 49 % probability, was correct. The match also matched the model’s strong selections: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.5 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 93.5 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 93.1 %, Home +2 handicap at 91.9 %, Over 2.5 cards at 80.5 %, and Home or Draw at 77.6 %. The only miss was Home under 2.5 goals, which fell short at 81 %. Overall, the model’s predictions largely came through, underscoring its reliability.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arda Kardzhali win✓ Hit
49.0%
Avg Implied 53.1% · @ 1.73
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Dafabet
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.49
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.67
Bet365
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Betano
3.60
Dafabet
3.55
Lokomotiv Sofia win✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.49
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
5.00
Pinnacle
4.94
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.63
Dafabet
4.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arda Kardzhali
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.83
1.23
0.62
1.29
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.80
0.50
1.50
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.38
0.62
1.36
0.45
1.38
0.77
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv Sofia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.50
1.44
1.31
1.57
1.71
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
2.57
0.75
2.25
1.67
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.61
1.17
1.67
1.00
1.55
1.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Arda Kardzhali) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.1%
@ 1.29-0.8%
Under 1.5
28.9%
@ 3.30+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.40
Betfair
3.40
888Sport
3.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.9%
@ 1.94-4.5%
Under 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.82+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
SBO
1.97
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
Betano
1.95
Under
Unibet
1.86
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.82
SBO
1.81
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.8%
@ 3.30-5.3%
Under 3.5
77.2%
@ 1.29+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.58
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.35
888Sport
3.30
Under
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.4%
@ 1.82-2.0%
No
51.6%
@ 1.86+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
888Sport
1.83
No
Unibet
1.93
Betfair
1.91
William Hil
1.85
888Sport
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%@ 6.13+6.5%
1-0
11.9%@ 6.10+4.8%
0-0
10.0%@ 8.73+5.0%
2-0
9.8%@ 7.47+4.0%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.39+3.3%
0-1
7.0%@ 10.65+2.9%
1-2
5.8%@ 13.10+2.5%
3-0
4.9%@ 12.57+1.5%
Arda Kardzhali goals ↓
Lokomotiv Sofia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
7.0%
3.9%
1.2%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
5.8%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.8%
9.2%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
3
4.9%
4.6%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.8%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arda Kardzhali goals (down), columns = Lokomotiv Sofia goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levski Sofia
3.00
CSKA Sofia
2.67
CSKA 1948
2.50
Ludogorets
2.43
Arda Kardzhali
2.29
Spartak Varna
1.17
Septemvri Sofia
1.14
Botev Plovdiv
1.00
Slavia Sofia
1.00
Botev Vratsa
0.57
Dunav Ruse
0.57
Cherno More Varna
0.57
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.50
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.43
Arda Kardzhali is 1.79 points better than Lokomotiv Sofia in terms of average points per game (2.29 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levski Sofia
2.86
CSKA Sofia
2.67
CSKA 1948
2.17
Ludogorets
1.71
Arda Kardzhali
1.57
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.17
Spartak Varna
1.17
Botev Plovdiv
1.14
Cherno More Varna
1.14
Dunav Ruse
1.00
Slavia Sofia
1.00
Septemvri Sofia
0.71
Botev Vratsa
0.57
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.43
Arda Kardzhali is 0.40 goals better than Lokomotiv Sofia in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arda Kardzhali
0.57
Levski Sofia
0.57
CSKA Sofia
0.67
Ludogorets
0.71
CSKA 1948
0.83
Slavia Sofia
0.86
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.43
Septemvri Sofia
1.43
Botev Plovdiv
1.71
Spartak Varna
1.83
Lokomotiv Sofia
2.00
Dunav Ruse
2.00
Botev Vratsa
2.14
Cherno More Varna
2.29
Arda Kardzhali is 1.43 goals better than Lokomotiv Sofia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Levski Sofia
63%
Slavia Sofia
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arda Kardzhali
For 4.1 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.3 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lokomotiv Sofia
For 5.1 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 9.0 · Total 20.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arda Kardzhali
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.7
8.1
2.8
3.0
2.5
24.2
23.7
24.6
vs Stronger (11)
10.1
9.3
10.8
3.1
3.8
2.2
22.1
24.3
20.5
vs Similar (37)
8.1
8.5
7.6
2.7
2.9
2.5
24.2
23.5
25.1
vs Weaker (2)
2.0
-
2.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
37.0
-
37.0
% over line
36%
36%
36%
42%
40%
44%
71%
64%
79%
% under line
64%
64%
64%
58%
60%
56%
29%
36%
21%
This opponent (Lokomotiv Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv Sofia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.1
9.1
2.3
2.2
2.5
22.4
20.9
23.9
vs Stronger (11)
6.5
8.0
6.0
0.8
0.1
2.0
22.8
26.0
21.7
vs Similar (39)
9.5
9.2
9.9
2.8
2.9
2.6
22.3
20.6
24.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
34%
20%
50%
30%
27%
33%
52%
40%
64%
% under line
66%
80%
50%
70%
73%
67%
48%
60%
36%
This opponent (Arda Kardzhali) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Slavia Sofia
10.4
Botev Plovdiv
10.2
Spartak Varna
10.1
CSKA Sofia
10.0
Levski Sofia
9.7
Ludogorets
9.5
Botev Vratsa
9.4
Lokomotiv Sofia
9.4
CSKA 1948
9.4
Cherno More Varna
9.0
Septemvri Sofia
8.9
Arda Kardzhali
8.6
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arda Kardzhali
5.1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.0
Septemvri Sofia
4.9
Spartak Varna
4.9
Botev Vratsa
4.8
CSKA Sofia
4.8
Cherno More Varna
4.8
Ludogorets
4.7
Levski Sofia
4.7
Slavia Sofia
4.6
Botev Plovdiv
4.5
CSKA 1948
4.2
Lokomotiv Sofia
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cherno More Varna
25.3
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.1
Levski Sofia
24.7
Botev Vratsa
24.5
Arda Kardzhali
24.1
Lokomotiv Sofia
23.9
Slavia Sofia
23.8
Spartak Varna
23.0
Septemvri Sofia
22.9
CSKA 1948
22.8
CSKA Sofia
22.5
Ludogorets
22.4
Botev Plovdiv
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.1%
@ 2.09+1.0%
Under 9.5
54.9%
@ 1.65-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.09
Unibet
1.98
Under
Unibet
1.70
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.59
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.7%
@ 1.67+8.2%
Under 3.5
37.3%
@ 2.00-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.00
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.0%
Under 21.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arda Kardzhali or Draw✓ Hit
77.6%
Avg Implied 79.6% · @ 1.17
Edge
-2.0%
49%
29%
22%
covers Arda Kardzhali + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.21
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Arda Kardzhali or Lokomotiv Sofia✓ Hit
71.4%
Avg Implied 74.2% · @ 1.25
Edge
-2.8%
49%
29%
22%
covers Arda Kardzhali + Lokomotiv Sofia
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Draw or Lokomotiv Sofia✗ Miss
51.0%
Avg Implied 46.2% · @ 2.01
Edge
+4.8%
49%
29%
22%
covers Draw + Lokomotiv Sofia
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.15
SBO
2.06
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
William Hil
2.00
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arda Kardzhali over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.6%
@ 1.16-2.3%
Under
22.4%
@ 4.60+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
888Sport
4.60
1xBet
4.55
Unibet
4.50
Arda Kardzhali over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
44.1%
@ 1.84-6.1%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.85+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
888Sport
1.85
Arda Kardzhali over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
19.0%
@ 3.67-6.1%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.23+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.98
888Sport
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.56
Under
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Arda Kardzhali over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 8.56-4.4%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.05+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
888Sport
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Lokomotiv Sofia over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.8%
@ 1.54+0.6%
Under
39.2%
@ 2.33-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Under
Betfair
2.50
Unibet
2.43
Pinnacle
2.36
10Bet
2.35
888Sport
2.30
Lokomotiv Sofia over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
24.1%
@ 3.65-1.3%
Under
75.9%
@ 1.24+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.03
Marathonbet
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
888Sport
3.70
Under
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.25
Lokomotiv Sofia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 10.47-2.1%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.03+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
12.00
Marathonbet
9.90
1xBet
9.90
Betfair
9.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
Lokomotiv Sofia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 34.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Arda Kardzhali, so a minus line means Arda Kardzhali give that many goals of a start and Lokomotiv Sofia receive them. At -1, Arda Kardzhali must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arda Kardzhali win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Lokomotiv Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv Sofia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.44
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.57
0.25
0.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.61
0.58
0.58
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Arda Kardzhali) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arda Kardzhali over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arda Kardzhali over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arda Kardzhali over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Sofia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Sofia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Sofia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arda Kardzhali
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.54
0.23
0.65
0.65
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.20
0.00
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.29
0.64
0.09
0.77
0.46
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv Sofia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.90
0.94
0.88
0.86
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
2.00
0.50
2.25
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.57
1.08
0.42
0.91
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Arda Kardzhali) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arda Kardzhali over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arda Kardzhali over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arda Kardzhali over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Sofia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Sofia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Sofia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.5%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.01
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
81.0%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
+6.1%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
77.6%
1.17
Betano
1.21
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
77.6%
1.17
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.6%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
1xBet
1.15
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.4%
1.22
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.17
-
-
+2.0%
-
Under 3.5
77.2%
1.29
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.29
+5.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
75.9%
1.24
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.25
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
74.5%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Betfair
1.29
-
+7.1%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.4%
1.25
888Sport
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
-2.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.1%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.30
-0.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Arda Kardzhali · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivelin Popov30%
Birsent Karagaren28%
Antonio Vutov27%
Wilson Samaké18%
Dimitar Velkovski17%
Isnaba Mané17%
Andre Shinyashiki12%
Atanas Kabov6%
Idowu David Akintola6%
Gustavo Cascardo5%
Patrick Luan5%
Svetoslav Kovachev5%
Félix Eboa Eboa4%
Serkan Yussein4%
Anatoli Gospodinov0%
Lachezar Kotev0%
Martin Paskalev0%
Ivan Tilev0%
Plamen Krachunov0%
Vyacheslav Velev0%
Emil Viyachki0%
Jalal Huseynov0%
Georgi Nikolov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dimitar Velkovski33%
Gustavo Cascardo30%
Svetoslav Kovachev29%
Idowu David Akintola28%
Georgi Nikolov22%
Wilson Samaké18%
Félix Eboa Eboa17%
Emil Viyachki17%
Isnaba Mané17%
Lachezar Kotev13%
Martin Paskalev12%
Atanas Kabov12%
Ivelin Popov10%
Patrick Luan10%
Antonio Vutov9%
Vyacheslav Velev9%
Serkan Yussein8%
Anatoli Gospodinov8%
Birsent Karagaren8%
Andre Shinyashiki6%
Jalal Huseynov5%
Ivan Tilev0%
Plamen Krachunov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lachezar Kotev17%
Isnaba Mané17%
Svetoslav Kovachev14%
Atanas Kabov12%
Andre Shinyashiki12%
Ivan Tilev11%
Gustavo Cascardo10%
Birsent Karagaren8%
Patrick Luan5%
Antonio Vutov5%
Serkan Yussein4%
Anatoli Gospodinov0%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Martin Paskalev0%
Félix Eboa Eboa0%
Plamen Krachunov0%
Ivelin Popov0%
Vyacheslav Velev0%
Emil Viyachki0%
Idowu David Akintola0%
Jalal Huseynov0%
Georgi Nikolov0%
Wilson Samaké0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Georgi Nikolov22%
Andre Shinyashiki12%
Ivelin Popov10%
Birsent Karagaren8%
Dimitar Velkovski6%
Idowu David Akintola6%
Patrick Luan5%
Vyacheslav Velev5%
Serkan Yussein0%
Atanas Kabov0%
Antonio Vutov0%
Anatoli Gospodinov0%
Lachezar Kotev0%
Martin Paskalev0%
Ivan Tilev0%
Svetoslav Kovachev0%
Félix Eboa Eboa0%
Plamen Krachunov0%
Gustavo Cascardo0%
Emil Viyachki0%
Jalal Huseynov0%
Isnaba Mané0%
Wilson Samaké0%
Lokomotiv Sofia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Aralitsa43%
Messie Biatoumoussoka33%
Octávio25%
Caue Caruzo Alves25%
Spas Delev23%
Dominik Yankov22%
Ryan Bidounga22%
Adil Taoui20%
Erol Dost19%
Bozhidar Katsarov12%
Patrik-Gabriel Galchev11%
Krasimir Stanoev10%
Simeon Slavchev0%
Donaldo Açka0%
Reyan Daskalov0%
Georgi Minchev0%
Mitko Mitkov0%
Aleksandar Lyubenov0%
Krasimir Miloshev0%
Dzhuneyt Ali0%
Angel Lyaskov0%
Jordon Ibe0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Diego Raposo0%
Nikola Neychev0%
Luann0%
Sadio Dembélé0%
Kristian Chachev0%
Ivan Lagundžić0%
Gerov Emil0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reyan Daskalov40%
Adil Taoui40%
Ryan Bidounga33%
Ivan Lagundžić33%
Bozhidar Katsarov29%
Donaldo Açka25%
Mitko Mitkov25%
Kristian Chachev25%
Dominik Yankov22%
Ante Aralitsa21%
Sadio Dembélé21%
Jordon Ibe17%
Angel Lyaskov16%
Krasimir Stanoev15%
Caue Caruzo Alves15%
Patrik-Gabriel Galchev11%
Nikola Neychev10%
Erol Dost10%
Dzhuneyt Ali8%
Martin Velichkov6%
Luann6%
Spas Delev5%
Simeon Slavchev0%
Georgi Minchev0%
Aleksandar Lyubenov0%
Krasimir Miloshev0%
Octávio0%
Diego Raposo0%
Messie Biatoumoussoka0%
Gerov Emil0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Spas Delev23%
Krasimir Stanoev15%
Aleksandar Lyubenov14%
Krasimir Miloshev14%
Ante Aralitsa14%
Dominik Yankov11%
Patrik-Gabriel Galchev11%
Caue Caruzo Alves10%
Erol Dost10%
Dzhuneyt Ali8%
Ryan Bidounga6%
Simeon Slavchev0%
Donaldo Açka0%
Reyan Daskalov0%
Bozhidar Katsarov0%
Georgi Minchev0%
Mitko Mitkov0%
Angel Lyaskov0%
Jordon Ibe0%
Adil Taoui0%
Octávio0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Diego Raposo0%
Messie Biatoumoussoka0%
Nikola Neychev0%
Luann0%
Sadio Dembélé0%
Kristian Chachev0%
Ivan Lagundžić0%
Gerov Emil0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Spas Delev41%
Ante Aralitsa29%
Caue Caruzo Alves15%
Krasimir Stanoev10%
Ryan Bidounga6%
Dominik Yankov0%
Simeon Slavchev0%
Donaldo Açka0%
Reyan Daskalov0%
Bozhidar Katsarov0%
Georgi Minchev0%
Mitko Mitkov0%
Aleksandar Lyubenov0%
Krasimir Miloshev0%
Dzhuneyt Ali0%
Angel Lyaskov0%
Jordon Ibe0%
Adil Taoui0%
Octávio0%
Erol Dost0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Diego Raposo0%
Messie Biatoumoussoka0%
Patrik-Gabriel Galchev0%
Nikola Neychev0%
Luann0%
Sadio Dembélé0%
Kristian Chachev0%
Ivan Lagundžić0%
Gerov Emil0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (29)
€46m
LS (27)
€38m
CS (25)
€26m
C1 (30)
€18m
BP (29)
€11m
AK (20)
€10m
LP (23)
€9m
LS (25)
€8m
SS (25)
€7m
CMV (22)
€6m
SV (22)
€6m
BV (23)
€6m
DR (22)
€4m
SS (20)
€3m
Arda Kardzhali's squad is €1m more valuable than Lokomotiv Sofia's (€10m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (12)
€27m
LS (10)
€11m
CS (9)
€10m
C1 (14)
€9m
BP (12)
€5m
AK (7)
€3m
LS (11)
€3m
CMV (8)
€3m
LP (8)
€3m
SS (11)
€2m
BV (8)
€2m
SV (7)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
SS (8)
€1m
Arda Kardzhali and Lokomotiv Sofia have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (5)
€8m
CS (6)
€6m
LUD (4)
€6m
AK (3)
€3m
LS (6)
€2m
C1 (4)
€2m
BP (6)
€2m
LP (5)
€2m
SS (4)
€2m
BV (5)
€1m
CMV (5)
€1m
DR (5)
€1m
SV (4)
€1m
SS (4)
€1m
Arda Kardzhali and Lokomotiv Sofia have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (12)
€19m
LUD (13)
€13m
CS (10)
€10m
C1 (12)
€7m
BP (11)
€4m
LP (10)
€4m
AK (10)
€3m
SS (10)
€3m
LS (8)
€3m
SV (11)
€3m
CMV (9)
€2m
BV (10)
€2m
DR (11)
€2m
SS (8)
€2m
Arda Kardzhali and Lokomotiv Sofia have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Bulgaria: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv