This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.37
0.57
2.47
0.27
2.27
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
2.14
0.71
2.67
0.00
1.75
1.25
vs Weaker (23)
2.43
0.52
2.42
0.33
2.45
0.73
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.5%
@ 2.07+5.0%
Under 2.5
49.5%
@ 1.73-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.5%
Under 3.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.2%
No
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.2%
0-1
10.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.1%
Aris Thessalonikis goals ↓
Olympiakos Piraeus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
11%
11%
6.3%
2.8%
1
5.1%
12%
9.8%
5.8%
2.6%
2
2.9%
5.1%
4.5%
2.7%
1.2%
3
0.9%
1.6%
1.4%
0.8%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aris Thessalonikis goals (down), columns = Olympiakos Piraeus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.50
PAOK
1.78
Aris Thessalonikis
1.69
AEK Athens FC
1.67
Panathinaikos
1.47
Asteras Tripolis
1.42
Volos NFC
1.30
Atromitos
1.12
Lamia
1.06
PAS Giannina
1.06
Apollon
1.03
OFI Crete
0.97
Panetolikos
0.85
Larisa
0.82
Aris Thessalonikis is 0.81 points worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 2.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.28
PAOK
1.67
AEK Athens FC
1.47
Aris Thessalonikis
1.14
Panathinaikos
1.14
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.00
OFI Crete
0.91
Atromitos
0.91
Apollon
0.88
PAS Giannina
0.82
Larisa
0.76
Lamia
0.64
Panetolikos
0.61
Aris Thessalonikis is 1.14 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 2.28).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.53
Aris Thessalonikis
0.72
PAOK
0.94
Panathinaikos
0.94
Asteras Tripolis
1.06
PAS Giannina
1.09
Volos NFC
1.12
Apollon
1.21
Atromitos
1.21
AEK Athens FC
1.25
Lamia
1.27
Panetolikos
1.33
OFI Crete
1.42
Larisa
1.42
Aris Thessalonikis is 0.19 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals conceded per game (0.72 vs 0.53).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aris Thessalonikis
For 5.3 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.7 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 18.3 · Total 34.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos Piraeus
For 4.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 16.2 · Total 30.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aris Thessalonikis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
7.9
9.0
5.7
5.6
5.7
36.3
37.1
35.6
vs Stronger (17)
8.6
8.3
9.0
5.4
5.6
5.1
34.7
36.8
32.4
vs Similar (5)
7.4
7.5
7.3
7.0
7.0
7.0
34.8
38.0
32.7
vs Weaker (28)
8.5
7.6
9.4
5.6
5.5
5.7
37.6
37.1
38.1
% over line
28%
16%
40%
84%
80%
88%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
72%
84%
60%
16%
20%
12%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.6
8.9
4.3
4.0
4.5
31.1
29.3
33.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
8.9
7.6
9.8
3.2
3.4
3.0
32.5
29.6
34.2
vs Weaker (37)
8.7
8.9
8.4
4.7
4.2
5.3
30.6
29.3
32.4
% over line
36%
31%
42%
60%
54%
67%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
64%
69%
58%
40%
46%
33%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Apollon
9.0
Panetolikos
9.0
PAOK
8.8
Larisa
8.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.7
Aris Thessalonikis
8.4
Volos NFC
8.3
PAS Giannina
8.2
Atromitos
8.0
Panathinaikos
8.0
AEK Athens FC
8.0
Lamia
7.8
OFI Crete
7.7
Asteras Tripolis
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
6.2
Larisa
6.0
Asteras Tripolis
5.8
Volos NFC
5.7
PAS Giannina
5.7
Aris Thessalonikis
5.7
OFI Crete
5.6
PAOK
5.4
Atromitos
5.4
Lamia
5.4
Panetolikos
5.3
Apollon
5.0
AEK Athens FC
5.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
PAS Giannina
38.3
Apollon
38.1
OFI Crete
37.2
Lamia
36.7
Panetolikos
36.5
Aris Thessalonikis
36.3
Larisa
36.1
AEK Athens FC
35.4
Atromitos
34.9
Panathinaikos
34.4
Volos NFC
34.1
PAOK
33.6
Asteras Tripolis
33.4
Olympiakos Piraeus
31.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
26.6%
Under 9.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
70.4%
Under 3.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
99.5%
Under 21.5
0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aris Thessalonikis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.47
0.40
0.53
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.78
0.20
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (18)
0.61
0.28
0.56
0.22
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.20
0.87
0.20
1.00
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.00
0.26
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.27
Clean sheet %
80% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aris Thessalonikis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.27
0.67
0.13
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.44
0.40
0.40
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (18)
0.78
0.22
0.89
0.00
0.67
0.44
Clean sheet %
80% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.37
1.60
0.07
1.27
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.43
0.71
2.33
0.00
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (23)
1.43
0.26
1.42
0.08
1.45
0.45
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aris Thessalonikis · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamín Garré25%
Loren Morón16%
Martin Hongla15%
Dudu15%
Tino Kadewere12%
Fredrik Jensen11%
Gabriel Misehouy11%
Uroš Račić10%
Fabiano10%
Anastasios Donis8%
Christian Kouamé8%
Pedro Álvaro7%
Monchu6%
Giannis Gianniotas4%
Carles Pérez4%
Noah Fadiga0%
Hamza Mendyl0%
Kostas Galanopoulos0%
Migouel Alfarela0%
Sokratis Dioudis0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Othmane Boussaid0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Álvaro Tejero0%
Pione Sisto0%
Noah Sonko Sundberg0%
Martin Frýdek0%
Lindsay Rose0%
Michalis Panagidis0%
Mamadou Gning0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hamza Mendyl55%
Monchu33%
Tino Kadewere31%
Martin Hongla31%
Michalis Panagidis25%
Giorgos Athanasiadis21%
Lindsay Rose21%
Uroš Račić21%
Noah Fadiga17%
Giannis Gianniotas17%
Carles Pérez17%
Álvaro Tejero17%
Mamadou Gning17%
Loren Morón16%
Martin Frýdek16%
Fabiano14%
Noah Sonko Sundberg14%
Kostas Galanopoulos13%
Pedro Álvaro13%
Othmane Boussaid11%
Anastasios Donis8%
Christian Kouamé8%
Benjamín Garré8%
Fredrik Jensen6%
Dudu5%
Migouel Alfarela0%
Sokratis Dioudis0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Pione Sisto0%
Gabriel Misehouy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tino Kadewere19%
Christian Kouamé17%
Giannis Gianniotas13%
Álvaro Tejero10%
Dudu10%
Hamza Mendyl9%
Carles Pérez9%
Uroš Račić7%
Monchu6%
Martin Frýdek5%
Loren Morón4%
Noah Fadiga0%
Kostas Galanopoulos0%
Fabiano0%
Migouel Alfarela0%
Fredrik Jensen0%
Anastasios Donis0%
Sokratis Dioudis0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Othmane Boussaid0%
Pedro Álvaro0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Pione Sisto0%
Noah Sonko Sundberg0%
Martin Hongla0%
Lindsay Rose0%
Benjamín Garré0%
Gabriel Misehouy0%
Michalis Panagidis0%
Mamadou Gning0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tino Kadewere25%
Loren Morón24%
Migouel Alfarela20%
Christian Kouamé17%
Carles Pérez13%
Monchu11%
Dudu5%
Fabiano5%
Uroš Račić3%
Álvaro Tejero3%
Noah Fadiga0%
Hamza Mendyl0%
Kostas Galanopoulos0%
Giannis Gianniotas0%
Fredrik Jensen0%
Anastasios Donis0%
Sokratis Dioudis0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Othmane Boussaid0%
Pedro Álvaro0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Pione Sisto0%
Noah Sonko Sundberg0%
Martin Frýdek0%
Martin Hongla0%
Lindsay Rose0%
Benjamín Garré0%
Gabriel Misehouy0%
Michalis Panagidis0%
Mamadou Gning0%
Olympiakos Piraeus · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayoub El Kaabi25%
Jota Silva25%
Gelson Martins0%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Rodinei0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Joel Roca0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Gustavo Sá0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rodinei67%
Santiago Hezze67%
Panagiotis Retsos33%
Lorenzo Scipioni33%
Gustavo Sá33%
Gelson Martins25%
Ayoub El Kaabi0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Jota Silva0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Joel Roca0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gelson Martins0%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Ayoub El Kaabi0%
Rodinei0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Jota Silva0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Joel Roca0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Gustavo Sá0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gustavo Sá33%
Ayoub El Kaabi25%
Joel Roca25%
Gelson Martins0%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Rodinei0%
Chiquinho0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Jota Silva0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Zinedin Smajlović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
VN (25)
€10m
LAR (23)
€5m
PG (36)
€4m
Aris Thessalonikis's squad is €134m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€41m vs €175m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
AT (11)
€5m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
LAR (7)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
Aris Thessalonikis's attack is €62m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€22m vs €84m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
Aris Thessalonikis's midfield is €40m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€7m vs €47m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
PAN (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
Aris Thessalonikis's defence is €32m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€12m vs €44m).
Greece: Super League 1 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
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PAOK
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
Asteras Tripolis
Volos NFC
Atromitos
PAS Giannina
Lamia
Panetolikos
Larisa