Ards vs Loughgall Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026

Time: 14:00

Final 1-2

Ards

33%

31%

36%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Loughgall

Northern-Ireland: Championship

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

This Championship match between Ards and Loughgall is finely balanced, with Ards coming off a draw against Dundela and Loughgall having drawn with Newington Youth. The model's selection is the away win, with a 37% chance of success, narrowly edging out a 34% chance of a home win and a 30% chance of a draw. The expected total goals is 2.5, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 14.2% probability.

Ards have averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded at home, while Loughgall have averaged 0.86 goals scored and 0.86 conceded away against stronger opponents. The model's suggested picks include Under 3.5 with a 76.3% chance of success and Over 1.5 with a 72% chance. The home side has a 34% chance of winning, a 30% chance of drawing, and a 37% chance of losing, while the away side has a 37% chance of winning, a 30% chance of drawing, and a 34% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The match saw Loughgall extend their recent form, turning a win into a victory that capped a strong run. The final score was 1-2, confirming the model’s pick of an Away win, which was correct. The model had given the away side a 36 % chance of triumph. Its selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit, Under 6.5 hit, Home under 3.5 goals hit, Under 5.5 hit, and Away under 3.5 goals hit. Each hit was noted with its probability - 99.7 %, 99.0 %, 97.2 %, 96.9 % and 96.8 % respectively - showing the model’s predictions were well supported by the outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ards win✗ Miss

33.2%

Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.41

Edge

-4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

2.47

Superbet

2.45

Betano

2.42

William Hil

2.40

BetVictor

2.40

Draw✗ Miss

30.9%

Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.21

Edge

+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

3.35

Bet365

3.30

BetVictor

3.30

Betano

3.30

Superbet

3.25

Loughgall win✓ Hit

35.9%

Avg Implied 34.0% · @ 2.66

Edge

+1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

2.75

BetVictor

2.70

Superbet

2.70

Betano

2.67

1xBet

2.66

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ards

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.8

Avg scored

1.8

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.53	1.27	1.31	1.31	1.71	1.24
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (17)	1.12	1.47	1.00	1.14	1.20	1.70
vs Weaker (13)	2.08	1.00	1.67	1.50	2.43	0.57
Clean sheet %	27% (+3pp vs league)

This opponent (Loughgall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Loughgall

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.33	0.93	1.65	1.00	0.92	0.85
vs Stronger (6)	2.00	0.67	2.75	0.75	0.50	0.50
vs Similar (17)	1.12	1.18	1.33	1.33	0.88	1.00
vs Weaker (7)	1.29	0.57	1.25	0.50	1.33	0.67
Clean sheet %	37% (+13pp vs league)

This opponent (Ards) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

68.5%

@ 1.23-5.4%

Under 1.5

31.5%

@ 3.49+5.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.25

Bet365

1.25

Marathonbet

1.22

Superbet

1.22

1xBet

1.22

Under

Bet365

3.75

Marathonbet

3.50

1xBet

3.50

Superbet

3.50

Betano

3.20

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

40.7%

@ 1.81-10.6%

Under 2.5

59.3%

@ 1.90+10.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.83

1xBet

1.82

Marathonbet

1.82

Betano

1.80

Bet365

1.80

Under

Bet365

2.00

Superbet

1.92

Betano

1.91

BetVictor

1.88

Pinnacle

1.88

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

20.3%

@ 2.89-11.1%

Under 3.5

79.7%

@ 1.33+11.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.00

1xBet

2.97

Marathonbet

2.97

Superbet

2.80

Betano

2.72

Under

Bet365

1.36

Superbet

1.34

Betano

1.34

Marathonbet

1.30

1xBet

1.30

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

48.3%

@ 1.63-8.1%

51.7%

@ 2.11+8.1%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.67

William Hil

1.65

Superbet

1.63

1xBet

1.62

Marathonbet

1.62

Superbet

2.15

BetVictor

2.15

1xBet

2.12

William Hil

2.10

Bet365

2.10

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

14.6%@ 6.38+7.7%

0-0

11.2%@ 10.62+7.1%

0-1

10.4%@ 9.25+5.7%

1-0

9.8%@ 8.75+4.8%

1-2 ✓

7.8%@ 9.62+3.3%

2-1

7.5%@ 8.88+2.5%

0-2

6.9%@ 13.75+3.7%

2-0

6.3%@ 12.25+2.7%

Ards goals ↓

	Loughgall goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	11%	10%	6.9%	2.7%	0.8%
1	9.8%	15%	7.8%	3.1%	0.9%
2	6.3%	7.5%	4.4%	1.7%	0.5%
3	2.4%	2.8%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ards goals (down), columns = Loughgall goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Newington Youth

2.60

H&W Welders

2.40

Glenavon FC

2.00

Annagh United

2.00

Queen's University

2.00

Loughgall

1.80

Newry City AFC

1.80

Moyola Park

1.40

Ards

1.40

Warrenpoint Town

1.40

Ballinamallard United

1.20

Institute

0.80

Dundela

0.60

Strabane Athletic

0.60

Armagh City

0.40

Rathfriland

0.00

Ards is 0.40 points worse than Loughgall in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Glenavon FC

2.80

Newington Youth

2.80

Annagh United

2.40

Queen's University

2.20

Loughgall

2.00

Ards

1.80

Warrenpoint Town

1.80

H&W Welders

1.80

Dundela

1.40

Newry City AFC

1.40

Strabane Athletic

1.20

Moyola Park

1.20

Ballinamallard United

1.00

Rathfriland

1.00

Institute

0.80

Armagh City

0.60

Ards is 0.20 goals worse than Loughgall in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

H&W Welders

0.60

Queen's University

1.00

Newington Youth

1.00

Loughgall

1.40

Moyola Park

1.40

Armagh City

1.40

Glenavon FC

1.60

Ballinamallard United

1.60

Annagh United

1.80

Institute

1.80

Newry City AFC

1.80

Ards

1.80

Warrenpoint Town

1.80

Dundela

2.00

Strabane Athletic

2.00

Rathfriland

3.20

Ards is 0.40 goals worse than Loughgall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Ards or Draw✗ Miss

64.1%

Avg Implied 66.0% · @ 1.39

Edge

-1.9%

33%

31%

36%

covers Ards + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

1.44

William Hil

1.40

Betano

1.39

Superbet

1.39

Marathonbet

1.36

Ards or Loughgall✓ Hit

69.1%

Avg Implied 72.0% · @ 1.27

Edge

-2.9%

33%

31%

36%

covers Ards + Loughgall

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.30

Betano

1.29

Superbet

1.28

Marathonbet

1.26

1xBet

1.26

Draw or Loughgall✓ Hit

66.8%

Avg Implied 62.0% · @ 1.48

Edge

+4.8%

33%

31%

36%

covers Draw + Loughgall

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.53

William Hil

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Superbet

1.47

1xBet

1.44

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Ards over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

67.7%

@ 1.24-6.7%

Under

32.3%

@ 3.59+6.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.25

Bet365

1.25

Superbet

1.22

Under

Bet365

3.75

1xBet

3.58

Superbet

3.45

Ards over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

31.2%

@ 2.19-11.0%

Under

68.8%

@ 1.59+11.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.23

Marathonbet

2.22

Bet365

2.20

Betano

2.18

Superbet

2.17

Under

1xBet

1.62

Bet365

1.62

Betano

1.60

Superbet

1.59

Marathonbet

1.57

Ards over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

10.5%

@ 4.48-9.9%

Under

89.5%

@ 1.15+9.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

4.50

1xBet

4.50

Superbet

4.45

Under

Bet365

1.17

1xBet

1.15

Superbet

1.13

Ards over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

2.8%

@ 9.00-7.6%

Under

97.2%

@ 1.04+7.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

9.00

Under

Bet365

1.04

Loughgall over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

69.4%

@ 1.27-2.9%

Under

30.6%

@ 3.33+2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.28

Bet365

1.28

Superbet

1.26

Under

Bet365

3.50

1xBet

3.28

Superbet

3.20

Loughgall over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

33.2%

@ 2.35-6.0%

Under

66.8%

@ 1.52+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.38

Marathonbet

2.38

Pinnacle

2.37

1xBet

2.35

Betano

2.32

Under

Betano

1.55

Bet365

1.53

1xBet

1.52

Superbet

1.52

Marathonbet

1.49

Loughgall over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

11.7%

@ 4.92-6.8%

Under

88.3%

@ 1.12+6.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

5.00

1xBet

4.90

Superbet

4.85

Under

Bet365

1.14

1xBet

1.12

Superbet

1.10

Loughgall over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

3.2%

@ 10.00-6.1%

Under

96.8%

@ 1.03+6.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

10.00

Under

Bet365

1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ards, so a minus line means Ards give that many goals of a start and Loughgall receive them. At -1, Ards must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ards win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Ards)Actual: Loughgall

Ards -2

4.4%

@ 9.50-5.2%

Draw -2

9.6%

@ 7.00-3.3%

Loughgall +2

86.0%

@ 1.17+8.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

9.50

Draw

Bet365

7.00

Away

Bet365

1.17

Handicap -1 (Ards)Actual: Loughgall

Ards -1

14.0%

@ 4.70-4.9%

Draw -1

19.2%

@ 4.29-1.5%

Loughgall +1

66.8%

@ 1.47+6.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

4.90

Bet365

4.50

Draw

Bet365

4.33

Marathonbet

4.25

Away

Bet365

1.50

Marathonbet

1.44

Handicap +1 (Ards)Actual: Draw

Ards +1

64.1%

@ 1.40+0.6%

Draw +1

20.2%

@ 4.50+0.4%

Loughgall -1

15.7%

@ 5.33-1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.44

Marathonbet

1.36

Draw

Marathonbet

4.50

Bet365

4.50

Away

Marathonbet

5.65

Bet365

5.00

Handicap +2 (Ards)Actual: Ards

Ards +2

84.3%

@ 1.12+4.3%

Draw +2

10.6%

@ 7.50-1.3%

Loughgall -2

5.1%

@ 11.00-3.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.12

Draw

Bet365

7.50

Away

Bet365

11.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ards

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.67	0.40	0.46	0.38	0.82	0.41
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (17)	0.47	0.47	0.43	0.29	0.50	0.60
vs Weaker (13)	0.92	0.31	0.50	0.50	1.29	0.14
Clean sheet %	70% (+46pp vs league)

This opponent (Loughgall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Loughgall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	0.43	0.65	0.41	0.54	0.46
vs Stronger (6)	0.67	0.17	0.75	0.25	0.50	0.00
vs Similar (17)	0.59	0.71	0.67	0.67	0.50	0.75
vs Weaker (7)	0.57	0.00	0.50	0.00	0.67	0.00
Clean sheet %	67% (+43pp vs league)

This opponent (Ards) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

67.4%

@ 1.33-0.8%

Under 0.5

32.6%

@ 2.85+0.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.35

Marathonbet

1.35

Superbet

1.34

Pinnacle

1.33

William Hil

1.30

Under

William Hil

3.00

Pinnacle

2.87

Superbet

2.80

Marathonbet

2.79

1xBet

2.79

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

29.1%

@ 2.59-5.8%

Under 1.5

70.9%

@ 1.39+5.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.67

Marathonbet

2.67

Superbet

2.62

Pinnacle

2.57

Betano

2.52

Under

Betano

1.40

William Hil

1.40

Pinnacle

1.40

Superbet

1.39

1xBet

1.38

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

9.5%

@ 5.72-6.5%

Under 2.5

90.5%

@ 1.09+6.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

6.00

Superbet

5.75

1xBet

5.40

Under

1xBet

1.10

William Hil

1.10

Superbet

1.06

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Ards over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

43.1%

@ 1.98-3.6%

Under

56.9%

@ 1.73+3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.02

Betano

2.00

Pinnacle

1.95

1xBet

1.94

Under

1xBet

1.77

Pinnacle

1.73

Betano

1.72

Superbet

1.70

Ards over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

9.8%

@ 5.80-6.0%

Under

90.2%

@ 1.09+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.80

Under

1xBet

1.09

Ards over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.8%

Under

98.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Loughgall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

41.3%

@ 2.04-3.7%

Under

58.7%

@ 1.68+3.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.07

Betano

2.07

Pinnacle

2.04

1xBet

2.00

Under

1xBet

1.73

Betano

1.67

Superbet

1.66

Pinnacle

1.64

Loughgall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

10.3%

@ 6.10-4.7%

Under

89.7%

@ 1.08+4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.10

Under

1xBet

1.08

Loughgall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.6%

Under

98.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ards

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.87	0.87	0.85	0.92	0.88	0.82
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (17)	0.65	1.00	0.57	0.86	0.70	1.10
vs Weaker (13)	1.15	0.69	1.17	1.00	1.14	0.43
Clean sheet %	37% (+13pp vs league)

This opponent (Loughgall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Loughgall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.73	0.50	1.00	0.59	0.38	0.38
vs Stronger (6)	1.33	0.50	2.00	0.50	0.00	0.50
vs Similar (17)	0.53	0.47	0.67	0.67	0.38	0.25
vs Weaker (7)	0.71	0.57	0.75	0.50	0.67	0.67
Clean sheet %	53% (+29pp vs league)

This opponent (Ards) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

76.0%

Under 0.5

24.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

39.3%

Under 1.5

60.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

14.9%

Under 2.5

85.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Ards over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

51.2%

Under

48.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Ards over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

15.2%

Under

84.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Ards over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.3%

Under

96.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Loughgall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

48.3%

Under

51.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Loughgall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

14.3%

Under

85.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Loughgall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

2.7%

Under

97.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	99.0%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	+6.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	98.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	97.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	97.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.6%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	96.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.05	1xBet 1.03	-	-	-	+6.1%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	96.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	96.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	91.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.14	1xBet 1.13	Superbet 1.10	Marathonbet 1.08	-	+9.4%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	90.5%	1.09	1xBet 1.10	William Hil 1.10	Superbet 1.06	-	-	+6.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	90.2%	1.09	1xBet 1.09	-	-	-	-	+6.0%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	89.7%	1.08	1xBet 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.7%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	89.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.17	1xBet 1.15	Superbet 1.13	-	-	+9.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	88.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.14	1xBet 1.12	Superbet 1.10	-	-	+6.8%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	86.0%	1.17	Bet365 1.17	-	-	-	-	+8.5%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	85.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	85.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	84.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	84.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+4.3%	✓ Hit
Under 3.5	79.7%	1.33	Bet365 1.36	Superbet 1.34	Betano 1.34	Marathonbet 1.30	1xBet 1.30	+11.1%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	76.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals	70.9%	1.39	Betano 1.40	William Hil 1.40	Pinnacle 1.40	Superbet 1.39	1xBet 1.38	+5.8%	✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

GF (13)

€1m

AC (2)

€0m

HW (4)

€0m

LOU (3)

€0m

WT (1)

€0m

BU (1)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

GF (3)

€0m

AC (2)

€0m

WT (1)

€0m

LOU (1)

€0m

HW (1)

€0m

BU (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

GF (1)

€0m

AC (0)

€0m

BU (0)

€0m

HW (0)

€0m

WT (0)

€0m

LOU (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

GF (9)

€1m

HW (3)

€0m

LOU (2)

€0m

BU (1)

€0m

AC (0)

€0m

WT (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings

ARD wins

Draws

LOU wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ards vs Loughgall · H/A from ARD

Date	H/A	Game	Score
10/03/26	A	Loughgall Vs ARD	0-1
06/12/25	H	ARD Vs Loughgall	1-1
27/09/25	A	Loughgall Vs ARD	1-1
08/04/23	A	Loughgall Vs ARD	5-0
18/02/23	H	ARD Vs Loughgall	0-3
29/10/22	A	Loughgall Vs ARD	6-1
19/08/22	H	ARD Vs Loughgall	0-5

Ards

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	A	Warrenpoint Town Vs ARD	1-3
11/08/26	H	ARD Vs Dundela	2-2
08/08/26	A	Glenavon FC Vs ARD	1-3
25/04/26	A	Warrenpoint Town Vs ARD	0-1
18/04/26	A	Institute Vs ARD	3-1
10/04/26	H	ARD Vs Armagh City	2-1
04/04/26	H	ARD Vs Dundela	0-1
28/03/26	A	Ballinamallard United Vs ARD	0-2
21/03/26	H	ARD Vs Warrenpoint Town	3-0
14/03/26	A	Dundela Vs ARD	1-1

Loughgall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	A	Institute Vs LOU	0-0
11/08/26	H	LOU Vs Newington Youth	2-2
08/08/26	A	Rathfriland Vs LOU	1-3
24/04/26	A	Newington Youth Vs LOU	2-1
18/04/26	A	Queen's University Vs LOU	0-0
11/04/26	H	LOU Vs H&W Welders	2-0
04/04/26	A	Annagh United Vs LOU	1-1
28/03/26	H	LOU Vs Limavady United	0-1
20/03/26	H	LOU Vs Institute	1-3
16/03/26	H	LOU Vs Armagh City	1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ards

Northern-Ireland: Championship

Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWWDW	1.46
Home	WWLWD	1.52
Away	WLWWW	1.41

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	43%	41%
AVG goals	2.92	3.04	2.81
Over 1.5 %	74%	83%	67%
Over 2.5 %	56%	65%	48%
Over 3.5 %	38%	35%	41%
Scored	1.56	1.52	1.59
Conceded	1.36	1.52	1.22
BTTS	56%	65%	48%
Clean Sheet	24%	26%	22%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Loughgall

Northern-Ireland: Championship

Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLWDD	1.38
Home	DLLWD	1.59
Away	DDLWD	1.13

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	44%	22%
AVG goals	2.50	2.67	2.30
Over 1.5 %	74%	81%	65%
Over 2.5 %	46%	52%	39%
Over 3.5 %	26%	26%	26%
Scored	1.30	1.48	1.09
Conceded	1.20	1.19	1.22
BTTS	58%	59%	57%
Clean Sheet	28%	26%	30%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Newington Youth	5	13	80%	2.6	14	5	+9	3.8	100%	100%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.8	1.0	-
2	H&W Welders	5	12	80%	2.4	9	3	+6	2.4	80%	60%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	0.6	-
3	Glenavon FC	5	10	60%	2.0	14	8	+6	4.4	100%	100%	100%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	1	2.8	1.6	-
4	Queen's University	5	10	60%	2.0	11	5	+6	3.2	100%	80%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.0	-
5	Annagh United	5	10	60%	2.0	12	9	+3	4.2	100%	80%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.4	1.8	-
6	Loughgall	5	9	40%	1.8	10	7	+3	3.4	80%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.4	-
7	Newry City AFC	5	9	60%	1.8	7	9	-2	3.2	80%	80%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.8	-
8	Ards	5	7	40%	1.4	9	9	+0	3.6	100%	100%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.8	-
9	Warrenpoint Town	5	7	40%	1.4	9	9	+0	3.6	100%	80%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.8	-
10	Moyola Park	5	7	40%	1.4	6	7	-1	2.6	80%	40%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.4	-
11	Ballinamallard United	5	6	40%	1.2	5	8	-3	2.6	80%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.6	-
12	Institute	5	4	20%	0.8	4	9	-5	2.6	60%	60%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	1.8	-
13	Dundela	5	3	0%	0.6	7	10	-3	3.4	100%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	2.0	-
14	Strabane Athletic	5	3	20%	0.6	6	10	-4	3.2	80%	80%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	2.0	-
15	Armagh City	5	2	0%	0.4	3	7	-4	2.0	60%	20%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.6	1.4	-
16	Rathfriland	5	0	0%	0.0	5	16	-11	4.2	100%	100%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	3.2	-

Northern-Ireland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches

Ards vs Loughgall Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ards

Loughgall

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ards

Loughgall

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ards

Loughgall

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Ards

Loughgall

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature