Aris Thessalonikis vs PAOK Result & Analysis

The encounter between Aris Thessalonikis and PAOK is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win at 38%. The expected total of 3.1 goals points to a lively match, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, a 22% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.7% probability, and that is the only scoreline to mention. Aris, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while PAOK, on the road against a weaker side, averages 2.78 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. The home win probability stands at 36%, the draw at 26%, and the away win at 38%. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 96.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 92.0%, Over 2.5 cards at 89.5%, Over 23.5 fouls at 84.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 83.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.1%, Over 3.5 cards at 76.8%, and Over 25.5 fouls at 72.8%. Each selection is listed with its exact probability.

The 5-game winning streak for Aris Thessalonikis was extended, as the home side claimed a 2-1 victory over PAOK, a result that shocked the model’s pre-match favourite. The model had selected an away win with a 38% probability, but the prediction proved wrong. Every suggested selection was settled: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 96.5%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 92.0%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 89.5%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 84.1%, Over 1.5 hit at 83.2%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 80.1%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 76.8%, and Over 25.5 fouls hit at 72.8%. The final score of 2-1 confirmed the home win, leaving the model’s favourite on the wrong side of the outcome.